Moderate Signal
63%

Flora vs Tartu Welco - Prediction & Betting Tips

FFlora vs Tartu WelcoT
6:00 pm .- .A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)
Home
WWLLW
5W 1D 4L
^ Improving
Away
WWWWW
7W 2D 1L
v Declining
100SureTips SelectionWednesday, 4th November 2026
1
Backing Flora to win
Implied Prob
86.2%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-23.2%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Flora to win
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals70%Over 1.5 Goals95%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Flora vs Tartu Welco Competition: Estonian Cup Date: Wednesday, 4th November 2026 KO: 6:00 pm Pick: 1 (Flora to win) Odds: 1.16 Confidence: 63% Model Correct Score: 3-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%)
02Head to Head
2
Flora
0
Draws
0
Tartu Welco
2
Meetings
5
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Flora won 2 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
03Stats Duel
Flora
Metric
Tartu Welco
2.5
Goals For / Game
2.7
1.7
Goals Against / Game
1
20%
Clean Sheets
50%
5-1-4
W - D - L
7-2-1
Win Rate
50%
70%
4
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
F0
0-0 1.2%
0-1 1.4%
0-2 0.9%
0-3 0.3%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
F1
1-0 3.9%
1-1 4.6%
1-2 2.8%
1-3 1.1%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
F2
2-0 6.2%
2-1 7.5%
2-2 4.5%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
F3
3-0 6.7%
3-1 8.0%
3-2 4.8%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.1%
F4
4-0 5.4%
4-1 6.5%
4-2 3.9%
4-3 1.6%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.1%
F5
5-0 3.5%
5-1 4.2%
5-2 2.5%
5-3 1.0%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.1%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
3-1 8.0% model probability
2-1 7.5% model probability
3-0 6.7% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Flora
Overall
5.3v
Scoring
8.3v
Defence
4.3v
Tartu Welco
Overall
7.6v
Scoring
9.0v
Defence
6.7v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes22%
Home Win & BTTS No15%
Draw & BTTS Yes7%
Draw & BTTS No4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes31%
Away Win & BTTS No21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.526%
Home Win & Under 2.511%
Draw & Over 2.58%
Draw & Under 2.53%
Away Win & Over 2.536%
Away Win & Under 2.516%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
17.07.16
CUP
Tartu Welco0
Flora8
29.09.15
CUP
Tartu Welco0
Flora2
Recent Form
Flora
01.11.26
ML
Flora2
Narva0
W
29.10.26
CUP
Flora10
Tallinna Kalev U211
W
25.10.26
ML
Kalju2
Flora1
L
21.10.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri3
Flora1
L
18.10.26
ML
Flora2
Tammeka0
W
15.10.26
ML
Flora1
Levadia3
L
11.10.26
ML
Kuressaare2
Flora0
L
20.09.26
ML
Flora3
Parnu JK Vaprus2
W
12.09.26
ML
Nomme Utd2
Flora3
W
08.09.26
ML
Narva2
Flora2
D
Tartu Welco
31.10.26
ESI
Flora U211
Tartu Welco2
W
23.10.26
ESI
Tartu Welco3
Tallinna Kalev2
W
18.10.26
ESI
Tartu Welco4
Nomme Utd U213
W
15.10.26
ESI
FC Tallinn0
Tartu Welco7
W
09.10.26
ESI
Tartu Welco4
Elva0
W
17.09.26
ESI
Viimsi JK0
Tartu Welco2
W
14.09.26
ESI
Tartu Welco3
Nomme Kalju U210
W
10.09.26
ESI
Levadia U210
Tartu Welco0
D
05.09.26
ESI
Tallinna Kalev1
Tartu Welco1
D
29.08.26
ESI
Tartu Welco1
Viimsi JK3
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Estonian Cup fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 5 wins from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.16, a call we are confident in at roughly close to 59. The fixture starts at 6:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Estonian Cup predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 4 Nov 2026, 5:59am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Flora vs Tartu Welco?
Our selection is 1 - Flora to win, priced at approximately 1.16. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Flora's current form?
Flora have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Tartu Welco been performing recently?
Tartu Welco have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Flora lead with 2 wins versus Tartu Welco's 0, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 3-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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