WON Tip WON Bodo Glimt 4-0 Lillestrom

Bodo Glimt vs Lillestrom — Prediction & Betting Tips

BBodo Glimt 4-0 LillestromL
8:00 pm ·Aspmyra Stadion (Bodø)
Home
WWWWW
9W 1D 0L
▲ Improving
Away
LWWWL
4W 0D 6L
▲ Improving
100SureTips SelectionFriday, 31st July 2026
1
Backing Bodo Glimt to win
Bodo Glimt
50%
Draw
30%
Lillestrom
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
80%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-13%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 — Bodo Glimt to win
1.25
Over 2.5 Goals70%Over 1.5 Goals90%Bodo Glimt Clean Sheet60%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Bodo Glimt vs Lillestrom Competition: Norway Eliteserien Date: Friday, 31st July 2026 KO: 8:00 pm Pick: 1 (Bodo Glimt to win) Odds: 1.25 Confidence: 67% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: Bodo Glimt Clean Sheet (60%)
02Head to Head
7
Bodo Glimt
1
Draws
2
Lillestrom
10
Meetings
3.9
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Bodo Glimt won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
03Stats Duel
Bodo Glimt
Metric
Lillestrom
3.1
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.5
60%
Clean Sheets
10%
9-1-0
W — D — L
4-0-6
Win Rate
90%
40%
3.3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
B0
0-0 2.9%
0-1 2.9%
0-2 1.5%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
B1
1-0 7.3%
1-1 7.4%
1-2 3.8%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 9.2%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 4.8%
2-3 1.6%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 7.8%
3-1 7.9%
3-2 4.0%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 4.9%
4-1 5.0%
4-2 2.5%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 2.5%
5-1 2.5%
5-2 1.3%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2–1 9.4% model probability
2–0 9.2% model probability
3–1 7.9% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
05Market Odds Intelligence
Bodo Glimt Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Lillestrom Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
06Team Ratings
Bodo Glimt
Overall
9.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
8.3
Lillestrom
Overall
4.0
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.0
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes34%
Home Win & BTTS No34%
Draw & BTTS Yes2%
Draw & BTTS No2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes15%
Away Win & BTTS No15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.547%
Home Win & Under 2.520%
Draw & Over 2.53%
Draw & Under 2.51%
Away Win & Over 2.520%
Away Win & Under 2.59%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
26.04.26
ELI
Lillestrom0
Bodo/Glimt2
22.03.26
NMC
Bodo/Glimt4
Lillestrom0
01.12.24
ELI
Bodo/Glimt5
Lillestrom2
01.05.24
NMC
Bodo/Glimt2
Lillestrom4
14.04.24
ELI
Lillestrom0
Bodo/Glimt5
30.10.23
ELI
Bodo/Glimt3
Lillestrom1
07.05.23
ELI
Lillestrom1
Bodo/Glimt2
26.04.23
NMC
Lillestrom1
Bodo/Glimt0
01.10.22
ELI
Lillestrom1
Bodo/Glimt4
08.05.22
ELI
Bodo/Glimt1
Lillestrom1
Recent Form
Bodo Glimt
26.07.26
ELI
Sandefjord0
Bodo/Glimt3
W
22.07.26
ELI
Bodo/Glimt3
HamKam0
W
17.07.26
ELI
Bodo/Glimt1
Fredrikstad0
W
12.07.26
ELI
KFUM Oslo0
Bodo/Glimt2
W
04.07.26
CF
Bodo/Glimt4
Start0
W
28.06.26
CF
Molde1
Bodo/Glimt4
W
29.05.26
ELI
Rosenborg2
Bodo/Glimt2
D
24.05.26
ELI
Bodo/Glimt3
Brann1
W
20.05.26
ELI
Start1
Bodo/Glimt4
W
16.05.26
ELI
Bodo/Glimt5
Tromso0
W
Lillestrom
22.07.26
ELI
Lillestrom1
Viking2
L
18.07.26
ELI
Lillestrom2
KFUM Oslo1
W
11.07.26
ELI
Fredrikstad0
Lillestrom2
W
03.07.26
CF
Lillestrom3
Sarpsborg 081
W
26.06.26
CF
Lillestrom2
Degerfors3
L
20.06.26
CF
Midtjylland1
Lillestrom0
L
25.05.26
ELI
HamKam2
Lillestrom0
L
20.05.26
ELI
Lillestrom1
Kristiansund2
L
16.05.26
ELI
Lillestrom3
Sandefjord1
W
10.05.26
ELI
Rosenborg2
Lillestrom0
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Norway Eliteserien fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 5 wins from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Aspmyra Stadion (Bodø), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.25, a call we are confident in at roughly 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 8:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "1" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Norway Eliteserien predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 3 Aug 2026, 11:02am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Bodo Glimt vs Lillestrom?
Our selection is 1 — Bodo Glimt to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Bodo Glimt's current form?
Bodo Glimt have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Lillestrom been performing recently?
Lillestrom have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Bodo Glimt lead with 7 wins versus Lillestrom's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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