WON Tip WON Freiburg 3-2 Jablonec

Freiburg vs Jablonec - Prediction & Betting Tips

FFreiburg 3-2 JablonecJ
8:00 pm .Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg)
Home
WWDWW
9W 1D 0L
- Steady
Away
WWDLW
4W 2D 4L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionThursday, 15th October 2026
1
Backing Freiburg to win
Implied Prob
80.6%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-8.6%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
03Stats Duel
Freiburg
Metric
Jablonec
3.3
Goals For / Game
0.9
0.9
Goals Against / Game
0.9
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
9-1-0
W - D - L
4-2-4
Win Rate
90%
40%
3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
F0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 2.0%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
F1
1-0 10.5%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 4.2%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
F2
2-0 11.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.5%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
F3
3-0 7.7%
3-1 6.9%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 4.0%
4-1 3.6%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 1.7%
5-1 1.5%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-0 11.0% model probability
1-0 10.5% model probability
2-1 9.9% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Freiburg
Overall
9.3^
Scoring
10.0^
Defence
7.0^
Jablonec
Overall
4.6v
Scoring
3.0v
Defence
7.0v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes31%
Home Win & BTTS No31%
Draw & BTTS Yes5%
Draw & BTTS No5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes14%
Away Win & BTTS No14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.534%
Home Win & Under 2.528%
Draw & Over 2.56%
Draw & Under 2.55%
Away Win & Over 2.515%
Away Win & Under 2.513%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Freiburg
11.10.26
BUN
Freiburg2
Schalke1
W
03.10.26
CF
Freiburg4
Luzern2
W
19.09.26
BUN
Eintracht Frankfurt2
Freiburg2
D
12.09.26
BUN
Freiburg5
B. Monchengladbach0
W
05.09.26
BUN
Paderborn0
Freiburg1
W
30.08.26
BUN
Freiburg4
Werder Bremen1
W
27.08.26
UECL
Freiburg4
Motherwell1
W
23.08.26
POK
Dusseldorf1
Freiburg5
W
20.08.26
UECL
Motherwell1
Freiburg3
W
15.08.26
CF
Freiburg3
Crystal Palace0
W
Jablonec
10.10.26
1L
Brno0
Jablonec1
W
02.10.26
CUP
Dukla Prague0
Jablonec1
W
20.09.26
1L
Jablonec1
Zlin1
D
12.09.26
1L
Sparta Prague2
Jablonec0
L
09.09.26
1L
Jablonec3
Ostrava0
W
06.09.26
1L
Jablonec1
Liberec2
L
02.09.26
1L
Bohemians1
Jablonec1
D
30.08.26
1L
Teplice2
Jablonec0
L
27.08.26
UECL
Jablonec1
Rangers (4-3)0
20.08.26
UECL
Rangers1
Jablonec0
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this UEFA Conference League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.24, a call we are confident in at roughly roughly 60. The fixture starts at 8:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are UEFA Conference League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 16 Oct 2026, 7:01am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Freiburg vs Jablonec?
Our selection is 1 - Freiburg to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 72%.
What is Freiburg's current form?
Freiburg have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Jablonec been performing recently?
Jablonec have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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