LOST Tip LOST Midtjylland 1-0 Randers FC

Midtjylland vs Randers FC — Prediction & Betting Tips

MMidtjylland 1-0 Randers FCR
1:00 pm ·MCH Arena (Herning)
Home
WDWWW
7W 1D 2L
→ Steady
Away
WLWLD
3W 4D 3L
▼ Declining
100SureTips SelectionSunday, 23rd August 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob
63.7%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+6.3%
Value detected
Kelly %
17.4%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals90%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Midtjylland vs Randers FC Competition: Denmark Superliga Date: Sunday, 23rd August 2026 KO: 1:00 pm Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.57 Confidence: 70% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
02Head to Head
5
Midtjylland
3
Draws
2
Randers FC
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H.
03Stats Duel
Midtjylland
Metric
Randers FC
2.3
Goals For / Game
1.8
1
Goals Against / Game
1.7
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-1-2
W — D — L
3-4-3
Win Rate
70%
30%
3.4
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
M0
0-0 3.5%
0-1 4.9%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 1.6%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
M1
1-0 6.8%
1-1 9.6%
1-2 6.7%
1-3 3.1%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
M2
2-0 6.7%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 6.5%
2-3 3.1%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
M3
3-0 4.4%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 4.3%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
M4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 2.1%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
M5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2–1 9.3% model probability · seen ×2 in H2H
1–1 9.6% model probability
2–2 6.5% model probability · seen ×2 in H2H
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Midtjylland
Overall
7.3
Scoring
7.7
Defence
6.7
Randers FC
Overall
4.2
Scoring
6.0
Defence
4.3
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes31%
Home Win & BTTS No25%
Draw & BTTS Yes11%
Draw & BTTS No9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes13%
Away Win & BTTS No11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.534%
Home Win & Under 2.522%
Draw & Over 2.512%
Draw & Under 2.58%
Away Win & Over 2.514%
Away Win & Under 2.510%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
09.11.25
SL
Randers FC0
Midtjylland2
29.09.25
SL
Midtjylland2
Randers FC1
02.07.25
CF
Midtjylland2
Randers FC3
25.05.25
SL
Midtjylland3
Randers FC2
04.04.25
SL
Randers FC2
Midtjylland1
16.03.25
SL
Midtjylland4
Randers FC2
22.09.24
SL
Randers FC2
Midtjylland2
11.03.24
SL
Randers FC0
Midtjylland1
08.10.23
SL
Midtjylland2
Randers FC2
13.11.22
SL
Randers FC0
Midtjylland0
Recent Form
Midtjylland
20.08.26
UECL
Midtjylland2
Rijeka0
W
16.08.26
SL
Lyngby1
Midtjylland1
D
13.08.26
UECL
Midtjylland3
Bohemians2
W
06.08.26
UECL
Bohemians0
Midtjylland2
W
02.08.26
SL
Midtjylland2
Horsens1
W
30.07.26
EL
Midtjylland0
Besiktas2
L
26.07.26
SL
Sonderjyske2
Midtjylland3
W
23.07.26
EL
Besiktas1
Midtjylland0
L
17.07.26
CF
Midtjylland4
Odense1
W
11.07.26
CF
Cardiff0
Midtjylland6
W
Randers FC
19.08.26
CUP
ASA Aarhus0
Randers FC4
W
16.08.26
SL
Randers FC0
FC Copenhagen4
L
09.08.26
SL
Randers FC2
Lyngby0
W
02.08.26
SL
Nordsjaelland1
Randers FC0
L
27.07.26
SL
Randers FC1
Silkeborg1
D
18.07.26
CF
Lechia Gdansk2
Randers FC2
D
14.07.26
CF
Randers FC3
Notts County1
W
08.07.26
CF
Aalborg2
Randers FC2
D
03.07.26
CF
Vejle2
Randers FC2
D
26.06.26
CF
Randers FC2
Sonderjyske4
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Denmark Superliga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at MCH Arena (Herning), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 2.5 at @1.57, a call we are confident in at roughly 78%. The fixture starts at 1:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "Over 2.5" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Denmark Superliga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 24 Aug 2026, 1:16pm
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Midtjylland vs Randers FC?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.57. Tip confidence rating: 70%.
What is Midtjylland's current form?
Midtjylland have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Randers FC been performing recently?
Randers FC have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Midtjylland lead with 5 wins versus Randers FC's 2, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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