Moderate Signal
47%

Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC — Prediction & Betting Tips

CCruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SCC
11:00 pm · ·Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)
Home
DWLWL
5W 3D 2L
▲ Improving
Away
DDLLW
1W 3D 5L
▼ Declining
100SureTips SelectionWednesday, 5th August 2026
1
Backing Cruzeiro to win
Cruzeiro
50%
Draw
30%
Chapecoense-SC
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
75.2%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-28.2%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
4
Cruzeiro
3
Draws
3
Chapecoense-SC
10
Meetings
1.9
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Cruzeiro won 4 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
03Stats Duel
Cruzeiro
Metric
Chapecoense-SC
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.8
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.9
40%
Clean Sheets
11%
5-3-2
W — D — L
1-3-5
Win Rate
50%
11%
2.4
Avg Goals
74%
Over 1.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
C0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 8.6%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 14.4%
1-1 12.4%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 10.4%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 3.9%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
C3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 4.3%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1–0 14.4% model probability
2–0 10.4% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
2–1 9.0% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
05Market Odds Intelligence
Cruzeiro Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Chapecoense-SC Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
06Team Ratings
Cruzeiro
Overall
5.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
7.3
Chapecoense-SC
Overall
2.1
Scoring
2.6
Defence
3.7
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes25%
Home Win & BTTS No29%
Draw & BTTS Yes16%
Draw & BTTS No18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes6%
Away Win & BTTS No6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.529%
Home Win & Under 2.525%
Draw & Over 2.518%
Draw & Under 2.516%
Away Win & Over 2.56%
Away Win & Under 2.56%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
02.08.26
COP
Chapecoense-SC0
Cruzeiro0
24.05.26
SA
Cruzeiro2
Chapecoense-SC1
13.08.22
SB
Cruzeiro1
Chapecoense-SC1
30.04.22
SB
Chapecoense-SC0
Cruzeiro2
25.11.20
SB
Chapecoense-SC0
Cruzeiro1
21.08.20
SB
Cruzeiro0
Chapecoense-SC1
13.10.19
SA
Chapecoense-SC1
Cruzeiro1
26.05.19
SA
Cruzeiro1
Chapecoense-SC2
21.10.18
SA
Cruzeiro3
Chapecoense-SC0
09.06.18
SA
Chapecoense-SC2
Cruzeiro0
Recent Form
Cruzeiro
02.08.26
COP
Chapecoense-SC0
Cruzeiro0
D
31.07.26
SA
Coritiba0
Cruzeiro1
W
26.07.26
SA
Cruzeiro0
Botafogo RJ1
L
23.07.26
SA
Internacional1
Cruzeiro2
W
12.07.26
CF
Gremio3
Cruzeiro1
L
04.07.26
CF
Cruzeiro2
Defensor Sp.0
W
01.06.26
SA
Cruzeiro1
Fluminense1
D
29.05.26
COP
Cruzeiro4
Barcelona SC0
W
24.05.26
SA
Cruzeiro2
Chapecoense-SC1
W
20.05.26
COP
Boca Juniors1
Cruzeiro1
D
Chapecoense-SC
02.08.26
COP
Chapecoense-SC0
Cruzeiro0
D
25.07.26
SA
Santos2
Chapecoense-SC2
D
23.07.26
SA
Chapecoense-SC0
Flamengo RJ4
L
17.07.26
SA
Bahia2
Chapecoense-SC0
L
04.07.26
CF
Gremio1
Chapecoense-SC2
W
04.06.26
CSS
Avai3
Chapecoense-SC0
L
31.05.26
SA
Palmeiras1
Chapecoense-SC0
L
27.05.26
CSS
Chapecoense-SC2
Novorizontino2
D
24.05.26
SA
Cruzeiro2
Chapecoense-SC1
L
Cruzeiro (Home)
26.07.26
SA
Cruzeiro0
Botafogo RJ1
L
04.07.26
CF
Cruzeiro2
Defensor Sp.0
W
01.06.26
SA
Cruzeiro1
Fluminense1
D
29.05.26
COP
Cruzeiro4
Barcelona SC0
W
24.05.26
SA
Cruzeiro2
Chapecoense-SC1
W
13.05.26
COP
Cruzeiro1
Goias0
W
03.05.26
SA
Cruzeiro1
Atletico-MG3
L
29.04.26
COP
Cruzeiro1
Boca Juniors0
W
19.04.26
SA
Cruzeiro2
Gremio0
W
15.04.26
COP
Cruzeiro1
U. Catolica2
L
Chapecoense-SC (Away)
25.07.26
SA
Santos2
Chapecoense-SC2
D
17.07.26
SA
Bahia2
Chapecoense-SC0
L
04.07.26
CF
Gremio1
Chapecoense-SC2
W
04.06.26
CSS
Avai3
Chapecoense-SC0
L
31.05.26
SA
Palmeiras1
Chapecoense-SC0
L
24.05.26
SA
Cruzeiro2
Chapecoense-SC1
L
20.05.26
CSS
Novorizontino0
Chapecoense-SC2
W
10.05.26
SA
Mirassol1
Chapecoense-SC1
D
07.05.26
CSS
Operario-PR1
Chapecoense-SC2
W
27.04.26
SA
Fluminense2
Chapecoense-SC1
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Copa Betano Do Brasil fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Mineirão (Belo Horizonte), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.33, a call we are confident in at roughly 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 11:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "1" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Copa Betano Do Brasil predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 5 Aug 2026, 8:09am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC?
Our selection is 1 — Cruzeiro to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 47%.
What is Cruzeiro's current form?
Cruzeiro have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Chapecoense-SC been performing recently?
Chapecoense-SC have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cruzeiro lead with 4 wins versus Chapecoense-SC's 3, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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