Moderate Signal
49%

Esteghlal vs Shams Azar Qazvin - Prediction & Betting Tips

EEsteghlal vs Shams Azar QazvinS
3:15 pm .- .Azadi Stadium (Tehran)
Home
LDWWD
4W 5D 1L
v Declining
Away
LDDLL
1W 4D 5L
v Declining
100SureTips SelectionFriday, 30th October 2026
1
Backing Esteghlal to win
Implied Prob
78.7%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-29.7%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Esteghlal to win
1.27
Under 2.5 Goals80%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Esteghlal vs Shams Azar Qazvin Competition: Iran Persian Gulf Pro League Date: Friday, 30th October 2026 KO: 3:15 pm Pick: 1 (Esteghlal to win) Odds: 1.27 Confidence: 49% Model Correct Score: 1-0 Also: Under 2.5 Goals (80%)
02Head to Head
4
Esteghlal
2
Draws
1
Shams Azar Qazvin
7
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
86%
BTTS
71%
Over 2.5
Neutral Esteghlal won 4 of the last 7 meetings (2 draws).
03Stats Duel
Esteghlal
Metric
Shams Azar Qazvin
1
Goals For / Game
0.7
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
4-5-1
W - D - L
1-4-5
Win Rate
40%
10%
1.8
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
E0
0-0 10.8%
0-1 9.1%
0-2 3.9%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
E1
1-0 14.9%
1-1 12.6%
1-2 5.3%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
E2
2-0 10.3%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 3.7%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
E3
3-0 4.7%
3-1 4.0%
3-2 1.7%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
E4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
E5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-0 14.9% model probability
2-0 10.3% model probability
2-1 8.7% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Esteghlal
Overall
5.5-
Scoring
3.3-
Defence
8.0-
Shams Azar Qazvin
Overall
2.2^
Scoring
2.3^
Defence
6.0^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes17%
Home Win & BTTS No25%
Draw & BTTS Yes19%
Draw & BTTS No28%
Away Win & BTTS Yes4%
Away Win & BTTS No7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.58%
Home Win & Under 2.534%
Draw & Over 2.59%
Draw & Under 2.538%
Away Win & Over 2.52%
Away Win & Under 2.59%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
05.02.26
PGL
Esteghlal F.C.3
Shams Azar Qazvin2
26.09.25
PGL
Shams Azar Qazvin1
Esteghlal F.C.1
13.02.25
HC
Shams Azar Qazvin1
Esteghlal F.C.2
20.01.25
PGL
Esteghlal F.C.0
Shams Azar Qazvin1
16.08.24
PGL
Shams Azar Qazvin1
Esteghlal F.C.2
19.04.24
PGL
Esteghlal F.C.3
Shams Azar Qazvin2
02.11.23
PGL
Shams Azar Qazvin2
Esteghlal F.C.2
Recent Form
Esteghlal
27.10.26
CL
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai2
Esteghlal F.C.0
L
23.10.26
PGL
Chadormalu1
Esteghlal F.C.1
D
19.10.26
PGL
Esteghlal F.C.1
Gol Gohar0
W
12.10.26
CL
Al Gharafa1
Esteghlal F.C.2
W
08.10.26
PGL
Tractor1
Esteghlal F.C.1
D
14.09.26
CL
Esteghlal F.C.3
Al Sadd0
W
10.09.26
PGL
Esteghlal F.C.1
Paykan0
W
06.09.26
PGL
Aluminium Arak0
Esteghlal F.C.0
D
02.09.26
PGL
Esteghlal F.C.1
Persepolis1
D
28.08.26
PGL
Foolad0
Esteghlal F.C.0
D
Shams Azar Qazvin
25.10.26
PGL
Esteghlal Khuzestan2
Shams Azar Qazvin0
L
18.10.26
PGL
Shams Azar Qazvin0
Sepahan0
D
10.10.26
PGL
Paykan1
Shams Azar Qazvin1
D
10.09.26
PGL
Shams Azar Qazvin2
Gol Gohar3
L
06.09.26
PGL
Chadormalu1
Shams Azar Qazvin0
L
01.09.26
PGL
Shams Azar Qazvin0
Tractor0
D
28.08.26
PGL
Nassaji Mazandaran0
Shams Azar Qazvin2
W
23.08.26
PGL
Shams Azar Qazvin1
Aluminium Arak2
L
19.08.26
PGL
Foolad1
Shams Azar Qazvin1
D
15.08.26
PGL
Shams Azar Qazvin0
Persepolis2
L
Esteghlal (Home)
19.10.26
PGL
Esteghlal F.C.1
Gol Gohar0
W
14.09.26
CL
Esteghlal F.C.3
Al Sadd0
W
10.09.26
PGL
Esteghlal F.C.1
Paykan0
W
02.09.26
PGL
Esteghlal F.C.1
Persepolis1
D
23.08.26
PGL
Esteghlal F.C.2
Sepahan0
W
14.08.26
PGL
Esteghlal F.C.4
Mes Shahr Babak0
W
27.02.26
PGL
Esteghlal F.C.2
Fajr Sepasi1
W
10.02.26
CL2
Esteghlal F.C.0
Al Hussein1
L
05.02.26
PGL
Esteghlal F.C.3
Shams Azar Qazvin2
W
27.01.26
PGL
Esteghlal F.C.1
Esteghlal Khuzestan0
W
Shams Azar Qazvin (Away)
25.10.26
PGL
Esteghlal Khuzestan2
Shams Azar Qazvin0
L
10.10.26
PGL
Paykan1
Shams Azar Qazvin1
D
06.09.26
PGL
Chadormalu1
Shams Azar Qazvin0
L
28.08.26
PGL
Nassaji Mazandaran0
Shams Azar Qazvin2
W
19.08.26
PGL
Foolad1
Shams Azar Qazvin1
D
20.02.26
PGL
Fajr Sepasi1
Shams Azar Qazvin0
L
05.02.26
PGL
Esteghlal F.C.3
Shams Azar Qazvin2
L
28.01.26
PGL
Paykan0
Shams Azar Qazvin1
W
23.01.26
PGL
Chadormalu0
Shams Azar Qazvin0
D
17.12.25
PGL
Zob Ahan0
Shams Azar Qazvin0
D
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Iran Persian Gulf Pro League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Azadi Stadium (Tehran), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 draws, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.27, a call we are confident in at roughly 51%. The fixture starts at 3:15 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Iran Persian Gulf Pro League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 30 Oct 2026, 7:39am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Esteghlal vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Our selection is 1 - Esteghlal to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 49%.
What is Esteghlal's current form?
Esteghlal have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Shams Azar Qazvin been performing recently?
Shams Azar Qazvin have recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Esteghlal lead with 4 wins versus Shams Azar Qazvin's 1, with 2 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 86%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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