LOST Tip LOST Preston Lions 2-2 Green Gully

Preston Lions vs Green Gully — Prediction & Betting Tips

PPreston Lions 2-2 Green GullyG
11:30 am ·Genis Steel Stadium
Home
WWDWW
7W 1D 2L
▼ Declining
Away
DWLWW
2W 2D 6L
▼ Declining
100SureTips SelectionFriday, 31st July 2026
1
Backing Preston Lions to win
Preston Lions
50%
Draw
30%
Green Gully
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
75.8%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-15.8%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
7
Preston Lions
2
Draws
2
Green Gully
11
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
55%
BTTS
82%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Preston Lions won 7 of the last 11 meetings (2 draws).
03Stats Duel
Preston Lions
Metric
Green Gully
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.9
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.7
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-1-2
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
70%
20%
2.3
Avg Goals
55%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
P0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 7.1%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
P1
1-0 11.1%
1-1 11.7%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
P2
2-0 9.1%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.1%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
P3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
P4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
P5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2–1 9.6% model probability · seen ×2 in H2H
1–0 11.1% model probability
2–0 9.1% model probability
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
05Market Odds Intelligence
Preston Lions Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Green Gully Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
06Team Ratings
Preston Lions
Overall
7.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
7.7
Green Gully
Overall
2.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
4.3
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes27%
Home Win & BTTS No40%
Draw & BTTS Yes6%
Draw & BTTS No8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes8%
Away Win & BTTS No11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.530%
Home Win & Under 2.537%
Draw & Over 2.56%
Draw & Under 2.58%
Away Win & Over 2.59%
Away Win & Under 2.510%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
24.04.26
VIC
Green Gully0
Preston Lions4
15.08.25
VIC
Green Gully0
Preston Lions1
02.05.25
VIC
Preston Lions3
Green Gully2
20.06.09
VIC
Green Gully4
Preston Lions0
22.03.09
VIC
Preston Lions0
Green Gully0
03.08.08
VIC
Preston Lions3
Green Gully2
26.04.08
VIC
Green Gully4
Preston Lions0
02.09.07
VIC
Preston Lions2
Green Gully1
10.06.07
VIC
Green Gully2
Preston Lions3
23.07.06
VIC
Preston Lions2
Green Gully1
02.04.06
VIC
Green Gully2
Preston Lions2
Recent Form
Preston Lions
24.07.26
VIC
Preston Lions1
Bentleigh Greens0
W
21.07.26
CUP
Preston Lions3
Newcastle Jets2
W
18.07.26
VIC
South Melbourne0
Preston Lions0
D
10.07.26
VIC
Preston Lions2
Hume City1
W
04.07.26
VIC
Avondale FC2
Preston Lions3
W
27.06.26
VIC
George Cross0
Preston Lions2
W
20.06.26
VIC
Heidelberg Utd0
Preston Lions1
W
31.05.26
VIC
St Albans0
Preston Lions1
W
24.05.26
VIC
Preston Lions0
Oakleigh Cannons1
L
16.05.26
VIC
Altona Magic1
Preston Lions0
L
Green Gully
24.07.26
VIC
Green Gully0
Dandenong City0
D
17.07.26
VIC
Green Gully3
Dandenong Thunder1
W
10.07.26
VIC
Green Gully1
Altona Magic3
L
03.07.26
VIC
Green Gully3
Bentleigh Greens0
W
28.06.26
VIC
South Melbourne1
Green Gully2
W
20.06.26
VIC
Hume City3
Green Gully2
L
05.06.26
VIC
Green Gully0
Avondale FC2
L
30.05.26
VIC
George Cross0
Green Gully0
D
22.05.26
VIC
Green Gully0
Heidelberg Utd1
L
15.05.26
VIC
Green Gully1
Melbourne City U213
L
Preston Lions (Home)
24.07.26
VIC
Preston Lions1
Bentleigh Greens0
W
21.07.26
CUP
Preston Lions3
Newcastle Jets2
W
10.07.26
VIC
Preston Lions2
Hume City1
W
24.05.26
VIC
Preston Lions0
Oakleigh Cannons1
L
08.05.26
VIC
Preston Lions1
Dandenong City0
W
11.04.26
VIC
Preston Lions0
South Melbourne3
L
20.03.26
VIC
Preston Lions2
Avondale FC1
W
13.03.26
VIC
Preston Lions1
George Cross1
D
08.03.26
VIC
Preston Lions0
Heidelberg Utd1
L
20.02.26
VIC
Preston Lions3
St Albans0
W
Green Gully (Away)
28.06.26
VIC
South Melbourne1
Green Gully2
W
20.06.26
VIC
Hume City3
Green Gully2
L
30.05.26
VIC
George Cross0
Green Gully0
D
08.05.26
VIC
St Albans1
Green Gully0
L
17.04.26
VIC
Dandenong City2
Green Gully1
L
11.04.26
VIC
Dandenong Thunder1
Green Gully1
D
28.03.26
VIC
Altona Magic1
Green Gully1
D
20.03.26
VIC
Bentleigh Greens4
Green Gully0
L
28.02.26
VIC
Avondale FC5
Green Gully0
L
13.02.26
VIC
Heidelberg Utd2
Green Gully1
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Australia NPL Victoria fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Genis Steel Stadium, that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.32, a call we are confident in at roughly 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 11:30 am.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "1" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Australia NPL Victoria predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 3 Aug 2026, 10:57am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Preston Lions vs Green Gully?
Our selection is 1 — Preston Lions to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Preston Lions's current form?
Preston Lions have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Green Gully been performing recently?
Green Gully have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Preston Lions lead with 7 wins versus Green Gully's 2, with 2 draws across 11 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 55%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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