Strong Signal
67%

Falcon U20 vs Guarany SE U20 - Prediction & Betting Tips

FFalcon U20 vs Guarany SE U20G
7:00 pm .- .N/A
Home
WWWLW
7W 0D 3L
- Steady
Away
DDWWL
4W 2D 4L
v Declining
100SureTips SelectionWednesday, 23rd September 2026
1
Backing Falcon U20 to win
Implied Prob
74.1%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-7.1%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Falcon U20 to win
1.35
Over 1.5 Goals85%BTTS - No75%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Falcon U20 vs Guarany SE U20 Competition: Brazil Sergipano U20 Date: Wednesday, 23rd September 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: 1 (Falcon U20 to win) Odds: 1.35 Confidence: 67% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS - No (75%)
02Head to Head
1
Falcon U20
0
Draws
0
Guarany SE U20
1
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Falcon U20 won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
03Stats Duel
Falcon U20
Metric
Guarany SE U20
1.8
Goals For / Game
2
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.5
50%
Clean Sheets
50%
7-0-3
W - D - L
4-2-4
Win Rate
70%
40%
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
F0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 6.1%
0-2 4.3%
0-3 2.0%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.2%
F1
1-0 7.5%
1-1 10.6%
1-2 7.4%
1-3 3.5%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.3%
F2
2-0 6.5%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
F3
3-0 3.8%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
F4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
F5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.2% model probability
1-0 7.5% model probability
2-0 6.5% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Falcon U20
Overall
7.0v
Scoring
6.0v
Defence
7.0v
Guarany SE U20
Overall
4.6-
Scoring
6.7-
Defence
5.0-
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes15%
Home Win & BTTS No44%
Draw & BTTS Yes2%
Draw & BTTS No6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes9%
Away Win & BTTS No26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.535%
Home Win & Under 2.523%
Draw & Over 2.55%
Draw & Under 2.53%
Away Win & Over 2.520%
Away Win & Under 2.514%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
28.05.25
SER
Guarany SE U201
Falcon U203
Recent Form
Falcon U20
19.09.26
SER
Itabaiana U200
Falcon U204
W
16.09.26
SER
Falcon U202
Confianca U201
W
12.09.26
SER
Falcon U202
Lagarto U200
W
09.09.26
COP
Sergipe U201
Falcon U200
L
05.09.26
SER
Sergipe U200
Falcon U202
W
08.01.26
CPH
Falcon U203
Galvez U200
W
05.01.26
CPH
Votuporanguense U203
Falcon U200
L
02.01.26
CPH
Gremio U203
Falcon U200
L
05.06.25
SER
Falcon U202
Sergipe U200
W
01.06.25
SER
Falcon U203
Itabaiana U201
W
Guarany SE U20
19.09.26
SER
Guarany SE U200
Confianca U200
D
12.09.26
SER
Sergipe U205
Guarany SE U205
D
09.09.26
SER
Guarany SE U203
Atletico Gloriense U200
W
05.09.26
SER
Desportiva Aracaju U200
Guarany SE U203
W
28.05.25
SER
Guarany SE U201
Falcon U203
L
26.05.25
SER
Dorense U200
Guarany SE U202
W
18.05.25
SER
Barra SE U200
Guarany SE U205
W
10.05.25
SER
Guarany SE U200
America SE U202
L
01.05.25
SER
Guarany SE U200
Carmopolis U201
L
28.04.25
SER
Itabaiana U204
Guarany SE U201
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Brazil Sergipano U20 fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at N/A, that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.35, a call we are confident in at roughly 52%. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Brazil Sergipano U20 predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 23 Sep 2026, 8:18am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Falcon U20 vs Guarany SE U20?
Our selection is 1 - Falcon U20 to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Falcon U20's current form?
Falcon U20 have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Guarany SE U20 been performing recently?
Guarany SE U20 have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Falcon U20 lead with 1 wins versus Guarany SE U20's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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