LOST Tip LOST Maribor 1-1 Mura

Maribor vs Mura - Prediction & Betting Tips

MMaribor 1-1 MuraM
4:30 pm .Ljudski vrt (Maribor)
Home
WWDWD
4W 6D 0L
v Declining
Away
LLWLL
2W 2D 6L
v Declining
100SureTips SelectionSunday, 6th September 2026
1
Backing Maribor to win
Implied Prob
79.4%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-26.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Maribor to win
1.26
Over 1.5 Goals85%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Maribor vs Mura Competition: Slovenia PRVA Liga Date: Sunday, 6th September 2026 KO: 4:30 pm Pick: 1 (Maribor to win) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 53% Model Correct Score: 1-0 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
02Head to Head
7
Maribor
1
Draws
2
Mura
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Maribor won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
03Stats Duel
Maribor
Metric
Mura
1.6
Goals For / Game
1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
2.4
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
4-6-0
W - D - L
2-2-6
Win Rate
40%
20%
2.9
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
M0
0-0 6.3%
0-1 5.4%
0-2 2.3%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
M1
1-0 12.0%
1-1 10.3%
1-2 4.4%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
M2
2-0 11.5%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 4.2%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.0%
M3
3-0 7.3%
3-1 6.3%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
M4
4-0 3.5%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 1.3%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-0 12.0% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-0 11.5% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-1 9.8% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Maribor
Overall
5.8v
Scoring
5.3v
Defence
7.3v
Mura
Overall
2.6-
Scoring
3.3-
Defence
2.0-
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes26%
Home Win & BTTS No14%
Draw & BTTS Yes26%
Draw & BTTS No14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes13%
Away Win & BTTS No7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.518%
Home Win & Under 2.522%
Draw & Over 2.518%
Draw & Under 2.522%
Away Win & Over 2.59%
Away Win & Under 2.511%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
17.05.26
PL
Mura2
Maribor1
14.03.26
PL
Maribor3
Mura0
29.11.25
PL
Mura0
Maribor1
13.09.25
PL
Maribor1
Mura0
21.04.25
PL
Mura1
Maribor2
22.02.25
PL
Maribor2
Mura0
26.10.24
PL
Mura1
Maribor1
11.08.24
PL
Maribor2
Mura1
09.04.24
PL
Maribor5
Mura0
18.02.24
PL
Mura3
Maribor0
Recent Form
Maribor
30.08.26
PL
Nafta2
Maribor3
W
23.08.26
PL
Maribor3
Bravo1
W
15.08.26
PL
O. Ljubljana1
Maribor1
D
09.08.26
PL
Maribor2
Koper0
W
04.08.26
CF
Varteks Varazdin1
Maribor1
D
01.08.26
PL
Celje1
Maribor1
D
25.07.26
PL
Maribor3
Grosuplje0
W
19.07.26
PL
Aluminij0
Maribor0
D
10.07.26
CF
Maribor1
Charlton1
D
04.07.26
CF
Maribor1
Zeleznicar Pancevo1
D
Mura
29.08.26
PL
Bravo2
Mura0
L
22.08.26
PL
Mura0
Koper1
L
16.08.26
PL
Grosuplje1
Mura2
W
10.08.26
PL
Mura1
Radomlje3
L
01.08.26
PL
Nafta5
Mura2
L
25.07.26
PL
Mura1
O. Ljubljana0
W
17.07.26
PL
Celje2
Mura2
D
05.07.26
CF
Beltinci4
Mura1
L
04.07.26
CF
Mura1
Noah1
D
26.06.26
CF
Sturm Graz5
Mura0
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Slovenia PRVA Liga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Ljudski vrt (Maribor), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.26, a call we are confident in at roughly 52%. The fixture starts at 4:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Slovenia PRVA Liga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 7 Sep 2026, 10:52am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Maribor vs Mura?
Our selection is 1 - Maribor to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Maribor's current form?
Maribor have won 4, drawn 6 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Mura been performing recently?
Mura have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Maribor lead with 7 wins versus Mura's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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