WON Tip WON Cyprus 2-1 Latvia

Cyprus vs Latvia - Prediction & Betting Tips

CCyprus 2-1 LatviaL
7:45 pm .GSP Stadium (Nicosia)
Home
WDLWD
4W 2D 4L
- Steady
Away
LDLLL
2W 3D 5L
v Declining
100SureTips SelectionMonday, 5th October 2026
1X
Backing Cyprus to win or draw
Implied Prob
93.5%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-14.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1X - Cyprus to win or draw
1.07
Under 2.5 Goals65%BTTS - No65%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Cyprus vs Latvia Competition: UEFA Nations League Date: Monday, 5th October 2026 KO: 7:45 pm Pick: 1X (Cyprus to win or draw) Odds: 1.07 Confidence: 79% Model Correct Score: 1-0 Also: Under 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: BTTS - No (65%)
02Head to Head
2
Cyprus
2
Draws
0
Latvia
4
Meetings
1.3
Avg Goals
25%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
03Stats Duel
Cyprus
Metric
Latvia
1.5
Goals For / Game
0.5
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.3
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
4-2-4
W - D - L
2-3-5
Win Rate
40%
20%
2.3
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
C0
0-0 16.6%
0-1 9.6%
0-2 2.8%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 20.2%
1-1 11.7%
1-2 3.4%
1-3 0.7%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
C2
2-0 12.3%
2-1 7.1%
2-2 2.1%
2-3 0.4%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
C3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 2.9%
3-2 0.8%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-0 20.2% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
0-0 16.6% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-0 12.3% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Cyprus
Overall
4.6-
Scoring
5.0-
Defence
6.0-
Latvia
Overall
2.9^
Scoring
1.7^
Defence
5.7^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes16%
Home Win & BTTS No31%
Draw & BTTS Yes10%
Draw & BTTS No19%
Away Win & BTTS Yes8%
Away Win & BTTS No16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.516%
Home Win & Under 2.531%
Draw & Over 2.510%
Draw & Under 2.519%
Away Win & Over 2.58%
Away Win & Under 2.516%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
28.09.26
UNL
Latvia0
Cyprus0
21.03.24
FI
Cyprus1
Latvia1
14.02.97
FI
Cyprus2
Latvia0
12.03.96
FI
Cyprus1
Latvia0
Recent Form
Cyprus
02.10.26
UNL
Cyprus2
Armenia0
W
28.09.26
UNL
Latvia0
Cyprus0
D
25.09.26
UNL
Montenegro2
Cyprus1
L
07.06.26
FI
Liechtenstein0
Cyprus2
W
04.06.26
FI
Slovenia1
Cyprus1
D
30.03.26
FI
Cyprus3
Moldova2
W
26.03.26
FI
Cyprus0
Belarus1
L
18.11.25
FI
Cyprus2
Estonia4
L
15.11.25
WC
Cyprus0
Austria2
L
12.10.25
WC
San Marino0
Cyprus4
W
Latvia
02.10.26
UNL
Latvia1
Montenegro2
L
28.09.26
UNL
Latvia0
Cyprus0
D
25.09.26
UNL
Armenia2
Latvia0
L
09.06.26
CUP
Latvia0
Faroe Islands1
L
06.06.26
CUP
Lithuania1
Latvia (5-4)1
31.03.26
UNL
Latvia1
Gibraltar0
W
26.03.26
UNL
Gibraltar0
Latvia1
W
16.11.25
WC
Serbia2
Latvia1
L
13.11.25
FI
North Macedonia0
Latvia0
D
14.10.25
WC
Latvia0
England5
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this UEFA Nations League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at GSP Stadium (Nicosia), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1X at @1.07, a call we are confident in at roughly 79%. The fixture starts at 7:45 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are UEFA Nations League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 6 Oct 2026, 8:40am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Cyprus vs Latvia?
Our selection is 1X - Cyprus to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.07. Tip confidence rating: 79%.
What is Cyprus's current form?
Cyprus have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Latvia been performing recently?
Latvia have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cyprus lead with 2 wins versus Latvia's 0, with 2 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 25%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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