Strong Signal
81%

Cracovia vs Pogon Szczecin — Prediction & Betting Tips

CCracovia vs Pogon SzczecinP
6:00 pm · ·Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków)
Home
DWWWL
3W 6D 1L
→ Steady
Away
LLLWL
4W 1D 5L
▲ Improving
100SureTips SelectionMonday, 3rd August 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob
77.5%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+3.5%
Value detected
Kelly %
15.5%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
1
Cracovia
4
Draws
5
Pogon Szczecin
10
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 100% of H2H.
03Stats Duel
Cracovia
Metric
Pogon Szczecin
1.2
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.3
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
3-6-1
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
30%
40%
2.3
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
C0
0-0 5.7%
0-1 9.1%
0-2 7.2%
0-3 3.8%
0-4 1.5%
0-5 0.5%
C1
1-0 7.3%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 9.2%
1-3 4.9%
1-4 1.9%
1-5 0.6%
C2
2-0 4.6%
2-1 7.4%
2-2 5.9%
2-3 3.1%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.4%
C3
3-0 2.0%
3-1 3.1%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.2%
C4
4-0 0.6%
4-1 1.0%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1–1 11.6% model probability · seen ×4 in H2H
1–2 9.2% model probability
0–1 9.1% model probability
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Cracovia
Overall
4.8
Scoring
4.0
Defence
7.3
Pogon Szczecin
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
5.7
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes12%
Home Win & BTTS No17%
Draw & BTTS Yes13%
Draw & BTTS No20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes15%
Away Win & BTTS No23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.512%
Home Win & Under 2.517%
Draw & Over 2.513%
Draw & Under 2.520%
Away Win & Over 2.515%
Away Win & Under 2.523%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
25.04.26
EKS
Cracovia1
Pogon Szczecin1
25.10.25
EKS
Pogon Szczecin2
Cracovia1
14.03.25
EKS
Pogon Szczecin5
Cracovia2
14.09.24
EKS
Cracovia2
Pogon Szczecin1
30.03.24
EKS
Pogon Szczecin3
Cracovia1
23.09.23
EKS
Cracovia1
Pogon Szczecin5
08.04.23
EKS
Pogon Szczecin3
Cracovia2
17.09.22
EKS
Cracovia1
Pogon Szczecin1
12.03.22
EKS
Cracovia1
Pogon Szczecin1
18.09.21
EKS
Pogon Szczecin1
Cracovia1
Recent Form
Cracovia
25.07.26
EKS
Lech Poznan0
Cracovia0
D
19.07.26
CF
Cracovia1
Sevilla0
W
09.07.26
CF
Cracovia2
FK Pardubice0
W
06.07.26
CF
Cracovia3
Basaksehir1
W
03.07.26
CF
Cracovia1
Pafos2
L
23.05.26
EKS
Cracovia1
Korona Kielce1
D
16.05.26
EKS
Motor Lublin3
Cracovia3
D
11.05.26
EKS
Cracovia0
Radomiak Radom0
D
03.05.26
EKS
Zaglebie0
Cracovia0
D
25.04.26
EKS
Cracovia1
Pogon Szczecin1
D
Pogon Szczecin
24.07.26
EKS
Pogon Szczecin0
Legia1
L
15.07.26
CF
Sturm Graz1
Pogon Szczecin0
L
11.07.26
CF
Fenerbahce4
Pogon Szczecin0
L
08.07.26
CF
Pogon Szczecin2
Chrobry Glogow1
W
04.07.26
CF
Zaglebie2
Pogon Szczecin0
L
27.06.26
CF
BFC Dynamo0
Pogon Szczecin3
W
23.05.26
EKS
Pogon Szczecin1
GKS Katowice1
D
15.05.26
EKS
Zaglebie0
Pogon Szczecin1
W
09.05.26
EKS
Jagiellonia3
Pogon Szczecin2
L
03.05.26
EKS
Pogon Szczecin3
Wisla Plock0
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Poland Ekstraklasa fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 1.5 at @1.29, a call we are confident in at roughly 80%. The fixture starts at 6:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "Over 1.5" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Poland Ekstraklasa predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 3 Aug 2026, 8:53am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Cracovia vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 81%.
What is Cracovia's current form?
Cracovia have won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Pogon Szczecin been performing recently?
Pogon Szczecin have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cracovia lead with 1 wins versus Pogon Szczecin's 5, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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