Weak Signal
40%

Alajulense vs Puntarenas FC — Prediction & Betting Tips

AAlajulense vs Puntarenas FCP
11:00 pm · ·Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto (Alajuela)
Home
WWWWD
6W 2D 2L
▲ Improving
Away
LDLLL
0W 4D 6L
→ Steady
100SureTips SelectionSaturday, 15th August 2026
1
Backing Alajulense to win
Alajulense
50%
Draw
30%
Puntarenas FC
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
74.1%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-34.1%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 — Alajulense to win
1.35
Under 2.5 Goals75%BTTS — No65%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Alajulense vs Puntarenas FC Competition: Costa Rica Primera Division Date: Saturday, 15th August 2026 KO: 11:00 pm Pick: 1 (Alajulense to win) Odds: 1.35 Confidence: 40% Model Correct Score: 1-0 Also: Under 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: BTTS — No (65%)
02Head to Head
0
Alajulense
9
Draws
1
Puntarenas FC
10
Meetings
2.1
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Alajulense won 0 of the last 10 meetings (9 draws).
03Stats Duel
Alajulense
Metric
Puntarenas FC
0
Goals For / Game
1
0
Goals Against / Game
2.2
0%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-2-2
W — D — L
0-4-6
Win Rate
60%
0%
1.6
Avg Goals
45%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
A0
0-0 25.9%
0-1 10.6%
0-2 2.2%
0-3 0.3%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 24.4%
1-1 10.0%
1-2 2.0%
1-3 0.3%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
A2
2-0 11.5%
2-1 4.7%
2-2 1.0%
2-3 0.1%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
A3
3-0 3.6%
3-1 1.5%
3-2 0.3%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 0.9%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1–0 24.4% model probability · seen ×2 in H2H
2–0 11.5% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
2–1 4.7% model probability
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
05Market Odds Intelligence
Alajulense Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Puntarenas FC Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
06Team Ratings
Alajulense
Overall
6.6
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Puntarenas FC
Overall
1.2
Scoring
3.3
Defence
2.7
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes23%
Home Win & BTTS No44%
Draw & BTTS Yes12%
Draw & BTTS No21%
Away Win & BTTS Yes0%
Away Win & BTTS No0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.517%
Home Win & Under 2.550%
Draw & Over 2.58%
Draw & Under 2.525%
Away Win & Over 2.50%
Away Win & Under 2.50%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
24.04.26
PD
Alajuelense5
Puntarenas FC2
01.03.26
PD
Puntarenas FC2
Alajuelense0
27.09.25
PD
Alajuelense2
Puntarenas FC2
17.08.25
PD
Puntarenas FC0
Alajuelense0
15.05.25
PD
Alajuelense1
Puntarenas FC0
12.05.25
PD
Puntarenas FC0
Alajuelense0
28.04.25
PD
Puntarenas FC0
Alajuelense2
23.03.25
COP
Alajuelense1
Puntarenas FC0
01.03.25
PD
Alajuelense0
Puntarenas FC0
24.11.24
PD
Alajuelense4
Puntarenas FC0
Recent Form
Alajulense
10.08.26
PD
Herediano0
Alajuelense3
W
05.08.26
CCAC
Diriangen1
Alajuelense3
W
02.08.26
PD
Alajuelense2
Escorpiones1
W
30.07.26
CCAC
Alajuelense1
Xelaju0
W
26.07.26
PD
Sporting FC1
Alajuelense1
D
13.07.26
SC
Alajuelense0
Herediano1
L
26.04.26
PD
Liberia2
Alajuelense1
L
24.04.26
PD
Alajuelense5
Puntarenas FC2
W
20.04.26
PD
Alajuelense1
Saprissa1
D
12.04.26
PD
Sporting FC0
Alajuelense2
W
Puntarenas FC
09.08.26
PD
Puntarenas FC0
Saprissa2
L
02.08.26
PD
Puntarenas FC1
Sporting FC1
D
24.07.26
PD
Herediano3
Puntarenas FC0
L
26.04.26
PD
Puntarenas FC1
Saprissa3
L
24.04.26
PD
Alajuelense5
Puntarenas FC2
L
19.04.26
PD
Puntarenas FC1
Sporting FC2
L
12.04.26
PD
Zeledon3
Puntarenas FC3
D
06.04.26
PD
Puntarenas FC0
Herediano1
L
29.03.26
COP
Puntarenas FC1
Sporting FC1
L
25.03.26
COP
Sporting FC1
Puntarenas FC1
D
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Costa Rica Primera Division fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto (Alajuela), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.35, a call we are confident in at roughly 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 11:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "1" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Costa Rica Primera Division predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 15 Aug 2026, 7:42am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Alajulense vs Puntarenas FC?
Our selection is 1 — Alajulense to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 40%.
What is Alajulense's current form?
Alajulense have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Puntarenas FC been performing recently?
Puntarenas FC have recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Alajulense lead with 0 wins versus Puntarenas FC's 1, with 9 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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