WON Tip WON Levski Sofia 3-0 Septemvri Sofia

Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia — Prediction & Betting Tips

LLevski Sofia 3-0 Septemvri SofiaS
5:00 pm ·Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia)
Home
DWWWW
7W 3D 0L
→ Steady
Away
LDLWL
6W 2D 2L
▼ Declining
100SureTips SelectionThursday, 8th January 2026
1
Backing Levski Sofia to win
Levski Sofia
50%
Draw
30%
Septemvri Sofia
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
82.6%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-18.6%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 — Levski Sofia to win
1.21
Over 1.5 Goals85%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia Competition: Bulgaria EFBET League Date: Thursday, 8th January 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1 (Levski Sofia to win) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 64% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
02Head to Head
8
Levski Sofia
2
Draws
0
Septemvri Sofia
10
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Levski Sofia won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
03Stats Duel
Levski Sofia
Metric
Septemvri Sofia
2.8
Goals For / Game
1.6
0.6
Goals Against / Game
0.9
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-3-0
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate
70%
60%
3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
L0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 5.7%
0-2 4.0%
0-3 1.9%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
L1
1-0 7.4%
1-1 10.3%
1-2 7.2%
1-3 3.3%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.3%
L2
2-0 6.6%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 6.5%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
L3
3-0 4.0%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 3.9%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
L4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.8%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
L5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2–1 9.3% model probability
1–0 7.4% model probability
2–0 6.6% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
05Market Odds Intelligence
Levski Sofia Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Septemvri Sofia Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
06Team Ratings
Levski Sofia
Overall
7.9
Scoring
9.3
Defence
8.0
Septemvri Sofia
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
7.0
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes25%
Home Win & BTTS No20%
Draw & BTTS Yes9%
Draw & BTTS No7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes21%
Away Win & BTTS No18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.527%
Home Win & Under 2.518%
Draw & Over 2.510%
Draw & Under 2.56%
Away Win & Over 2.523%
Away Win & Under 2.516%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
30.11.25
1L
Levski Sofia7
Septemvri Sofia0
27.07.25
1L
Septemvri Sofia1
Levski Sofia2
21.04.25
1L
Septemvri Sofia0
Levski Sofia1
09.11.24
1L
Levski Sofia2
Septemvri Sofia3
29.06.24
CF
Levski Sofia5
Septemvri Sofia0
04.05.23
1L
Levski Sofia2
Septemvri Sofia0
07.02.23
CF
Septemvri Sofia1
Levski Sofia4
16.10.22
1L
Septemvri Sofia0
Levski Sofia0
18.06.22
CF
Levski Sofia1
Septemvri Sofia1
30.03.22
CF
Levski Sofia3
Septemvri Sofia2
Recent Form
Levski Sofia
29.07.26
CL
Univ. Craiova2
Levski Sofia2
D
25.07.26
1L
Lok. Sofia1
Levski Sofia2
W
22.07.26
CL
Levski Sofia1
Univ. Craiova0
W
17.07.26
1L
Levski Sofia2
Dunav Ruse1
W
14.07.26
CL
Levski Sofia4
Borac Banja Luka0
W
07.07.26
CL
Borac Banja Luka1
Levski Sofia1
D
30.06.26
CF
Levski Sofia5
Radnik0
W
27.06.26
CF
Levski Sofia1
Botev Vratsa1
D
23.06.26
CF
Levski Sofia6
Etar0
W
19.06.26
CF
Levski Sofia4
Akademik Svishtov0
W
Septemvri Sofia
26.07.26
1L
Lok. Plovdiv2
Septemvri Sofia1
L
18.07.26
1L
Septemvri Sofia1
Arda1
D
10.07.26
CF
Ludogorets1
Septemvri Sofia0
L
07.07.26
CF
Septemvri Sofia2
Hebar1
W
04.07.26
CF
Septemvri Sofia2
Slavia Sofia3
L
01.07.26
CF
Septemvri Sofia2
Vihren0
W
27.06.26
CF
Septemvri Sofia3
Marek0
W
28.05.26
1L
Septemvri Sofia2
Yantra Gabrovo1
W
22.05.26
1L
Septemvri Sofia1
Dobrudzha1
D
18.05.26
1L
Beroe0
Septemvri Sofia1
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Bulgaria EFBET League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.21, a call we are confident in at roughly 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "1" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Bulgaria EFBET League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 3 Aug 2026, 11:09am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our selection is 1 — Levski Sofia to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Levski Sofia's current form?
Levski Sofia have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Septemvri Sofia been performing recently?
Septemvri Sofia have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Levski Sofia lead with 8 wins versus Septemvri Sofia's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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