WON Tip WON Heracles 3-2 Jong AZ

Heracles vs Jong AZ - Prediction & Betting Tips

HHeracles 3-2 Jong AZJ
7:00 pm .Asito Stadium (Almelo)
Home
WWWWW
7W 0D 3L
v Declining
Away
WWLLW
5W 0D 5L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionFriday, 11th September 2026
1
Backing Heracles to win
Implied Prob
80%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-22%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Heracles to win
1.25
Over 2.5 Goals90%Over 1.5 Goals95%BTTS - Yes75%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Heracles vs Jong AZ Competition: Eerste Divisie Date: Friday, 11th September 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: 1 (Heracles to win) Odds: 1.25 Confidence: 58% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (90%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: BTTS - Yes (75%)
02Head to Head
1
Heracles
1
Draws
0
Jong AZ
2
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Neutral Heracles won 1 of the last 2 meetings (1 draws).
03Stats Duel
Heracles
Metric
Jong AZ
2.9
Goals For / Game
2.8
1.8
Goals Against / Game
2
20%
Clean Sheets
0%
7-0-3
W - D - L
5-0-5
Win Rate
70%
50%
4.8
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
90%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
H0
0-0 3.0%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 1.6%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
H1
1-0 6.1%
1-1 9.0%
1-2 6.7%
1-3 3.3%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.4%
H2
2-0 6.2%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 6.8%
2-3 3.3%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.4%
H3
3-0 4.1%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 4.5%
3-3 2.2%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.3%
H4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 3.1%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.1% model probability
2-0 6.2% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
3-1 6.1% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Heracles
Overall
7.0v
Scoring
9.7v
Defence
4.0v
Jong AZ
Overall
5.0^
Scoring
9.3^
Defence
3.3^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes44%
Home Win & BTTS No15%
Draw & BTTS Yes0%
Draw & BTTS No0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes32%
Away Win & BTTS No11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.552%
Home Win & Under 2.56%
Draw & Over 2.50%
Draw & Under 2.50%
Away Win & Over 2.538%
Away Win & Under 2.54%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
10.03.23
EER
Heracles2
Jong AZ0
06.01.23
EER
Jong AZ1
Heracles1
Recent Form
Heracles
04.09.26
EER
Heracles5
De Graafschap0
W
30.08.26
EER
Eindhoven FC1
Heracles3
W
24.08.26
EER
Jong Utrecht1
Heracles6
W
14.08.26
EER
Heracles3
Den Bosch2
W
07.08.26
EER
Venlo3
Heracles4
W
24.07.26
CF
Heracles3
Excelsior5
L
17.07.26
CF
Heracles2
FC Emmen0
W
08.07.26
CF
Heracles2
Groningen1
W
17.05.26
ERE
Heracles1
Groningen2
L
10.05.26
ERE
Telstar3
Heracles0
L
Jong AZ
05.09.26
EER
Dordrecht3
Jong AZ6
W
31.08.26
EER
Jong AZ2
Jong Utrecht1
W
28.08.26
EER
Jong AZ1
Maastricht2
L
21.08.26
EER
FC Emmen3
Jong AZ1
L
17.08.26
EER
De Graafschap2
Jong AZ5
W
10.08.26
EER
Jong AZ0
Eindhoven FC1
L
01.08.26
CF
IJsselmeervogels1
Jong AZ7
W
28.07.26
CF
Quick Boys1
Jong AZ4
W
25.07.26
CF
Jong Sparta Rotterdam2
Jong AZ3
W
17.07.26
CF
Jong AZ3
Jong Ajax0
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Eerste Divisie fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 5 wins from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Asito Stadium (Almelo), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.25, a call we are confident in at roughly 52. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Eerste Divisie predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 15 Sep 2026, 10:20am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Heracles vs Jong AZ?
Our selection is 1 - Heracles to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Heracles's current form?
Heracles have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Jong AZ been performing recently?
Jong AZ have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Heracles lead with 1 wins versus Jong AZ's 0, with 1 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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