LOST Tip LOST Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Werder Bremen

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen - Prediction & Betting Tips

BBorussia Dortmund 2-2 Werder BremenW
7:30 pm .Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)
Home
WWWWW
8W 1D 1L
- Steady
Away
LWDWL
5W 2D 3L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionFriday, 9th October 2026
1
Backing Borussia Dortmund to win
Implied Prob
79.4%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-11.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Borussia Dortmund to win
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals70%Over 1.5 Goals85%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Competition: German Bundesliga Date: Friday, 9th October 2026 KO: 7:30 pm Pick: 1 (Borussia Dortmund to win) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 68% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
02Head to Head
7
Borussia Dortmund
2
Draws
1
Werder Bremen
10
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Borussia Dortmund won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
03Stats Duel
Borussia Dortmund
Metric
Werder Bremen
2.4
Goals For / Game
1.9
1
Goals Against / Game
2
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
8-1-1
W - D - L
5-2-3
Win Rate
80%
50%
3.7
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

W0
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
B0
0-0 3.8%
0-1 4.4%
0-2 2.6%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 8.1%
1-1 9.3%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 8.5%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
B3
3-0 6.0%
3-1 6.9%
3-2 4.0%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 3.2%
4-1 3.6%
4-2 2.1%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
B5
5-0 1.3%
5-1 1.5%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.8% model probability
1-0 8.1% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-0 8.5% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Borussia Dortmund
Overall
8.3v
Scoring
8.0v
Defence
6.7v
Werder Bremen
Overall
5.6^
Scoring
6.3^
Defence
3.3^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes30%
Home Win & BTTS No25%
Draw & BTTS Yes6%
Draw & BTTS No5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes19%
Away Win & BTTS No16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.539%
Home Win & Under 2.517%
Draw & Over 2.57%
Draw & Under 2.53%
Away Win & Over 2.525%
Away Win & Under 2.511%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
16.05.26
BUN
Werder Bremen0
Dortmund2
13.01.26
BUN
Dortmund3
Werder Bremen0
25.01.25
BUN
Dortmund2
Werder Bremen2
31.08.24
BUN
Werder Bremen0
Dortmund0
09.03.24
BUN
Werder Bremen1
Dortmund2
20.10.23
BUN
Dortmund1
Werder Bremen0
11.02.23
BUN
Werder Bremen0
Dortmund2
20.08.22
BUN
Dortmund2
Werder Bremen3
18.04.21
BUN
Dortmund4
Werder Bremen1
15.12.20
BUN
Werder Bremen1
Dortmund2
Recent Form
Borussia Dortmund
19.09.26
BUN
Stuttgart0
Dortmund1
W
12.09.26
BUN
Dortmund3
Paderborn0
W
08.09.26
CL
Dortmund3
Villarreal2
W
05.09.26
BUN
Hoffenheim2
Dortmund3
W
01.09.26
POK
HEBC Hamburg0
Dortmund5
W
29.08.26
BUN
Dortmund2
Hamburger SV0
W
22.08.26
SC
Dortmund1
Bayern Munich2
L
15.08.26
CF
Dortmund2
AS Roma2
D
09.08.26
EMI
Arsenal2
Dortmund3
W
01.08.26
CF
FC Tokyo0
Dortmund1
W
Werder Bremen
02.10.26
CF
Twente7
Werder Bremen0
L
19.09.26
BUN
Werder Bremen3
Augsburg2
W
12.09.26
BUN
FC Koln1
Werder Bremen1
D
05.09.26
BUN
Werder Bremen3
RB Leipzig1
W
30.08.26
BUN
Freiburg4
Werder Bremen1
L
22.08.26
POK
Luneburger Hansa0
Werder Bremen3
W
15.08.26
CF
Werder Bremen0
Auxerre1
L
08.08.26
CF
Werder Bremen2
Paderborn2
D
01.08.26
CF
Cottbus2
Werder Bremen4
W
25.07.26
CF
Werder Bremen2
Bochum0
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this German Bundesliga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 5 wins from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.26, a call we are confident in at roughly 58%. The fixture starts at 7:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are German Bundesliga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 12 Oct 2026, 10:42am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Our selection is 1 - Borussia Dortmund to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Borussia Dortmund's current form?
Borussia Dortmund have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Werder Bremen been performing recently?
Werder Bremen have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Borussia Dortmund lead with 7 wins versus Werder Bremen's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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