WON Tip WON Lazio 2-1 Cagliari

Lazio vs Cagliari - Prediction & Betting Tips

LLazio 2-1 CagliariC
3:00 pm .Stadio Olimpico (Rome)
Home
WWWWD
8W 2D 0L
- Steady
Away
LLLDW
4W 1D 5L
v Declining
100SureTips SelectionSunday, 1st November 2026
1
Backing Lazio to win
Implied Prob
65.8%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+2.2%
Value detected
Kelly %
6.5%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
8
Lazio
2
Draws
0
Cagliari
10
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Lazio won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
03Stats Duel
Lazio
Metric
Cagliari
2.6
Goals For / Game
0.9
1
Goals Against / Game
1.5
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
8-2-0
W - D - L
4-1-5
Win Rate
80%
40%
3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
L0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 4.7%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
L1
1-0 10.7%
1-1 9.6%
1-2 4.4%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
L2
2-0 10.9%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.5%
2-3 1.4%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
L3
3-0 7.5%
3-1 6.8%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
L4
4-0 3.9%
4-1 3.5%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 1.6%
5-1 1.4%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-0 10.7% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
2-0 10.9% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-1 9.9% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Lazio
Overall
8.6-
Scoring
8.7-
Defence
6.7-
Cagliari
Overall
4.3^
Scoring
3.0^
Defence
5.0^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes30%
Home Win & BTTS No30%
Draw & BTTS Yes6%
Draw & BTTS No6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes15%
Away Win & BTTS No15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.532%
Home Win & Under 2.527%
Draw & Over 2.56%
Draw & Under 2.55%
Away Win & Over 2.517%
Away Win & Under 2.514%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
21.02.26
SA
Cagliari0
Lazio0
03.11.25
SA
Lazio2
Cagliari0
03.02.25
SA
Cagliari1
Lazio2
04.11.24
SA
Lazio2
Cagliari1
10.02.24
SA
Cagliari1
Lazio3
02.12.23
SA
Lazio1
Cagliari0
05.03.22
SA
Cagliari0
Lazio3
19.09.21
SA
Lazio2
Cagliari2
07.02.21
SA
Lazio1
Cagliari0
26.09.20
SA
Cagliari0
Lazio2
Recent Form
Lazio
27.10.26
SA
Sassuolo2
Lazio6
W
24.10.26
SA
Lazio2
Parma1
W
18.10.26
SA
Juventus0
Lazio3
W
11.10.26
SA
Lazio3
Monza1
W
03.10.26
CF
Lazio3
Juve Stabia3
D
27.09.26
CF
Lazio2
Arezzo0
W
19.09.26
SA
Venezia0
Lazio2
W
12.09.26
SA
Lazio2
AC Milan2
D
07.09.26
SA
Udinese1
Lazio2
W
30.08.26
SA
Lazio1
Genoa0
W
Cagliari
27.10.26
SA
AS Roma4
Cagliari2
L
24.10.26
SA
Cagliari0
Bologna2
L
19.10.26
SA
Monza4
Cagliari0
L
11.10.26
SA
Cagliari1
Juventus1
D
19.09.26
SA
Udinese0
Cagliari1
W
12.09.26
SA
Atalanta1
Cagliari2
W
07.09.26
SA
Cagliari1
Lecce0
W
03.09.26
COP
Cagliari1
Verona2
L
30.08.26
SA
Cagliari0
Inter1
L
22.08.26
SA
Parma0
Cagliari1
W
Lazio (Home)
24.10.26
SA
Lazio2
Parma1
W
11.10.26
SA
Lazio3
Monza1
W
03.10.26
CF
Lazio3
Juve Stabia3
D
27.09.26
CF
Lazio2
Arezzo0
W
12.09.26
SA
Lazio2
AC Milan2
D
30.08.26
SA
Lazio1
Genoa0
W
16.08.26
COP
Lazio0
Mantova2
L
05.08.26
CF
Lazio4
Ostiamare0
W
01.08.26
CF
Lazio6
Avellino3
W
26.07.26
CF
Lazio6
Flaminia0
W
Cagliari (Away)
27.10.26
SA
AS Roma4
Cagliari2
L
19.10.26
SA
Monza4
Cagliari0
L
19.09.26
SA
Udinese0
Cagliari1
W
12.09.26
SA
Atalanta1
Cagliari2
W
22.08.26
SA
Parma0
Cagliari1
W
02.08.26
CF
Union Berlin2
Cagliari2
D
23.07.26
CF
Sampdoria0
Cagliari0
D
24.05.26
SA
AC Milan1
Cagliari2
W
03.05.26
SA
Bologna0
Cagliari0
D
17.04.26
SA
Inter3
Cagliari0
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Italian Serie A fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Stadio Olimpico (Rome), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.52, a call we are confident in at roughly 52%. The fixture starts at 3:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Italian Serie A predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 3 Nov 2026, 10:33am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Lazio vs Cagliari?
Our selection is 1 - Lazio to win, priced at approximately 1.52. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Lazio's current form?
Lazio have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Cagliari been performing recently?
Cagliari have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Lazio lead with 8 wins versus Cagliari's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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