Strong Signal
67%

HJK W vs KUPS W — Prediction & Betting Tips

HHJK W vs KUPS WK
4:30 pm · ·Bolt Arena (Helsinki)
Home
WLWWW
9W 0D 1L
→ Steady
Away
LWLLL
5W 0D 5L
▲ Improving
100SureTips SelectionMonday, 17th August 2026
1
Backing HJK W to win
HJK W
50%
Draw
30%
KUPS W
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
68.5%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-1.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 — HJK W to win
1.46
Over 1.5 Goals80%HJK W Clean Sheet60%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
HJK W vs KUPS W Competition: Finland W Kansallinen Liiga Date: Monday, 17th August 2026 KO: 4:30 pm Pick: 1 (HJK W to win) Odds: 1.46 Confidence: 67% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: HJK W Clean Sheet (60%)
02Head to Head
7
HJK W
1
Draws
2
KUPS W
10
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip HJK W won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
03Stats Duel
HJK W
Metric
KUPS W
2.3
Goals For / Game
1.7
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.6
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
9-0-1
W — D — L
5-0-5
Win Rate
90%
50%
3.1
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
H0
0-0 4.0%
0-1 4.6%
0-2 2.7%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
H1
1-0 8.3%
1-1 9.5%
1-2 5.5%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
H2
2-0 8.6%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
H3
3-0 5.9%
3-1 6.8%
3-2 3.9%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
H4
4-0 3.0%
4-1 3.5%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 1.3%
5-1 1.4%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2–1 9.9% model probability · seen ×2 in H2H
1–0 8.3% model probability · seen ×2 in H2H
2–0 8.6% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
05Market Odds Intelligence
HJK W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
KUPS W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
06Team Ratings
HJK W
Overall
9.0
Scoring
7.7
Defence
8.0
KUPS W
Overall
5.0
Scoring
5.7
Defence
4.7
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes32%
Home Win & BTTS No32%
Draw & BTTS Yes0%
Draw & BTTS No0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes18%
Away Win & BTTS No18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.535%
Home Win & Under 2.529%
Draw & Over 2.50%
Draw & Under 2.50%
Away Win & Over 2.520%
Away Win & Under 2.516%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
08.07.26
CUP
KuPS W0
HJK1
04.07.26
KL
HJK W2
KuPS0
02.05.26
KL
KuPS W2
HJK1
12.10.25
KL
HJK W3
KuPS2
15.08.25
KL
KuPS W1
HJK0
28.06.25
KL
HJK W1
KuPS0
26.04.25
KL
KuPS W1
HJK3
12.10.24
KL
KuPS W0
HJK0
28.09.24
KL
HJK W2
KuPS1
20.08.24
CUP
HJK W3
KuPS0
Recent Form
HJK W
12.08.26
KL
Gnistan W1
HJK W3
W
08.08.26
CL
PSV W3
HJK W1
L
05.08.26
CL
Racing Luxembourg W0
HJK W2
W
25.07.26
KL
PK-35 Vantaa W0
HJK W2
W
19.07.26
KL
HJK W4
HPS W0
W
12.07.26
KL
Gnistan W0
HJK W1
W
08.07.26
CUP
KuPS W0
HJK W1
W
04.07.26
KL
HJK W2
KuPS W0
W
30.06.26
CUP
PK-35 Vantaa W1
HJK W4
W
27.06.26
KL
Ilves W1
HJK W3
W
KUPS W
08.08.26
KL
HPS W3
KuPS W2
L
25.07.26
KL
Gnistan W0
KuPS W1
W
18.07.26
KL
KuPS W1
Aland Utd W3
L
12.07.26
KL
KuPS W2
Ilves W4
L
08.07.26
CUP
KuPS W0
HJK W1
L
04.07.26
KL
HJK W2
KuPS W0
L
01.07.26
CUP
Aland Utd W1
KuPS W2
W
27.06.26
KL
KuPS W5
VIFK W1
W
17.06.26
CUP
Gnistan W0
KuPS W2
W
12.06.26
KL
PK-35 Vantaa W1
KuPS W2
W
HJK W (Home)
19.07.26
KL
HJK W4
HPS W0
W
04.07.26
KL
HJK W2
KuPS W0
W
29.05.26
KL
HJK W4
VIFK W0
W
23.05.26
KL
HJK W5
PK-35 Vantaa W0
W
09.05.26
KL
HJK W5
Gnistan W0
W
25.04.26
KL
HJK W2
Ilves W1
W
02.04.26
KL
HJK W3
Aland Utd W2
W
12.10.25
KL
HJK W3
KuPS W2
W
27.09.25
KL
HJK W3
VIFK W0
W
21.09.25
CUP
HJK W3
Aland Utd W1
W
KUPS W (Away)
08.08.26
KL
HPS W3
KuPS W2
L
25.07.26
KL
Gnistan W0
KuPS W1
W
04.07.26
KL
HJK W2
KuPS W0
L
01.07.26
CUP
Aland Utd W1
KuPS W2
W
17.06.26
CUP
Gnistan W0
KuPS W2
W
12.06.26
KL
PK-35 Vantaa W1
KuPS W2
W
29.05.26
KL
HPS W3
KuPS W2
L
17.05.26
KL
Aland Utd W1
KuPS W6
W
09.05.26
KL
Ilves W2
KuPS W3
W
25.04.26
KL
VIFK W1
KuPS W2
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Finland W Kansallinen Liiga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Bolt Arena (Helsinki), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.46, a call we are confident in at roughly 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 4:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "1" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Finland W Kansallinen Liiga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 17 Aug 2026, 7:28am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for HJK W vs KUPS W?
Our selection is 1 — HJK W to win, priced at approximately 1.46. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is HJK W's current form?
HJK W have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has KUPS W been performing recently?
KUPS W have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
HJK W lead with 7 wins versus KUPS W's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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