Moderate Signal
60%

Al Ahly vs Smouha — Prediction & Betting Tips

AAl Ahly vs SmouhaS
6:00 pm · ·Cairo International Stadium (Cairo)
Home
WWLWW
6W 1D 3L
▼ Declining
Away
DLLLL
2W 1D 7L
▲ Improving
100SureTips SelectionThursday, 3rd September 2026
1
Backing Al Ahly to win
Implied Prob
78.7%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-18.7%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 — Al Ahly to win
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Ahly vs Smouha Date: Thursday, 3rd September 2026 KO: 6:00 pm Pick: 1 (Al Ahly to win) Odds: 1.27 Confidence: 60% Model Correct Score: 1-0 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
02Head to Head
6
Al Ahly
2
Draws
2
Smouha
10
Meetings
2.1
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Al Ahly won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
03Stats Duel
Al Ahly
Metric
Smouha
1.9
Goals For / Game
0.8
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-1-3
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
60%
20%
2.6
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
A0
0-0 9.6%
0-1 8.7%
0-2 4.0%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 13.8%
1-1 12.5%
1-2 5.7%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 9.9%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 4.7%
3-1 4.3%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 1.5%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1–0 13.8% model probability
2–0 9.9% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
2–1 9.0% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Al Ahly
Overall
6.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.0
Smouha
Overall
2.3
Scoring
2.7
Defence
6.0
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes27%
Home Win & BTTS No40%
Draw & BTTS Yes4%
Draw & BTTS No7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes9%
Away Win & BTTS No13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.537%
Home Win & Under 2.530%
Draw & Over 2.56%
Draw & Under 2.55%
Away Win & Over 2.512%
Away Win & Under 2.510%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
11.04.26
PL
Al Ahly2
Smouha1
23.02.26
PL
Smouha0
Al Ahly1
07.01.25
PL
Al Ahly2
Smouha0
08.08.24
PL
Smouha0
Al Ahly1
28.11.23
PL
Al Ahly0
Smouha0
17.04.23
PL
Smouha0
Al Ahly2
17.01.23
CUP
Al Ahly3
Smouha1
25.12.22
PL
Al Ahly0
Smouha0
29.06.22
PL
Smouha3
Al Ahly2
27.01.22
CUP
Smouha3
Al Ahly0
Recent Form
Al Ahly
28.08.26
PL
ZED0
Al Ahly2
W
23.08.26
PL
Al Ahly3
Enppi2
W
19.08.26
CF
Barcelona2
Al Ahly1
L
20.05.26
PL
Al Masry0
Al Ahly2
W
05.05.26
PL
Al Ahly3
Enppi0
W
01.05.26
PL
Zamalek0
Al Ahly3
W
27.04.26
PL
Pyramids3
Al Ahly0
L
11.04.26
PL
Al Ahly2
Smouha1
W
07.04.26
PL
Ceramica Cleopatra1
Al Ahly1
D
21.03.26
CL
Al Ahly2
Esperance Tunis3
L
Smouha
26.08.26
PL
Smouha0
Asyut Petroleum0
D
22.08.26
PL
Al Masry1
Smouha0
L
20.05.26
PL
Pyramids2
Smouha1
L
05.05.26
PL
Smouha0
Zamalek1
L
27.04.26
PL
Smouha0
Al Masry1
L
22.04.26
PL
Smouha0
Ceramica Cleopatra2
L
11.04.26
PL
Al Ahly2
Smouha1
L
07.04.26
PL
Smouha0
Enppi2
L
07.03.26
PL
Smouha3
Modern Sport0
W
01.03.26
PL
National Bank Egypt1
Smouha3
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Unknown League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Cairo International Stadium (Cairo), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.27, a call we are confident in at roughly 61%. The fixture starts at 6:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 3 Sep 2026, 6:55am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Al Ahly vs Smouha?
Our selection is 1 — Al Ahly to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Al Ahly's current form?
Al Ahly have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Smouha been performing recently?
Smouha have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Ahly lead with 6 wins versus Smouha's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
⚠️
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