Moderate Signal
56%

Algeria vs Togo - Prediction & Betting Tips

AAlgeria vs TogoT
8:00 pm .- .Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium (Tizi Ouzou)
Home
WDWLD
5W 3D 2L
^ Improving
Away
LWWDW
4W 3D 3L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionSaturday, 14th November 2026
1
Backing Algeria to win
Implied Prob
80.6%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-24.6%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
6
Algeria
1
Draws
1
Togo
8
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
25%
BTTS
38%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Algeria won 6 of the last 8 meetings (1 draws).
03Stats Duel
Algeria
Metric
Togo
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.3
Goals Against / Game
0.9
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
5-3-2
W - D - L
4-3-3
Win Rate
50%
40%
2.5
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
A0
0-0 8.7%
0-1 7.7%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 13.6%
1-1 12.0%
1-2 5.3%
1-3 1.6%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 10.6%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 5.5%
3-1 4.9%
3-2 2.1%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 2.2%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-0 13.6% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
2-0 10.6% model probability
2-1 9.3% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Algeria
Overall
5.9^
Scoring
5.7^
Defence
5.7^
Togo
Overall
4.9v
Scoring
3.7v
Defence
7.0v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes17%
Home Win & BTTS No25%
Draw & BTTS Yes10%
Draw & BTTS No15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes13%
Away Win & BTTS No20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.519%
Home Win & Under 2.523%
Draw & Over 2.511%
Draw & Under 2.514%
Away Win & Over 2.515%
Away Win & Under 2.518%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
14.10.24
ACN
Togo0
Algeria1
10.10.24
ACN
Algeria5
Togo1
05.01.24
FI
Togo0
Algeria3
10.04.22
FI
Algeria0
Togo0
07.04.22
FI
Algeria1
Togo0
18.11.18
ACN
Togo1
Algeria4
11.06.17
ACN
Algeria1
Togo0
26.01.13
ACN
Algeria0
Togo2
Recent Form
Algeria
06.10.26
FI
Algeria2
Niger1
W
29.09.26
ACN
Burundi2
Algeria2
D
25.09.26
ACN
Algeria3
Zambia1
W
03.07.26
WC
Switzerland2
Algeria0
L
28.06.26
WC
Algeria3
Austria3
D
23.06.26
WC
Jordan1
Algeria2
W
17.06.26
WC
Argentina3
Algeria0
L
11.06.26
FI
Bolivia0
Algeria4
W
03.06.26
FI
Netherlands0
Algeria1
W
31.03.26
FI
Algeria0
Uruguay0
D
Togo
29.09.26
ACN
Zambia2
Togo0
L
25.09.26
ACN
Togo1
Burundi0
W
09.06.26
FI
Togo5
Benin1
W
05.06.26
FI
Central Africa1
Togo1
D
31.03.26
FI
Niger0
Togo1
W
27.03.26
FI
Guinea2
Togo2
D
13.10.25
WC
South Sudan0
Togo0
D
10.10.25
WC
Togo0
D.R. Congo1
L
09.09.25
WC
Togo1
Sudan0
W
05.09.25
WC
Mauritania2
Togo0
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this AFCON Qualifier fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium (Tizi Ouzou), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.24, a call we are confident in at roughly 48%. The fixture starts at 8:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are AFCON Qualifier predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 14 Nov 2026, 5:43am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Algeria vs Togo?
Our selection is 1 - Algeria to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Algeria's current form?
Algeria have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Togo been performing recently?
Togo have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Algeria lead with 6 wins versus Togo's 1, with 1 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 25%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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