LOST Tip LOST Kataka 1-1 Villa

Kataka vs Villa - Prediction & Betting Tips

KKataka 1-1 VillaV
2:00 pm .BCS Sports complex Bukedea (Bukedea)
Home
LLDWW
4W 3D 3L
v Declining
Away
WWWDL
7W 2D 1L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionWednesday, 7th October 2026
2
Backing Villa to win
Implied Prob
76.3%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-1.3%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
03Stats Duel
Kataka
Metric
Villa
1.2
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0.6
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
4-3-3
W - D - L
7-2-1
Win Rate
40%
70%
2.4
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
K0
0-0 9.5%
0-1 13.8%
0-2 10.0%
0-3 4.9%
0-4 1.8%
0-5 0.5%
K1
1-0 8.6%
1-1 12.5%
1-2 9.0%
1-3 4.4%
1-4 1.6%
1-5 0.5%
K2
2-0 3.9%
2-1 5.6%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
K3
3-0 1.2%
3-1 1.7%
3-2 1.2%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
K4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
0-1 13.8% model probability
0-2 10.0% model probability
1-2 9.0% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Kataka
Overall
4.9-
Scoring
4.0-
Defence
6.3-
Villa
Overall
7.6^
Scoring
6.0^
Defence
8.0^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes14%
Home Win & BTTS No17%
Draw & BTTS Yes9%
Draw & BTTS No10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes23%
Away Win & BTTS No28%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.512%
Home Win & Under 2.518%
Draw & Over 2.58%
Draw & Under 2.511%
Away Win & Over 2.520%
Away Win & Under 2.531%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Kataka
16.09.26
PL
Kampala City1
Kataka0
L
03.09.26
PL
Kataka1
BUL4
L
29.08.26
PL
UPDF0
Kataka0
D
06.06.26
BL
Bright Stars0
Kataka2
W
24.05.26
BL
Kataka2
Kigezi HomeBoyz0
W
17.05.26
BL
Kiyinda Boys1
Kataka1
D
10.05.26
BL
Kataka2
Young Elephant0
W
03.05.26
BL
Kaaro Karungi3
Kataka0
L
26.04.26
BL
Kataka3
Ntugasaze1
W
19.04.26
BL
Wakiso Giants1
Kataka1
D
Villa
15.09.26
PL
Villa3
Kigezi HomeBoyz0
W
09.09.26
PL
Villa2
Express0
W
04.09.26
PL
URA SC0
Villa1
W
29.08.26
PL
Villa1
Kitara1
D
30.05.26
UGC
Kitara2
Villa1
L
23.05.26
PL
Villa2
UPDF1
W
20.05.26
PL
NEC FC1
Villa4
W
16.05.26
UGC
Villa1
URA SC0
W
13.05.26
PL
Mbarara City1
Villa3
W
08.05.26
PL
Villa0
BUL0
D
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Uganda Premier League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at BCS Sports complex Bukedea (Bukedea), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 2 at @1.31, a call we are confident in at roughly 21%. The fixture starts at 2:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Uganda Premier League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 8 Oct 2026, 9:52am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Kataka vs Villa?
Our selection is 2 - Villa to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 75%.
What is Kataka's current form?
Kataka have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Villa been performing recently?
Villa have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 0-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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