LOST Tip LOST Levadia 1-0 Paide

Levadia vs Paide - Prediction & Betting Tips

LLevadia 1-0 PaideP
12:30 pm .A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)
Home
WDWWW
9W 1D 0L
- Steady
Away
WWLWL
5W 1D 4L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionSunday, 11th October 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob
72.5%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+6.5%
Value detected
Kelly %
23.7%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 - over 2.5 goals
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals65%Over 1.5 Goals100%Levadia Clean Sheet60%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Levadia vs Paide Competition: Estonia Meistriliiga Date: Sunday, 11th October 2026 KO: 12:30 pm Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.38 Confidence: 79% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (100%) Also: Levadia Clean Sheet (60%)
02Head to Head
6
Levadia
1
Draws
3
Paide
10
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 80% of H2H.
03Stats Duel
Levadia
Metric
Paide
4
Goals For / Game
1.6
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.4
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
9-1-0
W - D - L
5-1-4
Win Rate
90%
50%
3.8
Avg Goals
100%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
L0
0-0 2.4%
0-1 2.6%
0-2 1.4%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
L1
1-0 6.4%
1-1 6.8%
1-2 3.6%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
L2
2-0 8.5%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 4.8%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
L3
3-0 7.6%
3-1 8.1%
3-2 4.3%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
L4
4-0 5.0%
4-1 5.4%
4-2 2.9%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
L5
5-0 2.7%
5-1 2.8%
5-2 1.5%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.1% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
2-0 8.5% model probability
3-0 7.6% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Levadia
Overall
9.3^
Scoring
10.0^
Defence
8.3^
Paide
Overall
5.3v
Scoring
5.3v
Defence
5.3v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes30%
Home Win & BTTS No30%
Draw & BTTS Yes4%
Draw & BTTS No4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes17%
Away Win & BTTS No17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.539%
Home Win & Under 2.521%
Draw & Over 2.55%
Draw & Under 2.52%
Away Win & Over 2.521%
Away Win & Under 2.512%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
06.09.26
ML
Paide0
Levadia2
26.08.26
CUP
Levadia4
Paide1
17.05.26
ML
Paide1
Levadia3
22.03.26
ML
Levadia2
Paide2
22.10.25
ML
Levadia1
Paide2
04.07.25
ML
Paide0
Levadia3
11.05.25
ML
Levadia2
Paide1
23.04.25
ML
Paide2
Levadia1
09.11.24
ML
Paide3
Levadia0
29.05.24
ML
Paide0
Levadia1
Recent Form
Levadia
07.10.26
CUP
Levadia10
Keila JK0
W
20.09.26
ML
Narva1
Levadia1
D
17.09.26
ML
Levadia6
Tammeka0
W
12.09.26
ML
Levadia4
Parnu JK Vaprus0
W
09.09.26
ML
Levadia4
Kuressaare0
W
06.09.26
ML
Paide0
Levadia2
W
30.08.26
ML
Kalju2
Levadia3
W
26.08.26
CUP
Levadia4
Paide1
W
21.08.26
ML
Levadia4
Narva0
W
16.08.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri1
Levadia2
W
Paide
19.09.26
ML
Nomme Utd1
Paide3
W
16.09.26
ML
Paide2
Parnu JK Vaprus0
W
13.09.26
ML
Paide1
Harju JK Laagri2
L
09.09.26
ML
Tammeka0
Paide2
W
06.09.26
ML
Paide0
Levadia2
L
30.08.26
ML
Flora1
Paide2
W
26.08.26
CUP
Levadia4
Paide1
L
23.08.26
ML
Paide4
Nomme Utd1
W
16.08.26
ML
Narva1
Paide1
D
12.08.26
UECL
SK Rapid2
Paide0
L
Levadia (Home)
07.10.26
CUP
Levadia10
Keila JK0
W
17.09.26
ML
Levadia6
Tammeka0
W
12.09.26
ML
Levadia4
Parnu JK Vaprus0
W
09.09.26
ML
Levadia4
Kuressaare0
W
26.08.26
CUP
Levadia4
Paide1
W
21.08.26
ML
Levadia4
Narva0
W
09.08.26
ML
Levadia5
Nomme Utd0
W
30.07.26
UECL
Levadia1
Goteborg3
L
16.07.26
UECL
Levadia5
Caernarfon0
W
28.06.26
ML
Levadia1
Flora2
L
Paide (Away)
19.09.26
ML
Nomme Utd1
Paide3
W
09.09.26
ML
Tammeka0
Paide2
W
30.08.26
ML
Flora1
Paide2
W
26.08.26
CUP
Levadia4
Paide1
L
16.08.26
ML
Narva1
Paide1
D
12.08.26
UECL
SK Rapid2
Paide0
L
30.07.26
UECL
Zira1
Paide1
D
19.07.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri5
Paide2
L
09.07.26
UECL
Hegelmann1
Paide1
D
28.06.26
ML
Kalju1
Paide1
D
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Estonia Meistriliiga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 2.5 at @1.38, a call we are confident in at roughly roughly 88. The fixture starts at 12:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Estonia Meistriliiga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 12 Oct 2026, 11:39am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Levadia vs Paide?
Our selection is Over 2.5 - over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 79%.
What is Levadia's current form?
Levadia have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Paide been performing recently?
Paide have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Levadia lead with 6 wins versus Paide's 3, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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