LOST Tip LOST Coventry 4-1 Newcastle

Coventry vs Newcastle - Prediction & Betting Tips

CCoventry 4-1 NewcastleN
8:00 pm .Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry)
Home
WLLLL
4W 1D 5L
^ Improving
Away
WLWDW
4W 3D 3L
v Declining
100SureTips SelectionMonday, 12th October 2026
X2
Backing Newcastle to win or draw
Implied Prob
77.5%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-77.5%
Overpriced
02Head to Head
1
Coventry
0
Draws
9
Newcastle
10
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
03Stats Duel
Coventry
Metric
Newcastle
1.1
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.6
Goals Against / Game
1.7
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-1-5
W - D - L
4-3-3
Win Rate
40%
40%
3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
C0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 6.9%
0-2 7.6%
0-3 5.5%
0-4 3.0%
0-5 1.3%
C1
1-0 4.0%
1-1 8.8%
1-2 9.6%
1-3 7.0%
1-4 3.8%
1-5 1.7%
C2
2-0 2.5%
2-1 5.5%
2-2 6.1%
2-3 4.4%
2-4 2.4%
2-5 1.1%
C3
3-0 1.1%
3-1 2.3%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.5%
C4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.7%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-2 9.6% model probability
0-2 7.6% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
1-1 8.8% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Coventry
Overall
4.3^
Scoring
3.7^
Defence
4.7^
Newcastle
Overall
4.9v
Scoring
5.3v
Defence
4.3v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes22%
Home Win & BTTS No18%
Draw & BTTS Yes11%
Draw & BTTS No9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes22%
Away Win & BTTS No18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.524%
Home Win & Under 2.516%
Draw & Over 2.512%
Draw & Under 2.58%
Away Win & Over 2.524%
Away Win & Under 2.516%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
17.02.10
CHA
Newcastle4
Coventry1
09.12.09
CHA
Coventry0
Newcastle2
26.08.08
EFL
Coventry2
Newcastle3
29.01.05
FAC
Newcastle3
Coventry1
13.01.01
PL
Newcastle3
Coventry1
06.09.00
PL
Coventry0
Newcastle2
29.04.00
PL
Newcastle2
Coventry0
16.10.99
PL
Coventry4
Newcastle1
17.02.99
PL
Newcastle4
Coventry1
19.09.98
PL
Coventry1
Newcastle5
Recent Form
Coventry
19.09.26
PL
Nottingham0
Coventry1
W
16.09.26
EFL
Coventry1
Aston Villa3
L
13.09.26
PL
Coventry0
Brighton5
L
05.09.26
PL
Manchester City1
Coventry0
L
29.08.26
PL
Coventry0
Hull1
L
25.08.26
EFL
Plymouth2
Coventry4
W
21.08.26
PL
Arsenal3
Coventry0
L
14.08.26
CF
Coventry2
Monaco0
W
08.08.26
CF
Coventry3
Espanyol1
W
18.07.26
CF
Northampton0
Coventry0
D
Newcastle
19.09.26
PL
Newcastle2
Hull1
W
14.09.26
PL
Leeds4
Newcastle1
L
08.09.26
EFL
Millwall0
Newcastle1
W
05.09.26
PL
Newcastle2
Bournemouth2
D
29.08.26
PL
Tottenham0
Newcastle2
W
26.08.26
EFL
Newcastle3
West Brom2
W
23.08.26
PL
Newcastle2
Liverpool2
D
16.08.26
CF
Newcastle1
Strasbourg (2-3)1
15.08.26
CF
Newcastle1
Bayer Leverkusen2
L
12.08.26
CF
Newcastle1
Everton3
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this English Premier League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is X2 at @1.29, a call we are confident in at roughly 78%. The fixture starts at 8:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are English Premier League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 14 Oct 2026, 9:53am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Coventry vs Newcastle?
Our selection is X2 - Newcastle to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.29.
What is Coventry's current form?
Coventry have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Newcastle been performing recently?
Newcastle have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Coventry lead with 1 wins versus Newcastle's 9, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-2 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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