WON Tip WON Aston Villa 3-1 Viking

Aston Villa vs Viking - Prediction & Betting Tips

AAston Villa 3-1 VikingV
8:00 pm .Villa Park (Birmingham)
Home
WWDWW
6W 2D 2L
v Declining
Away
WDWWW
7W 2D 1L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionWednesday, 21st October 2026
1
Backing Aston Villa to win
Implied Prob
76.3%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-17.3%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Aston Villa to win
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals75%Over 1.5 Goals85%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Aston Villa vs Viking Competition: UEFA Champions League Date: Wednesday, 21st October 2026 KO: 8:00 pm Pick: 1 (Aston Villa to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 59% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
02Head to Head
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
03Stats Duel
Aston Villa
Metric
Viking
2.2
Goals For / Game
2.9
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.2
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-2-2
W - D - L
7-2-1
Win Rate
60%
70%
3.7
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
A0
0-0 2.4%
0-1 4.8%
0-2 4.7%
0-3 3.1%
0-4 1.5%
0-5 0.6%
A1
1-0 4.3%
1-1 8.4%
1-2 8.2%
1-3 5.4%
1-4 2.7%
1-5 1.1%
A2
2-0 3.7%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 7.2%
2-3 4.7%
2-4 2.3%
2-5 0.9%
A3
3-0 2.2%
3-1 4.3%
3-2 4.2%
3-3 2.8%
3-4 1.4%
3-5 0.5%
A4
4-0 0.9%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 1.8%
4-3 1.2%
4-4 0.6%
4-5 0.2%
A5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 7.3% model probability
1-0 4.3% model probability
3-1 4.3% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Aston Villa
Overall
6.6v
Scoring
7.3v
Defence
6.3v
Viking
Overall
7.6v
Scoring
9.7v
Defence
6.0v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes26%
Home Win & BTTS No14%
Draw & BTTS Yes8%
Draw & BTTS No5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes31%
Away Win & BTTS No16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.530%
Home Win & Under 2.510%
Draw & Over 2.510%
Draw & Under 2.53%
Away Win & Over 2.535%
Away Win & Under 2.512%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Aston Villa
17.10.26
PL
Newcastle0
Aston Villa1
W
14.10.26
CL
Aston Villa6
Fenerbahce0
W
10.10.26
PL
Aston Villa2
Brentford2
D
02.10.26
CF
Sevilla1
Aston Villa3
W
19.09.26
PL
Tottenham2
Aston Villa3
W
16.09.26
EFL
Coventry1
Aston Villa3
W
12.09.26
PL
Aston Villa1
Nottingham2
L
08.09.26
CL
Club Brugge KV2
Aston Villa3
W
05.09.26
PL
Hull0
Aston Villa0
D
31.08.26
PL
Aston Villa0
Arsenal1
L
Viking
17.10.26
ELI
Viking3
Fredrikstad2
W
13.10.26
CL
Viking3
Bayern Munich3
D
09.10.26
ELI
Brann0
Viking2
W
01.10.26
NMC
Madla IL0
Viking3
W
20.09.26
ELI
Viking3
Lillestrom0
W
13.09.26
ELI
Viking8
Kristiansund1
W
09.09.26
CL
Stuttgart3
Viking1
L
04.09.26
ELI
Sandefjord1
Viking1
D
02.09.26
NMC
Brodd1
Viking3
W
30.08.26
ELI
Viking2
Aalesund1
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this UEFA Champions League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Villa Park (Birmingham), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.31, a call we are confident in at roughly 59%. The fixture starts at 8:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are UEFA Champions League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 22 Oct 2026, 12:21pm
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Aston Villa vs Viking?
Our selection is 1 - Aston Villa to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Aston Villa's current form?
Aston Villa have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Viking been performing recently?
Viking have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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