WON Tip WON Al Nassr 2-1 Abha

Al Nassr vs Abha - Prediction & Betting Tips

AAl Nassr 2-1 AbhaA
7:00 pm .King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh)
Home
LWWWW
6W 0D 4L
v Declining
Away
LLDLL
0W 3D 7L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionWednesday, 9th September 2026
1
Backing Al Nassr to win
Implied Prob
80%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-7%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Al Nassr to win
1.25
Over 2.5 Goals65%Over 1.5 Goals80%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Nassr vs Abha Competition: Saudi Professional League Date: Wednesday, 9th September 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: 1 (Al Nassr to win) Odds: 1.25 Confidence: 73% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
02Head to Head
7
Al Nassr
2
Draws
1
Abha
10
Meetings
3.8
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Al Nassr won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
03Stats Duel
Al Nassr
Metric
Abha
2.2
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.9
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-0-4
W - D - L
0-3-7
Win Rate
60%
0%
3.1
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 3.4%
0-1 3.4%
0-2 1.7%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 8.1%
1-1 8.1%
1-2 4.0%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 9.6%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 4.8%
2-3 1.6%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 7.7%
3-1 7.7%
3-2 3.8%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 4.6%
4-1 4.6%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 2.2%
5-1 2.2%
5-2 1.1%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.6% model probability . seen x3 in H2H
2-0 9.6% model probability
3-1 7.7% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Al Nassr
Overall
6.0v
Scoring
7.3v
Defence
5.3v
Abha
Overall
0.9-
Scoring
2.0-
Defence
3.7-
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes44%
Home Win & BTTS No36%
Draw & BTTS Yes11%
Draw & BTTS No9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes0%
Away Win & BTTS No0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.552%
Home Win & Under 2.528%
Draw & Over 2.513%
Draw & Under 2.57%
Away Win & Over 2.50%
Away Win & Under 2.50%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
02.04.24
SPL
Abha0
Al Nassr8
06.10.23
SPL
Al Nassr2
Abha2
18.03.23
SPL
Al Nassr2
Abha1
14.03.23
KC
Al Nassr3
Abha1
07.10.22
SPL
Abha0
Al Nassr3
26.02.22
SPL
Al Nassr2
Abha1
30.09.21
SPL
Abha1
Al Nassr3
28.02.21
SPL
Al Nassr2
Abha2
03.12.20
SPL
Abha2
Al Nassr1
10.08.20
SPL
Abha0
Al Nassr2
Recent Form
Al Nassr
05.09.26
SPL
Al Ittihad2
Al Nassr1
L
28.08.26
SPL
Al Nassr2
Al Taawon1
W
25.08.26
SPL
Al Ettifaq2
Al Nassr3
W
21.08.26
SPL
Al Riyadh0
Al Nassr4
W
18.08.26
KC
Al Diriyah1
Al Nassr4
W
15.08.26
SPL
Al Nassr3
Al Fateh0
W
04.08.26
CF
Al Nassr0
Almeria2
L
01.08.26
CF
Estrela4
Al Nassr2
L
28.07.26
CF
AD Merida0
Al Nassr2
W
22.07.26
CF
Benfica B2
Al Nassr1
L
Abha
04.09.26
SPL
Abha0
Al Ettifaq1
L
28.08.26
SPL
Al Fayha3
Abha2
L
25.08.26
SPL
Abha1
Al Khaleej1
D
22.08.26
SPL
Al Ahli SC4
Abha0
L
16.08.26
KC
Al Orubah0
Abha (3-2)0
13.08.26
SPL
Abha1
Al Hazem2
L
31.07.26
CF
Rizespor0
Abha0
D
19.07.26
CF
Al Sharjah2
Abha1
L
13.05.26
DIV
Al Raed5
Abha1
L
09.05.26
DIV
Abha0
Al Adalah1
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Saudi Professional League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.25, a call we are confident in at roughly 83%. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Saudi Professional League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 11 Sep 2026, 8:31am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Al Nassr vs Abha?
Our selection is 1 - Al Nassr to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 73%.
What is Al Nassr's current form?
Al Nassr have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Abha been performing recently?
Abha have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Nassr lead with 7 wins versus Abha's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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