Strong Signal
67%

Hajduk Split vs Zalgiris — Prediction & Betting Tips

HHajduk Split vs ZalgirisZ
8:00 pm · ·Stadion Poljud (Split)
Home
DWLLW
6W 1D 3L
▲ Improving
Away
LWWLW
6W 1D 3L
▼ Declining
100SureTips SelectionThursday, 13th August 2026
1
Backing Hajduk Split to win
Hajduk Split
60%
Draw
20%
Zalgiris
20%
H Fair Odds
1.67
D Fair Odds
5
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
77.5%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-10.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 — Hajduk Split to win
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals75%Over 1.5 Goals85%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Hajduk Split vs Zalgiris Competition: Conference League Qualifier Date: Thursday, 13th August 2026 KO: 8:00 pm Pick: 1 (Hajduk Split to win) Odds: 1.29 Confidence: 67% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
02Head to Head
1
Hajduk Split
0
Draws
0
Zalgiris
1
Meetings
7
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Hajduk Split won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
03Stats Duel
Hajduk Split
Metric
Zalgiris
1.9
Goals For / Game
2.3
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.8
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-1-3
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate
60%
60%
3.6
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

Z0
Z1
Z2
Z3
Z4
Z5
H0
0-0 2.6%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 3.8%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
H1
1-0 5.1%
1-1 8.7%
1-2 7.3%
1-3 4.2%
1-4 1.8%
1-5 0.6%
H2
2-0 5.0%
2-1 8.4%
2-2 7.1%
2-3 4.0%
2-4 1.7%
2-5 0.6%
H3
3-0 3.2%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 4.6%
3-3 2.6%
3-4 1.1%
3-5 0.4%
H4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 2.7%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
H5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2–1 8.4% model probability
3–1 5.5% model probability
1–0 5.1% model probability
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
05Market Odds Intelligence
Hajduk Split Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Zalgiris Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
06Team Ratings
Hajduk Split
Overall
6.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.0
Zalgiris
Overall
6.3
Scoring
7.7
Defence
4.0
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes23%
Home Win & BTTS No23%
Draw & BTTS Yes4%
Draw & BTTS No4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes23%
Away Win & BTTS No23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.535%
Home Win & Under 2.512%
Draw & Over 2.56%
Draw & Under 2.52%
Away Win & Over 2.535%
Away Win & Under 2.512%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
06.08.26
UECL
Zalgiris2
Hajduk Split5
Recent Form
Hajduk Split
09.08.26
HNL
Hajduk Split2
Istra 19612
D
06.08.26
UECL
Zalgiris2
Hajduk Split5
W
02.08.26
HNL
Varazdin2
Hajduk Split1
L
30.07.26
EL
Pafos4
Hajduk Split0
L
23.07.26
EL
Hajduk Split2
Pafos0
W
16.07.26
EL
Zilina2
Hajduk Split1
L
09.07.26
EL
Hajduk Split2
Zilina0
W
01.07.26
CF
Celje0
Hajduk Split1
W
27.06.26
CF
LNZ Cherkasy0
Hajduk Split1
W
23.06.26
CF
Shkendija0
Hajduk Split4
W
Zalgiris
06.08.26
UECL
Zalgiris2
Hajduk Split5
L
30.07.26
UECL
Zalgiris7
Dinamo Tbilisi2
W
27.07.26
TL
Hegelmann2
Zalgiris3
W
23.07.26
UECL
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Zalgiris0
L
19.07.26
TL
Zalgiris3
Transinvest1
W
16.07.26
UECL
Zalgiris2
Petrovac1
W
09.07.26
UECL
Petrovac1
Zalgiris3
W
05.07.26
TL
FA Siauliai0
Zalgiris3
W
28.06.26
TL
Dziugas Telsiai0
Zalgiris0
D
20.06.26
TL
Banga3
Zalgiris0
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Conference League Qualifier fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Stadion Poljud (Split), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.29, a call we are confident in at roughly 60,20,20%. The fixture starts at 8:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "1" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Conference League Qualifier predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 13 Aug 2026, 4:53am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Hajduk Split vs Zalgiris?
Our selection is 1 — Hajduk Split to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Hajduk Split's current form?
Hajduk Split have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Zalgiris been performing recently?
Zalgiris have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Hajduk Split lead with 1 wins versus Zalgiris's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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