WON Tip WON Lee Man Warriors 1-5 Kitchee

Lee Man Warriors vs Kitchee - Prediction & Betting Tips

LLee Man Warriors 1-5 KitcheeK
11:30 am .N/A
Home
WWWWW
7W 1D 2L
v Declining
Away
DWLDW
5W 4D 1L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionMonday, 19th October 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob
87%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-8%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 - over 1.5 goals
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals70%Over 1.5 Goals80%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Lee Man Warriors vs Kitchee Competition: Hong Kong Premier League Date: Monday, 19th October 2026 KO: 11:30 am Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.15 Confidence: 79% Model Correct Score: 1-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
02Head to Head
6
Lee Man Warriors
1
Draws
3
Kitchee
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 80% of H2H.
03Stats Duel
Lee Man Warriors
Metric
Kitchee
2.2
Goals For / Game
2.4
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.2
50%
Clean Sheets
40%
7-1-2
W - D - L
5-4-1
Win Rate
70%
50%
3.4
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
L0
0-0 3.6%
0-1 5.4%
0-2 4.0%
0-3 2.0%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.2%
L1
1-0 6.6%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 7.3%
1-3 3.6%
1-4 1.4%
1-5 0.4%
L2
2-0 6.1%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.3%
2-4 1.3%
2-5 0.4%
L3
3-0 3.7%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 4.1%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.2%
L4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.9%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
L5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-1 9.8% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-1 9.0% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
1-2 7.3% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Lee Man Warriors
Overall
7.3v
Scoring
7.3v
Defence
7.0v
Kitchee
Overall
6.2^
Scoring
8.0^
Defence
6.0^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes24%
Home Win & BTTS No24%
Draw & BTTS Yes9%
Draw & BTTS No9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes18%
Away Win & BTTS No18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.534%
Home Win & Under 2.514%
Draw & Over 2.512%
Draw & Under 2.55%
Away Win & Over 2.525%
Away Win & Under 2.511%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
18.04.26
DIV
Kitchee1
Lee Man Warriors4
07.04.26
LCU
Kitchee1
Lee Man Warriors2
15.02.26
DIV
Kitchee1
Lee Man Warriors0
20.09.25
DIV
Lee Man Warriors2
Kitchee3
12.04.25
DIV
Lee Man Warriors4
Kitchee0
15.03.25
DIV
Kitchee0
Lee Man Warriors1
30.11.24
SS
Lee Man Warriors2
Kitchee1
02.11.24
DIV
Kitchee1
Lee Man Warriors1
26.05.24
DIV
Kitchee2
Lee Man Warriors3
24.03.24
SAP
Kitchee3
Lee Man Warriors1
Recent Form
Lee Man Warriors
11.10.26
DIV
Hong Kong Rangers0
Lee Man Warriors2
W
19.09.26
SS
Shatin0
Lee Man Warriors1
W
11.09.26
DIV
Lee Man Warriors2
Eastern District1
W
06.09.26
DIV
Hong Kong FC0
Lee Man Warriors3
W
28.08.26
DIV
Lee Man Warriors3
Shatin0
W
23.08.26
DIV
Lee Man Warriors3
Kowloon City0
W
09.08.26
CF
Pathum United2
Lee Man Warriors2
D
17.05.26
DIV
Lee Man Warriors2
Tai Po3
L
10.05.26
DIV
North District2
Lee Man Warriors4
W
26.04.26
DIV
Lee Man Warriors0
Eastern AA1
L
Kitchee
15.10.26
CL2
Kuching City FC1
Kitchee1
D
10.10.26
DIV
Kitchee4
Hong Kong FC0
W
26.09.26
LCU
Eastern AA3
Kitchee1
L
17.09.26
CL2
Kitchee0
Gangwon0
D
12.09.26
DIV
Southern District1
Kitchee3
W
06.09.26
DIV
Kitchee4
Eastern District1
W
29.08.26
DIV
North District0
Kitchee0
D
22.08.26
DIV
Hong Kong Rangers2
Kitchee3
W
29.07.26
CF
Prime Bangkok0
Kitchee4
W
17.05.26
DIV
Kitchee4
Eastern AA4
D
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Hong Kong Premier League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 5 wins from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at N/A, that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 1.5 at @1.15, a call we are confident in at roughly around 8 in 10. The fixture starts at 11:30 am.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Hong Kong Premier League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 20 Oct 2026, 12:07pm
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Lee Man Warriors vs Kitchee?
Our selection is Over 1.5 - over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 79%.
What is Lee Man Warriors's current form?
Lee Man Warriors have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kitchee been performing recently?
Kitchee have recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Lee Man Warriors lead with 6 wins versus Kitchee's 3, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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