Strong Signal
69%

Barcelona vs Alaves - Prediction & Betting Tips

BBarcelona vs AlavesA
9:00 pm .- .Camp Nou (Barcelona)
Home
LLWWW
8W 0D 2L
- Steady
Away
DLLDL
3W 3D 4L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionSaturday, 31st October 2026
1
Backing Barcelona to win
Implied Prob
95.2%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-26.2%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Barcelona to win
1.05
Over 2.5 Goals75%Over 1.5 Goals85%BTTS - Yes70%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Barcelona vs Alaves Competition: La Liga Date: Saturday, 31st October 2026 KO: 9:00 pm Pick: 1 (Barcelona to win) Odds: 1.05 Confidence: 69% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS - Yes (70%)
02Head to Head
7
Barcelona
2
Draws
1
Alaves
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Barcelona won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
03Stats Duel
Barcelona
Metric
Alaves
3.9
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.1
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
8-0-2
W - D - L
3-3-4
Win Rate
80%
30%
4
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
B0
0-0 3.5%
0-1 3.8%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
B1
1-0 8.0%
1-1 8.6%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 9.0%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.3%
2-3 1.9%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 6.8%
3-1 7.4%
3-2 4.0%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 3.9%
4-1 4.2%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
B5
5-0 1.7%
5-1 1.9%
5-2 1.0%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.8% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
1-0 8.0% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
2-0 9.0% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Barcelona
Overall
8.0^
Scoring
10.0^
Defence
5.0^
Alaves
Overall
3.9^
Scoring
4.7^
Defence
6.3^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes45%
Home Win & BTTS No19%
Draw & BTTS Yes8%
Draw & BTTS No4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes17%
Away Win & BTTS No7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.548%
Home Win & Under 2.516%
Draw & Over 2.59%
Draw & Under 2.53%
Away Win & Over 2.518%
Away Win & Under 2.56%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
13.05.26
LL
Alaves1
Barcelona0
29.11.25
LL
Barcelona3
Alaves1
02.02.25
LL
Barcelona1
Alaves0
06.10.24
LL
Alaves0
Barcelona3
03.02.24
LL
Alaves1
Barcelona3
12.11.23
LL
Barcelona2
Alaves1
23.01.22
LL
Alaves0
Barcelona1
30.10.21
LL
Barcelona1
Alaves1
13.02.21
LL
Barcelona5
Alaves1
31.10.20
LL
Alaves1
Barcelona1
Recent Form
Barcelona
25.10.26
LL
Barcelona1
Real Madrid2
L
20.10.26
CL
PSG4
Barcelona2
L
17.10.26
LL
Betis2
Barcelona5
W
13.10.26
CL
Galatasaray1
Barcelona4
W
10.10.26
LL
Barcelona3
Getafe0
W
19.09.26
LL
Sevilla1
Barcelona3
W
16.09.26
LL
Barcelona7
Racing Santander2
W
13.09.26
LL
Levante2
Barcelona4
W
09.09.26
CL
Barcelona5
Feyenoord1
W
06.09.26
LL
Valencia0
Barcelona5
W
Alaves
23.10.26
LL
Alaves1
Malaga1
D
18.10.26
LL
Celta Vigo2
Alaves1
L
10.10.26
LL
Alaves1
Atl. Madrid2
L
19.09.26
LL
Ath Bilbao0
Alaves0
D
15.09.26
LL
Alaves0
Valencia1
L
12.09.26
LL
Racing Santander2
Alaves1
L
06.09.26
LL
Alaves5
Osasuna2
W
28.08.26
LL
Alaves1
Villarreal0
W
20.08.26
LL
Rayo Vallecano1
Alaves1
D
15.08.26
LL
Alaves3
Getafe0
W
Barcelona (Home)
25.10.26
LL
Barcelona1
Real Madrid2
L
10.10.26
LL
Barcelona3
Getafe0
W
16.09.26
LL
Barcelona7
Racing Santander2
W
09.09.26
CL
Barcelona5
Feyenoord1
W
31.08.26
LL
Barcelona5
Rayo Vallecano2
W
27.08.26
LL
Barcelona2
Ath Bilbao0
W
19.08.26
CF
Barcelona2
Al Ahly1
W
08.08.26
CF
Barcelona1
Nottingham0
W
24.07.26
CF
Barcelona4
CE Europa1
W
17.05.26
LL
Barcelona3
Betis1
W
Alaves (Away)
18.10.26
LL
Celta Vigo2
Alaves1
L
19.09.26
LL
Ath Bilbao0
Alaves0
D
12.09.26
LL
Racing Santander2
Alaves1
L
20.08.26
LL
Rayo Vallecano1
Alaves1
D
07.08.26
CF
Racing Santander1
Alaves (6-7)1
25.07.26
CF
Girona0
Alaves1
W
17.05.26
LL
Oviedo0
Alaves1
W
09.05.26
LL
Elche1
Alaves1
D
21.04.26
LL
Real Madrid2
Alaves1
L
11.04.26
LL
Real Sociedad3
Alaves3
D
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this La Liga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Camp Nou (Barcelona), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 draws, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.05, a call we are confident in at roughly around 6 in 10. The fixture starts at 9:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are La Liga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 31 Oct 2026, 6:12am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Barcelona vs Alaves?
Our selection is 1 - Barcelona to win, priced at approximately 1.05. Tip confidence rating: 69%.
What is Barcelona's current form?
Barcelona have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Alaves been performing recently?
Alaves have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Barcelona lead with 7 wins versus Alaves's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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