WON Tip WON Birmingham W 3-4 Liverpool W

Birmingham W vs Liverpool W - Prediction & Betting Tips

BBirmingham W 3-4 Liverpool WL
7:00 pm .St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)
Home
DLLDL
2W 2D 6L
- Steady
Away
WWLDW
8W 1D 1L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionWednesday, 30th September 2026
2
Backing Liverpool W to win
Implied Prob
71.4%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-1.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
2 - Liverpool W to win
1.40
Over 2.5 Goals65%Over 1.5 Goals95%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Birmingham W vs Liverpool W Competition: England Women's League Cup Date: Wednesday, 30th September 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: 2 (Liverpool W to win) Odds: 1.40 Confidence: 70% Model Correct Score: 0-2 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%)
02Head to Head
6
Birmingham W
0
Draws
4
Liverpool W
10
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
10%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Liverpool W won 4 of 10 meetings.
03Stats Duel
Birmingham W
Metric
Liverpool W
1.1
Goals For / Game
3.3
2.1
Goals Against / Game
0.9
10%
Clean Sheets
50%
2-2-6
W - D - L
8-1-1
Win Rate
20%
80%
3.7
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
B0
0-0 4.9%
0-1 9.2%
0-2 8.7%
0-3 5.4%
0-4 2.6%
0-5 1.0%
B1
1-0 5.6%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 9.8%
1-3 6.2%
1-4 2.9%
1-5 1.1%
B2
2-0 3.2%
2-1 5.9%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 3.5%
2-4 1.7%
2-5 0.6%
B3
3-0 1.2%
3-1 2.3%
3-2 2.1%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
B4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
B5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
0-2 8.7% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
0-1 9.2% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
1-2 9.8% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Birmingham W
Overall
2.6^
Scoring
3.7^
Defence
3.0^
Liverpool W
Overall
8.3^
Scoring
10.0^
Defence
7.0^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes8%
Home Win & BTTS No9%
Draw & BTTS Yes6%
Draw & BTTS No7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes32%
Away Win & BTTS No39%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.511%
Home Win & Under 2.56%
Draw & Over 2.58%
Draw & Under 2.55%
Away Win & Over 2.546%
Away Win & Under 2.525%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
19.08.26
CF
Birmingham W0
Liverpool4
31.08.25
CF
Birmingham W0
Liverpool1
20.08.23
CF
Birmingham W1
Liverpool0
27.10.19
WSL
Birmingham W2
Liverpool0
28.04.19
WSL
Birmingham W2
Liverpool0
25.11.18
WSL
Liverpool W0
Birmingham2
25.03.18
WSL
Birmingham W4
Liverpool0
11.11.17
WSL
Liverpool W1
Birmingham0
07.05.17
WSL
Birmingham W0
Liverpool2
25.09.16
WSL
Birmingham W2
Liverpool1
Recent Form
Birmingham W
27.09.26
WSL
Birmingham W3
Crystal Palace W3
D
23.09.26
CUP
Everton W2
Birmingham W0
L
19.09.26
WSL
Chelsea W2
Birmingham W0
L
13.09.26
WSL
Birmingham W2
Brighton W2
D
06.09.26
WSL
Manchester City W3
Birmingham W1
L
19.08.26
CF
Birmingham W0
Liverpool W4
L
08.08.26
CF
Birmingham W3
Valencia W1
W
02.05.26
WSL2
Charlton W0
Birmingham W2
W
26.04.26
WSL2
Birmingham W0
Ipswich W3
L
06.04.26
FAC
Birmingham W0
Manchester City W1
L
Liverpool W
27.09.26
WSL
Liverpool W2
Everton W0
W
23.09.26
CUP
Liverpool W4
Sunderland W2
W
18.09.26
WSL
Manchester City W4
Liverpool W2
L
13.09.26
WSL
Liverpool W1
Tottenham W1
D
06.09.26
WSL
Charlton W0
Liverpool W4
W
30.08.26
CF
Liverpool W7
Durham W1
W
23.08.26
CF
Manchester Utd W1
Liverpool W2
W
19.08.26
CF
Birmingham W0
Liverpool W4
W
15.08.26
CF
Liverpool W2
Leicester W0
W
08.08.26
CF
Liverpool W5
Sheffield Utd W0
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this England Women’s League Cup fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 draws, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at St. Andrew’s Stadium (Birmingham), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 2 at @1.40, a call we are confident in at roughly 20%. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are England Women's League Cup predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 1 Oct 2026, 8:46am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Birmingham W vs Liverpool W?
Our selection is 2 - Liverpool W to win, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 70%.
What is Birmingham W's current form?
Birmingham W have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Liverpool W been performing recently?
Liverpool W have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Birmingham W lead with 6 wins versus Liverpool W's 4, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 10%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 0-2 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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