WON Tip WON Persebaya 1-0 PSMS Medan

Persebaya vs PSMS Medan — Prediction & Betting Tips

PPersebaya 1-0 PSMS MedanP
1:30 pm ·Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium (Surabaya)
Home
WDWWD
6W 2D 2L
▼ Declining
Away
LDDWL
2W 4D 4L
▲ Improving
100SureTips SelectionWednesday, 29th July 2026
1
Backing Persebaya to win
Persebaya
50%
Draw
30%
PSMS Medan
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
80.6%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-19.6%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 — Persebaya to win
1.24
Over 1.5 Goals80%Persebaya Clean Sheet70%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Persebaya vs PSMS Medan Competition: Indonesia President Cup Date: Wednesday, 29th July 2026 KO: 1:30 pm Pick: 1 (Persebaya to win) Odds: 1.24 Confidence: 61% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: Persebaya Clean Sheet (70%)
02Head to Head
4
Persebaya
0
Draws
1
PSMS Medan
5
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Persebaya won 4 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
03Stats Duel
Persebaya
Metric
PSMS Medan
2.6
Goals For / Game
1
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.3
70%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-2-2
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
60%
20%
2.8
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
P0
0-0 4.6%
0-1 5.1%
0-2 2.8%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
P1
1-0 9.1%
1-1 10.1%
1-2 5.5%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
P2
2-0 9.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.5%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
P3
3-0 5.9%
3-1 6.5%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
P4
4-0 2.9%
4-1 3.2%
4-2 1.8%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
P5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2–1 9.9% model probability
2–0 9.0% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
1–0 9.1% model probability
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
05Market Odds Intelligence
Persebaya Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
PSMS Medan Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
06Team Ratings
Persebaya
Overall
6.6
Scoring
8.7
Defence
7.7
PSMS Medan
Overall
3.2
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.7
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes22%
Home Win & BTTS No33%
Draw & BTTS Yes11%
Draw & BTTS No16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes7%
Away Win & BTTS No11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.528%
Home Win & Under 2.528%
Draw & Over 2.514%
Draw & Under 2.514%
Away Win & Over 2.59%
Away Win & Under 2.59%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
01.12.18
SL
PSMS Medan4
Persebaya0
18.07.18
SL
Persebaya2
PSMS Medan0
28.11.17
CHA
PSMS Medan2
Persebaya3
11.07.12
PL
Persebaya3
PSMS Medan0
27.11.11
PL
PSMS Medan1
Persebaya2
Recent Form
Persebaya
26.07.26
PRE
Persebaya1
Persija Jakarta0
W
19.07.26
CF
Persebaya2
PSIS Semarang2
D
23.05.26
SL
Persebaya5
Persik Kediri0
W
15.05.26
SL
Semen Padang0
Persebaya7
W
09.05.26
SL
Persis Solo0
Persebaya0
D
02.05.26
SL
Persebaya4
PSBS Biak Numfor0
W
28.04.26
SL
Arema FC0
Persebaya4
W
23.04.26
SL
Malut United0
Persebaya2
W
17.04.26
SL
Persebaya1
Madura United2
L
11.04.26
SL
Persija Jakarta3
Persebaya0
L
PSMS Medan
26.07.26
PRE
PSMS Medan0
Port MTI FC2
L
02.05.26
CHA
Persiraja Aceh1
PSMS Medan1
D
25.04.26
CHA
PSMS Medan1
Adhyaksa1
D
19.04.26
CHA
PSMS Medan1
Sriwijaya0
W
11.04.26
CHA
Garudayaksa1
PSMS Medan0
L
05.04.26
CHA
Persikad Depok2
PSMS Medan2
D
28.03.26
CHA
PSMS Medan1
PSPS Riau1
D
28.02.26
CHA
Bekasi City2
PSMS Medan1
L
21.02.26
CHA
Persekat2
PSMS Medan0
L
14.02.26
CHA
PSMS Medan3
Sumsel United1
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Indonesia President Cup fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium (Surabaya), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.24, a call we are confident in at roughly 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 1:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "1" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Indonesia President Cup predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 30 Jul 2026, 3:33pm
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Persebaya vs PSMS Medan?
Our selection is 1 — Persebaya to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is Persebaya's current form?
Persebaya have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has PSMS Medan been performing recently?
PSMS Medan have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Persebaya lead with 4 wins versus PSMS Medan's 1, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
⚠️
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