Moderate Signal
56%

Flora vs Parnu JK Vaprus - Prediction & Betting Tips

FFlora vs Parnu JK VaprusP
5:00 pm .- .A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)
Home
WDWWL
4W 1D 5L
v Declining
Away
LLWWL
3W 2D 5L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionSunday, 20th September 2026
1
Backing Flora to win
Implied Prob
70.4%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-14.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Flora to win
1.42
Over 2.5 Goals80%Over 1.5 Goals95%BTTS - Yes70%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Flora vs Parnu JK Vaprus Competition: Estonia Meistriliiga Date: Sunday, 20th September 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1 (Flora to win) Odds: 1.42 Confidence: 56% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: BTTS - Yes (70%)
02Head to Head
8
Flora
1
Draws
1
Parnu JK Vaprus
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Flora won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
03Stats Duel
Flora
Metric
Parnu JK Vaprus
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.6
2.2
Goals Against / Game
1.9
0%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-1-5
W - D - L
3-2-5
Win Rate
40%
30%
3.7
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
F0
0-0 3.6%
0-1 5.4%
0-2 4.0%
0-3 2.0%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.2%
F1
1-0 6.6%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 7.3%
1-3 3.6%
1-4 1.3%
1-5 0.4%
F2
2-0 6.1%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.3%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.4%
F3
3-0 3.7%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 4.1%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.2%
F4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 2.6%
4-2 1.9%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
F5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.1% model probability
1-0 6.6% model probability
2-0 6.1% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Flora
Overall
4.3v
Scoring
5.3v
Defence
2.7v
Parnu JK Vaprus
Overall
3.6v
Scoring
5.3v
Defence
3.7v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes33%
Home Win & BTTS No14%
Draw & BTTS Yes13%
Draw & BTTS No5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes25%
Away Win & BTTS No11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.538%
Home Win & Under 2.59%
Draw & Over 2.514%
Draw & Under 2.54%
Away Win & Over 2.528%
Away Win & Under 2.57%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
23.08.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Flora2
16.06.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Flora2
12.04.26
ML
Flora2
Parnu JK Vaprus0
17.01.26
CF
Parnu JK Vaprus2
Flora2
08.11.25
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Flora3
13.09.25
ML
Flora3
Parnu JK Vaprus0
02.05.25
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Flora3
08.03.25
ML
Flora0
Parnu JK Vaprus1
29.09.24
ML
Flora3
Parnu JK Vaprus0
23.08.24
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Flora1
Recent Form
Flora
12.09.26
ML
Nomme Utd2
Flora3
W
08.09.26
ML
Narva2
Flora2
D
05.09.26
ML
Flora2
Kalju1
W
02.09.26
ML
Flora3
Tammeka2
W
30.08.26
ML
Flora1
Paide2
L
26.08.26
ML
Tammeka3
Flora1
L
23.08.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Flora2
W
16.08.26
ML
Flora2
Kuressaare3
L
13.08.26
UECL
Flora0
Inter Escaldes4
L
06.08.26
UECL
Inter Escaldes2
Flora0
L
Parnu JK Vaprus
16.09.26
ML
Paide2
Parnu JK Vaprus0
L
12.09.26
ML
Levadia4
Parnu JK Vaprus0
L
09.09.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus3
Harju JK Laagri2
W
05.09.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Nomme Utd0
W
02.09.26
CUP
Nomme Utd3
Parnu JK Vaprus2
L
29.08.26
ML
Kuressaare2
Parnu JK Vaprus2
D
23.08.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Flora2
L
16.08.26
ML
Kalju3
Parnu JK Vaprus1
L
12.08.26
CUP
Johvi Phoenix0
Parnu JK Vaprus5
W
02.08.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Levadia1
D
Flora (Home)
05.09.26
ML
Flora2
Kalju1
W
02.09.26
ML
Flora3
Tammeka2
W
30.08.26
ML
Flora1
Paide2
L
16.08.26
ML
Flora2
Kuressaare3
L
13.08.26
UECL
Flora0
Inter Escaldes4
L
02.08.26
ML
Flora1
Harju JK Laagri0
W
23.07.26
UECL
Flora1
TNS0
W
17.07.26
ML
Flora1
Nomme Utd2
L
08.07.26
CL
Flora2
Iberia 19993
L
21.06.26
ML
Flora1
Paide2
Parnu JK Vaprus (Away)
16.09.26
ML
Paide2
Parnu JK Vaprus0
L
12.09.26
ML
Levadia4
Parnu JK Vaprus0
L
02.09.26
CUP
Nomme Utd3
Parnu JK Vaprus2
L
29.08.26
ML
Kuressaare2
Parnu JK Vaprus2
D
16.08.26
ML
Kalju3
Parnu JK Vaprus1
L
12.08.26
CUP
Johvi Phoenix0
Parnu JK Vaprus5
W
21.07.26
CUP
Tabasalu Ulasabat1
Parnu JK Vaprus4
W
18.07.26
ML
Narva3
Parnu JK Vaprus1
L
04.07.26
ML
Paide3
Parnu JK Vaprus1
L
13.06.26
ML
Tammeka0
Parnu JK Vaprus0
D
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Estonia Meistriliiga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.42, a call we are confident in at roughly 52%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Estonia Meistriliiga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 20 Sep 2026, 6:19am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Flora vs Parnu JK Vaprus?
Our selection is 1 - Flora to win, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Flora's current form?
Flora have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Parnu JK Vaprus been performing recently?
Parnu JK Vaprus have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Flora lead with 8 wins versus Parnu JK Vaprus's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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