WON Tip WON Fenerbahce 1-1 Roma

Fenerbahce vs Roma - Prediction & Betting Tips

FFenerbahce 1-1 RomaR
5:45 pm .Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu (Istanbul)
Home
LWWWD
6W 2D 2L
^ Improving
Away
WWWDL
6W 2D 2L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionThursday, 10th September 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob
82.6%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+3.4%
Value detected
Kelly %
19.3%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 - over 1.5 goals
1.21
Over 1.5 Goals90%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Fenerbahce vs Roma Competition: UEFA Champions League Date: Thursday, 10th September 2026 KO: 5:45 pm Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 86% Model Correct Score: 1-1 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
02Head to Head
0
Fenerbahce
1
Draws
0
Roma
1
Meetings
6
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 100% of H2H.
03Stats Duel
Fenerbahce
Metric
Roma
1.6
Goals For / Game
2.4
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.4
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
6-2-2
W - D - L
6-2-2
Win Rate
60%
60%
3.2
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
F0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 7.1%
0-2 5.8%
0-3 3.2%
0-4 1.3%
0-5 0.4%
F1
1-0 6.4%
1-1 10.6%
1-2 8.8%
1-3 4.8%
1-4 2.0%
1-5 0.7%
F2
2-0 4.8%
2-1 8.0%
2-2 6.6%
2-3 3.6%
2-4 1.5%
2-5 0.5%
F3
3-0 2.4%
3-1 4.0%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.3%
F4
4-0 0.9%
4-1 1.5%
4-2 1.2%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
F5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-1 10.6% model probability
1-2 8.8% model probability
2-1 8.0% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Fenerbahce
Overall
6.6-
Scoring
5.3-
Defence
7.0-
Roma
Overall
6.6-
Scoring
8.0-
Defence
5.3-
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes24%
Home Win & BTTS No19%
Draw & BTTS Yes8%
Draw & BTTS No6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes24%
Away Win & BTTS No19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.526%
Home Win & Under 2.517%
Draw & Over 2.58%
Draw & Under 2.56%
Away Win & Over 2.526%
Away Win & Under 2.517%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
19.08.14
CF
AS Roma3
Fenerbahce3
Recent Form
Fenerbahce
05.09.26
SL
Fenerbahce1
Besiktas2
L
30.08.26
SL
Samsunspor0
Fenerbahce2
W
26.08.26
CL
Lyon1
Fenerbahce2
W
22.08.26
SL
Fenerbahce4
Konyaspor2
W
18.08.26
CL
Fenerbahce1
Lyon1
D
15.08.26
SL
Genclerbirligi2
Fenerbahce1
L
11.08.26
CL
Sturm Graz0
Fenerbahce1
W
05.08.26
CL
Fenerbahce2
Sturm Graz0
W
29.07.26
CL
Gornik Zabrze1
Fenerbahce1
D
21.07.26
CL
Fenerbahce1
Gornik Zabrze0
W
Roma
05.09.26
SA
AS Roma2
Atalanta1
W
31.08.26
SA
Lecce0
AS Roma4
W
24.08.26
SA
AS Roma4
Fiorentina0
W
15.08.26
CF
Dortmund2
AS Roma2
D
08.08.26
CF
Brighton3
AS Roma0
L
04.08.26
CF
Newport1
AS Roma4
W
01.08.26
CF
Cardiff4
AS Roma1
L
26.07.26
CF
Cannes3
AS Roma3
D
24.05.26
SA
Verona0
AS Roma2
W
17.05.26
SA
AS Roma2
Lazio0
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this UEFA Champions League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu (Istanbul), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 1.5 at @1.21, a call we are confident in at roughly 79. The fixture starts at 5:45 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are UEFA Champions League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 11 Sep 2026, 8:50am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Fenerbahce vs Roma?
Our selection is Over 1.5 - over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 86%.
What is Fenerbahce's current form?
Fenerbahce have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Roma been performing recently?
Roma have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Fenerbahce lead with 0 wins versus Roma's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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