WON Tip WON Montego Bay 1-0 Dunbeholden

Montego Bay vs Dunbeholden - Prediction & Betting Tips

MMontego Bay 1-0 DunbeholdenD
9:30 pm .Wespow Park (Montego Bay)
Home
WDWLL
4W 1D 5L
- Steady
Away
LLLLL
2W 1D 7L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionSunday, 4th October 2026
1
Backing Montego Bay to win
Implied Prob
75.2%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-26.2%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Montego Bay to win
1.33
BTTS - No70%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Montego Bay vs Dunbeholden Competition: Jamaica Premier League Date: Sunday, 4th October 2026 KO: 9:30 pm Pick: 1 (Montego Bay to win) Odds: 1.33 Confidence: 49% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: BTTS - No (70%)
02Head to Head
6
Montego Bay
0
Draws
4
Dunbeholden
10
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Montego Bay won 6 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
03Stats Duel
Montego Bay
Metric
Dunbeholden
1.5
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.4
Goals Against / Game
2
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-1-5
W - D - L
2-1-7
Win Rate
40%
20%
2.8
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
M0
0-0 5.3%
0-1 6.7%
0-2 4.2%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.1%
M1
1-0 8.9%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 7.0%
1-3 2.9%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
M2
2-0 7.5%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 5.9%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
M3
3-0 4.2%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
M4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
M5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.4% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
1-0 8.9% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-0 7.5% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Montego Bay
Overall
4.3-
Scoring
5.0-
Defence
5.3-
Dunbeholden
Overall
2.3^
Scoring
2.3^
Defence
3.3^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes17%
Home Win & BTTS No40%
Draw & BTTS Yes4%
Draw & BTTS No10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes9%
Away Win & BTTS No20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.529%
Home Win & Under 2.529%
Draw & Over 2.57%
Draw & Under 2.57%
Away Win & Over 2.515%
Away Win & Under 2.515%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
18.03.26
PL
Montego Bay4
Dunbeholden3
11.01.26
PL
Montego Bay1
Dunbeholden0
07.09.25
PL
Dunbeholden1
Montego Bay2
07.04.25
PL
Montego Bay4
Dunbeholden0
02.02.25
PL
Dunbeholden2
Montego Bay0
10.11.24
PL
Montego Bay2
Dunbeholden1
20.03.24
PL
Dunbeholden0
Montego Bay2
17.12.23
PL
Montego Bay1
Dunbeholden2
09.04.23
PL
Dunbeholden4
Montego Bay0
08.01.23
PL
Montego Bay0
Dunbeholden2
Recent Form
Montego Bay
27.09.26
PL
Racing United0
Montego Bay1
W
20.09.26
PL
Montego Bay0
Tru-Juice0
D
13.09.26
PL
Montego Bay2
Chapelton0
W
24.05.26
PL
Montego Bay2
Mount Pleasant3
L
21.05.26
PL
Montego Bay0
Cavalier2
L
17.05.26
PL
Cavalier0
Montego Bay1
W
06.05.26
PL
Mount Pleasant2
Montego Bay1
L
03.05.26
PL
Montego Bay0
Treasure Beach2
L
26.04.26
PL
Harbour View4
Montego Bay3
L
22.04.26
PL
Montego Bay5
Tivoli1
W
Dunbeholden
27.09.26
PL
Dunbeholden0
Mount Pleasant2
L
22.09.26
PL
Arnett Gardens3
Dunbeholden0
L
13.09.26
PL
Dunbeholden1
Cavalier2
L
06.05.26
PL
Waterhouse4
Dunbeholden0
L
03.05.26
PL
Dunbeholden0
Mount Pleasant5
L
26.04.26
PL
Treasure Beach1
Dunbeholden0
L
23.04.26
PL
Dunbeholden4
Harbour View0
W
19.04.26
PL
Tivoli2
Dunbeholden0
L
15.04.26
PL
Racing United0
Dunbeholden0
D
12.04.26
PL
Arnett Gardens1
Dunbeholden2
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Jamaica Premier League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Wespow Park (Montego Bay), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 5 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.33, a call we are confident in at roughly around 5 in 10. The fixture starts at 9:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Jamaica Premier League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 5 Oct 2026, 9:15am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Montego Bay vs Dunbeholden?
Our selection is 1 - Montego Bay to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 49%.
What is Montego Bay's current form?
Montego Bay have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Dunbeholden been performing recently?
Dunbeholden have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Montego Bay lead with 6 wins versus Dunbeholden's 4, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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