Strong Signal
85%

Mura vs Radomlje — Prediction & Betting Tips

MMura vs RadomljeR
5:00 pm · ·Mestni stadion Fazanerija (Murska Sobota)
Home
LWDLD
3W 3D 4L
▲ Improving
Away
LDLLL
2W 1D 7L
→ Steady
100SureTips SelectionMonday, 10th August 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob
82.6%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+2.4%
Value detected
Kelly %
13.6%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.21
Over 2.5 Goals65%Over 1.5 Goals90%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Mura vs Radomlje Competition: Slovenia PRVA Liga Date: Monday, 10th August 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 85% Model Correct Score: 1-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
02Head to Head
5
Mura
2
Draws
3
Radomlje
10
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 70% of H2H.
03Stats Duel
Mura
Metric
Radomlje
1.4
Goals For / Game
1
2.2
Goals Against / Game
1.9
20%
Clean Sheets
0%
3-3-4
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
30%
20%
3.3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
M0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 7.5%
0-2 5.1%
0-3 2.4%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.2%
M1
1-0 8.4%
1-1 11.5%
1-2 7.9%
1-3 3.6%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.3%
M2
2-0 6.4%
2-1 8.8%
2-2 6.1%
2-3 2.8%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
M3
3-0 3.3%
3-1 4.5%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
M4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 1.2%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
M5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1–1 11.5% model probability
1–0 8.4% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
2–1 8.8% model probability
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Mura
Overall
3.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
2.7
Radomlje
Overall
2.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
3.7
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes28%
Home Win & BTTS No15%
Draw & BTTS Yes19%
Draw & BTTS No10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes18%
Away Win & BTTS No10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.528%
Home Win & Under 2.515%
Draw & Over 2.519%
Draw & Under 2.510%
Away Win & Over 2.518%
Away Win & Under 2.510%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
22.05.26
PL
Radomlje3
Mura2
21.03.26
PL
Mura2
Radomlje0
06.12.25
PL
Radomlje3
Mura1
21.09.25
PL
Mura0
Radomlje0
03.05.25
PL
Radomlje2
Mura0
08.03.25
PL
Mura2
Radomlje0
10.11.24
PL
Radomlje2
Mura4
24.08.24
PL
Mura1
Radomlje0
20.04.24
PL
Radomlje1
Mura2
25.02.24
PL
Mura0
Radomlje0
Recent Form
Mura
01.08.26
PL
Nafta5
Mura2
L
25.07.26
PL
Mura1
O. Ljubljana0
W
17.07.26
PL
Celje2
Mura2
D
05.07.26
CF
Beltinci4
Mura1
L
04.07.26
CF
Mura1
Noah1
D
26.06.26
CF
Sturm Graz5
Mura0
L
20.06.26
CF
Ararat-Armenia1
Mura1
D
22.05.26
PL
Radomlje3
Mura2
L
17.05.26
PL
Mura2
Maribor1
W
10.05.26
PL
Primorje0
Mura2
W
Radomlje
02.08.26
PL
Radomlje1
Bravo2
L
26.07.26
PL
Koper2
Radomlje2
D
18.07.26
PL
Radomlje0
Grosuplje2
L
10.07.26
CF
Radomlje0
Varazdin1
L
03.07.26
CF
Radomlje0
Rijeka2
L
26.06.26
CF
Radomlje0
Din. Zagreb3
L
22.05.26
PL
Radomlje3
Mura2
W
17.05.26
PL
O. Ljubljana2
Radomlje1
L
09.05.26
PL
Bravo2
Radomlje1
L
03.05.26
PL
Radomlje2
Maribor1
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Slovenia PRVA Liga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Mestni stadion Fazanerija (Murska Sobota), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 1.5 at @1.21, a call we are confident in at roughly 90%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "Over 1.5" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Slovenia PRVA Liga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 10 Aug 2026, 7:12am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Mura vs Radomlje?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 85%.
What is Mura's current form?
Mura have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Radomlje been performing recently?
Radomlje have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Mura lead with 5 wins versus Radomlje's 3, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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