WON Tip WON Nejmeh SC 2-1 Al Ahed

Nejmeh SC vs Al Ahed — Prediction & Betting Tips

NNejmeh SC 2-1 Al AhedA
7:30 pm ·N/A
Home
WDWDW
7W 2D 1L
▼ Declining
Away
DLLDW
3W 2D 5L
▼ Declining
100SureTips SelectionTuesday, 28th July 2026
1
Backing Nejmeh SC to win
Nejmeh SC
50%
Draw
30%
Al Ahed
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
71.4%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-12.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 — Nejmeh SC to win
1.40
Nejmeh SC Clean Sheet70%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Nejmeh SC vs Al Ahed Competition: Lebanon Premier League Date: Tuesday, 28th July 2026 KO: 7:30 pm Pick: 1 (Nejmeh SC to win) Odds: 1.40 Confidence: 59% Model Correct Score: 1-0 Also: Nejmeh SC Clean Sheet (70%)
02Head to Head
6
Nejmeh SC
2
Draws
2
Al Ahed
10
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Nejmeh SC won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
03Stats Duel
Nejmeh SC
Metric
Al Ahed
2
Goals For / Game
1.5
0.4
Goals Against / Game
1.7
70%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-2-1
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
70%
30%
2.8
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
N0
0-0 6.9%
0-1 5.7%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
N1
1-0 12.8%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 4.4%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.0%
N2
2-0 11.8%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 4.0%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
N3
3-0 7.3%
3-1 6.0%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
N4
4-0 3.3%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1–0 12.8% model probability · seen ×4 in H2H
2–0 11.8% model probability
2–1 9.7% model probability
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
05Market Odds Intelligence
Nejmeh SC Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Ahed Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
06Team Ratings
Nejmeh SC
Overall
7.6
Scoring
6.7
Defence
8.7
Al Ahed
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.3
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes26%
Home Win & BTTS No32%
Draw & BTTS Yes8%
Draw & BTTS No9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes11%
Away Win & BTTS No14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.526%
Home Win & Under 2.532%
Draw & Over 2.58%
Draw & Under 2.59%
Away Win & Over 2.511%
Away Win & Under 2.514%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
16.07.26
PL
Al Ahed0
Nejmeh SC2
12.06.26
PL
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed0
01.11.25
PL
Al Ahed0
Nejmeh SC4
03.07.25
PL
Nejmeh SC4
Al Ahed1
18.05.25
PL
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed1
19.04.25
PL
Al Ahed1
Nejmeh SC0
26.01.25
PL
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed2
20.06.24
PL
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed0
12.05.24
PL
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed0
01.03.24
PL
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed1
Recent Form
Nejmeh SC
24.07.26
PL
Nejmeh SC2
Jwayya1
W
20.07.26
PL
Al Ansar1
Nejmeh SC1
D
16.07.26
PL
Al Ahed0
Nejmeh SC2
W
12.07.26
PL
Jwayya0
Nejmeh SC0
D
08.07.26
CUP
Nejmeh SC2
Al Hikma0
W
03.07.26
PL
Al Hikma0
Nejmeh SC1
W
29.06.26
PL
Nejmeh SC5
Racing0
W
25.06.26
PL
Nejmeh SC1
Tadamon0
W
21.06.26
PL
Nejmeh SC5
Al-Mabarrah0
W
16.06.26
PL
Jwayya2
Nejmeh SC1
L
Al Ahed
24.07.26
PL
Al Ahed1
Al Ansar1
D
20.07.26
PL
Jwayya2
Al Ahed0
L
16.07.26
PL
Al Ahed0
Nejmeh SC2
L
12.07.26
PL
Al Ansar3
Al Ahed3
D
28.06.26
PL
Al Ahed4
Al Sahel2
W
24.06.26
PL
Al Ahed4
Safa1
W
20.06.26
PL
Al Ansar3
Al Ahed1
L
16.06.26
PL
Al Ahed1
Al Hikma0
W
12.06.26
PL
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed0
L
18.05.26
PL
Al Ahed1
Safa2
L
Nejmeh SC (Home)
24.07.26
PL
Nejmeh SC2
Jwayya1
W
08.07.26
CUP
Nejmeh SC2
Al Hikma0
W
29.06.26
PL
Nejmeh SC5
Racing0
W
25.06.26
PL
Nejmeh SC1
Tadamon0
W
21.06.26
PL
Nejmeh SC5
Al-Mabarrah0
W
12.06.26
PL
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed0
W
15.05.26
PL
Nejmeh SC2
Al Hikma1
W
12.05.26
PL
Nejmeh SC1
Jwayya1
D
21.02.26
PL
Nejmeh SC4
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah0
W
Al Ahed (Away)
20.07.26
PL
Jwayya2
Al Ahed0
L
12.07.26
PL
Al Ansar3
Al Ahed3
D
20.06.26
PL
Al Ansar3
Al Ahed1
L
12.06.26
PL
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed0
L
12.05.26
PL
Al Ansar1
Al Ahed2
W
15.02.26
PL
Al-Mabarrah1
Al Ahed0
L
06.02.26
PL
Jwayya0
Al Ahed1
W
01.02.26
PL
Racing0
Al Ahed2
W
25.12.25
PL
Bourj FC1
Al Ahed4
W
20.12.25
PL
Al Sahel2
Al Ahed1
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Lebanon Premier League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at N/A, that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.40, a call we are confident in at roughly 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 7:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "1" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Lebanon Premier League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 29 Jul 2026, 12:31pm
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Nejmeh SC vs Al Ahed?
Our selection is 1 — Nejmeh SC to win, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Nejmeh SC's current form?
Nejmeh SC have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Ahed been performing recently?
Al Ahed have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Nejmeh SC lead with 6 wins versus Al Ahed's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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