Moderate Signal
50%

Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan — Prediction & Betting Tips

PPersepolis vs Esteghlal KhuzestanE
5:00 pm · ·Azadi Stadium (Tehran)
Home
WLLLL
4W 0D 6L
▲ Improving
Away
LLWWD
3W 3D 4L
▲ Improving
100SureTips SelectionWednesday, 19th August 2026
1
Backing Persepolis to win
Persepolis
50%
Draw
30%
Esteghlal Khuzestan
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
76.9%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-26.9%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
6
Persepolis
3
Draws
1
Esteghlal Khuzestan
10
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Persepolis won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
03Stats Duel
Persepolis
Metric
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1.1
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1
30%
Clean Sheets
50%
4-0-6
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
40%
30%
2.1
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

E0
E1
E2
E3
E4
E5
P0
0-0 11.2%
0-1 10.0%
0-2 4.4%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
P1
1-0 14.5%
1-1 13.0%
1-2 5.8%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
P2
2-0 9.5%
2-1 8.4%
2-2 3.8%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.0%
P3
3-0 4.1%
3-1 3.7%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
P4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 1.2%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
P5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1–0 14.5% model probability · seen ×3 in H2H
2–0 9.5% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
2–1 8.4% model probability
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
05Market Odds Intelligence
Persepolis Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Esteghlal Khuzestan Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
06Team Ratings
Persepolis
Overall
4.0
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.3
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Overall
3.9
Scoring
2.3
Defence
6.7
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes21%
Home Win & BTTS No26%
Draw & BTTS Yes8%
Draw & BTTS No10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes16%
Away Win & BTTS No19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.519%
Home Win & Under 2.528%
Draw & Over 2.57%
Draw & Under 2.511%
Away Win & Over 2.514%
Away Win & Under 2.521%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
07.11.25
PGL
Persepolis3
Esteghlal Khuzestan0
05.04.25
PGL
Persepolis0
Esteghlal Khuzestan0
30.10.24
PGL
Esteghlal Khuzestan1
Persepolis0
24.05.24
PGL
Persepolis4
Esteghlal Khuzestan3
19.12.23
PGL
Esteghlal Khuzestan2
Persepolis2
14.02.19
PGL
Persepolis2
Esteghlal Khuzestan0
09.08.18
PGL
Esteghlal Khuzestan0
Persepolis0
24.02.18
PGL
Persepolis1
Esteghlal Khuzestan0
12.10.17
PGL
Esteghlal Khuzestan1
Persepolis3
09.03.17
PGL
Persepolis1
Esteghlal Khuzestan0
Recent Form
Persepolis
15.08.26
PGL
Shams Azar Qazvin0
Persepolis2
W
26.06.26
PGL
Chadormalu2
Persepolis1
L
20.02.26
PGL
Persepolis1
Kheybar Khorramabad2
L
14.02.26
PGL
Gol Gohar3
Persepolis1
L
08.02.26
PGL
Malavan1
Persepolis0
L
03.02.26
PGL
Persepolis1
Chadormalu0
W
28.01.26
PGL
Foolad3
Persepolis1
L
23.01.26
PGL
Persepolis2
Sepahan1
W
18.01.26
PGL
Fajr Sepasi2
Persepolis1
L
26.12.25
PGL
Mes Rafsanjan0
Persepolis1
W
Esteghlal Khuzestan
14.08.26
PGL
Esteghlal Khuzestan0
Aluminium Arak2
L
23.02.26
PGL
Sepahan3
Esteghlal Khuzestan1
L
13.02.26
PGL
Esteghlal Khuzestan1
Fajr Sepasi0
W
07.02.26
PGL
Mes Rafsanjan0
Esteghlal Khuzestan1
W
01.02.26
PGL
Esteghlal Khuzestan1
Aluminium Arak1
D
27.01.26
PGL
Esteghlal F.C.1
Esteghlal Khuzestan0
L
23.01.26
PGL
Esteghlal Khuzestan0
Paykan0
D
18.01.26
PGL
Shams Azar Qazvin0
Esteghlal Khuzestan0
D
25.12.25
PGL
Esteghlal Khuzestan2
Zob Ahan0
W
15.12.25
PGL
Chadormalu3
Esteghlal Khuzestan1
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Iran Pro League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Azadi Stadium (Tehran), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.30, a call we are confident in at roughly 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "1" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Iran Pro League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 19 Aug 2026, 7:29am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
Our selection is 1 — Persepolis to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Persepolis's current form?
Persepolis have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Esteghlal Khuzestan been performing recently?
Esteghlal Khuzestan have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Persepolis lead with 6 wins versus Esteghlal Khuzestan's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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