LOST Tip LOST Cerro Porteno 2-2 San Lorenzo

Cerro Porteno vs San Lorenzo - Prediction & Betting Tips

CCerro Porteno 2-2 San LorenzoS
11:30 pm .Estadio Defensores del Chaco (Asunción)
Home
WLWLW
6W 2D 2L
- Steady
Away
DDDWL
1W 3D 6L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionWednesday, 14th October 2026
1
Backing Cerro Porteno to win
Implied Prob
75.8%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-22.8%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
5
Cerro Porteno
3
Draws
2
San Lorenzo
10
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Neutral Cerro Porteno won 5 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
03Stats Duel
Cerro Porteno
Metric
San Lorenzo
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.6
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.6
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-2-2
W - D - L
1-3-6
Win Rate
60%
10%
2.2
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
C0
0-0 10.2%
0-1 7.5%
0-2 2.7%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 15.8%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 4.2%
1-3 1.0%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
C2
2-0 12.3%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 3.3%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
C3
3-0 6.4%
3-1 4.7%
3-2 1.7%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 1.8%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-0 15.8% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-0 12.3% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
2-1 9.0% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Cerro Porteno
Overall
6.6-
Scoring
4.7-
Defence
7.3-
San Lorenzo
Overall
1.9v
Scoring
2.0v
Defence
4.7v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes32%
Home Win & BTTS No32%
Draw & BTTS Yes13%
Draw & BTTS No13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes6%
Away Win & BTTS No6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.528%
Home Win & Under 2.535%
Draw & Over 2.512%
Draw & Under 2.514%
Away Win & Over 2.55%
Away Win & Under 2.56%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
16.08.26
PD
Cerro Porteno1
San Lorenzo0
29.03.26
PD
Cerro Porteno2
San Lorenzo0
28.01.26
PD
San Lorenzo2
Cerro Porteno4
14.12.20
PD
Cerro Porteno1
San Lorenzo1
03.10.20
PD
San Lorenzo1
Cerro Porteno1
02.08.20
PD
Cerro Porteno4
San Lorenzo1
20.10.19
PD
Cerro Porteno2
San Lorenzo0
28.07.19
PD
San Lorenzo2
Cerro Porteno1
01.05.19
PD
Cerro Porteno1
San Lorenzo1
26.02.19
PD
San Lorenzo2
Cerro Porteno1
Recent Form
Cerro Porteno
10.10.26
PD
Sp. Luqueno0
Cerro Porteno3
W
05.10.26
PD
Cerro Porteno0
2 de Mayo2
L
30.09.26
COP
Cerro Porteno2
Rubio Nu1
W
26.09.26
PD
Sportivo Trinidense2
Cerro Porteno1
L
19.09.26
PD
Cerro Porteno1
Rubio Nu0
W
12.09.26
PD
Guarani1
Cerro Porteno1
D
07.09.26
PD
Cerro Porteno1
Nacional Asuncion0
W
03.09.26
PD
Recoleta1
Cerro Porteno3
W
30.08.26
PD
Cerro Porteno1
Libertad Asuncion1
D
27.08.26
COP
Resistencia0
Cerro Porteno1
W
San Lorenzo
10.10.26
PD
San Lorenzo1
Sportivo Trinidense1
D
03.10.26
PD
Guarani1
San Lorenzo1
D
28.09.26
PD
San Lorenzo0
Recoleta0
D
23.09.26
COP
San Lorenzo2
4 de Mayo1
W
20.09.26
PD
San Lorenzo0
Olimpia Asuncion3
L
11.09.26
PD
Ameliano1
San Lorenzo0
L
05.09.26
PD
San Lorenzo1
2 de Mayo2
L
01.09.26
PD
Rubio Nu3
San Lorenzo1
L
28.08.26
PD
San Lorenzo0
Nacional Asuncion3
L
24.08.26
PD
Libertad Asuncion1
San Lorenzo0
L
Cerro Porteno (Home)
05.10.26
PD
Cerro Porteno0
2 de Mayo2
L
30.09.26
COP
Cerro Porteno2
Rubio Nu1
W
19.09.26
PD
Cerro Porteno1
Rubio Nu0
W
07.09.26
PD
Cerro Porteno1
Nacional Asuncion0
W
30.08.26
PD
Cerro Porteno1
Libertad Asuncion1
D
19.08.26
COP
Cerro Porteno0
Palmeiras1
L
16.08.26
PD
Cerro Porteno1
San Lorenzo0
W
01.08.26
PD
Cerro Porteno3
Sp. Luqueno0
W
24.07.26
PD
Cerro Porteno1
Sportivo Trinidense2
L
28.05.26
COP
Cerro Porteno2
Sporting Cristal0
W
San Lorenzo (Away)
03.10.26
PD
Guarani1
San Lorenzo1
D
11.09.26
PD
Ameliano1
San Lorenzo0
L
01.09.26
PD
Rubio Nu3
San Lorenzo1
L
24.08.26
PD
Libertad Asuncion1
San Lorenzo0
L
16.08.26
PD
Cerro Porteno1
San Lorenzo0
L
12.08.26
COP
29 de Septiembre FBC1
San Lorenzo (2-4)1
03.08.26
PD
Sportivo Trinidense3
San Lorenzo0
L
25.07.26
PD
Recoleta1
San Lorenzo1
D
22.05.26
PD
2 de Mayo0
San Lorenzo1
W
02.05.26
PD
Libertad Asuncion5
San Lorenzo0
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Copa Paraguay fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Estadio Defensores del Chaco (Asunción), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.32, a call we are confident in at roughly 49%. The fixture starts at 11:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Copa Paraguay predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 15 Oct 2026, 10:19am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Cerro Porteno vs San Lorenzo?
Our selection is 1 - Cerro Porteno to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Cerro Porteno's current form?
Cerro Porteno have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has San Lorenzo been performing recently?
San Lorenzo have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cerro Porteno lead with 5 wins versus San Lorenzo's 2, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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