LOST Tip LOST Helmond 2-2 Heracles

Helmond vs Heracles - Prediction & Betting Tips

HHelmond 2-2 HeraclesH
8:00 pm .MySteel Stadion (Helmond)
Home
LLWWL
3W 2D 5L
^ Improving
Away
WLWWW
8W 0D 2L
v Declining
100SureTips SelectionFriday, 2nd October 2026
2
Backing Heracles to win
Implied Prob
71.9%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+1.1%
Value detected
Kelly %
3.8%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
2 - Heracles to win
1.39
Over 1.5 Goals90%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Helmond vs Heracles Competition: Eerste Divisie Date: Friday, 2nd October 2026 KO: 8:00 pm Pick: 2 (Heracles to win) Odds: 1.39 Confidence: 73% Model Correct Score: 1-2 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
02Head to Head
3
Helmond
2
Draws
5
Heracles
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Neutral Heracles won 5 of 10 meetings.
03Stats Duel
Helmond
Metric
Heracles
1.4
Goals For / Game
3.1
1.6
Goals Against / Game
1.5
10%
Clean Sheets
30%
3-2-5
W - D - L
8-0-2
Win Rate
30%
80%
3.8
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
H0
0-0 3.7%
0-1 7.4%
0-2 7.4%
0-3 5.0%
0-4 2.5%
0-5 1.0%
H1
1-0 4.8%
1-1 9.6%
1-2 9.6%
1-3 6.4%
1-4 3.2%
1-5 1.3%
H2
2-0 3.1%
2-1 6.2%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 4.2%
2-4 2.1%
2-5 0.8%
H3
3-0 1.3%
3-1 2.7%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.4%
H4
4-0 0.4%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-2 9.6% model probability
0-1 7.4% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
0-2 7.4% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Helmond
Overall
3.6v
Scoring
4.7v
Defence
4.7v
Heracles
Overall
8.0-
Scoring
10.0-
Defence
5.0-
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes16%
Home Win & BTTS No9%
Draw & BTTS Yes5%
Draw & BTTS No3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes44%
Away Win & BTTS No23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.515%
Home Win & Under 2.510%
Draw & Over 2.55%
Draw & Under 2.53%
Away Win & Over 2.540%
Away Win & Under 2.527%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
21.04.23
EER
Helmond0
Heracles1
23.09.22
EER
Heracles2
Helmond0
27.07.19
CF
Heracles5
Helmond0
05.08.18
CF
Helmond1
Heracles0
14.03.05
EER
Helmond0
Heracles1
17.09.04
EER
Heracles3
Helmond0
07.05.04
EER
Heracles3
Helmond3
05.12.03
EER
Helmond1
Heracles1
02.05.03
EER
Heracles0
Helmond4
22.11.02
EER
Helmond2
Heracles0
Recent Form
Helmond
26.09.26
EER
Maastricht2
Helmond0
L
18.09.26
EER
Den Bosch2
Helmond1
L
11.09.26
EER
Helmond3
Jong PSV1
W
04.09.26
EER
Helmond4
Venlo2
W
28.08.26
EER
Jong Ajax3
Helmond2
L
21.08.26
EER
Helmond1
Waalwijk1
D
14.08.26
EER
Roda2
Helmond1
L
09.08.26
EER
Helmond1
De Graafschap1
D
01.08.26
CF
Helmond1
St. Truiden0
W
17.07.26
CF
Helmond0
Al Taawon2
L
Heracles
26.09.26
EER
Heracles2
Vitesse0
W
18.09.26
EER
Almere City1
Heracles0
L
11.09.26
EER
Heracles3
Jong AZ2
W
04.09.26
EER
Heracles5
De Graafschap0
W
30.08.26
EER
Eindhoven FC1
Heracles3
W
24.08.26
EER
Jong Utrecht1
Heracles6
W
14.08.26
EER
Heracles3
Den Bosch2
W
07.08.26
EER
Venlo3
Heracles4
W
24.07.26
CF
Heracles3
Excelsior5
L
17.07.26
CF
Heracles2
FC Emmen0
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Eerste Divisie fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at MySteel Stadion (Helmond), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 2 at @1.39, a call we are confident in at roughly 18%. The fixture starts at 8:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Eerste Divisie predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 5 Oct 2026, 8:25am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Helmond vs Heracles?
Our selection is 2 - Heracles to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 73%.
What is Helmond's current form?
Helmond have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Heracles been performing recently?
Heracles have recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Helmond lead with 3 wins versus Heracles's 5, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-2 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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