Strong Signal
73%

Puskas Academy vs Paks — Prediction & Betting Tips

PPuskas Academy vs PaksP
4:30 pm · ·Pancho Arena (Felcsút)
Home
WLWLD
5W 2D 3L
▲ Improving
Away
DLDWL
3W 3D 4L
→ Steady
100SureTips SelectionSunday, 16th August 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob
70.4%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+2.6%
Value detected
Kelly %
8.7%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.42
Over 2.5 Goals65%Over 1.5 Goals90%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Puskas Academy vs Paks Competition: Hungary NB 1 Date: Sunday, 16th August 2026 KO: 4:30 pm Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.42 Confidence: 73% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
02Head to Head
3
Puskas Academy
1
Draws
6
Paks
10
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H.
03Stats Duel
Puskas Academy
Metric
Paks
1.4
Goals For / Game
2.4
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2.6
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-2-3
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
50%
30%
3.8
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
P0
0-0 3.0%
0-1 4.9%
0-2 4.0%
0-3 2.2%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
P1
1-0 5.6%
1-1 9.2%
1-2 7.5%
1-3 4.1%
1-4 1.7%
1-5 0.6%
P2
2-0 5.2%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 7.0%
2-3 3.8%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.5%
P3
3-0 3.3%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 4.4%
3-3 2.4%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.3%
P4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
P5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2–1 8.6% model probability · seen ×2 in H2H
1–1 9.2% model probability
1–2 7.5% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Puskas Academy
Overall
5.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.3
Paks
Overall
3.9
Scoring
8.0
Defence
1.3
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes29%
Home Win & BTTS No19%
Draw & BTTS Yes14%
Draw & BTTS No10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes17%
Away Win & BTTS No11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.531%
Home Win & Under 2.517%
Draw & Over 2.516%
Draw & Under 2.58%
Away Win & Over 2.518%
Away Win & Under 2.510%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
19.04.26
NBI
Paks1
Puskas Academy0
24.01.26
NBI
Puskas Academy1
Paks2
27.09.25
NBI
Paks3
Puskas Academy2
19.04.25
NBI
Paks2
Puskas Academy2
14.12.24
NBI
Puskas Academy3
Paks1
01.09.24
NBI
Paks2
Puskas Academy1
20.04.24
NBI
Puskas Academy5
Paks0
04.02.24
NBI
Paks2
Puskas Academy1
23.09.23
NBI
Puskas Academy0
Paks2
19.05.23
NBI
Paks0
Puskas Academy2
Recent Form
Puskas Academy
07.08.26
NBI
MTK Budapest2
Puskas Academy3
W
31.07.26
NBI
Puskas Academy0
Kisvarda2
L
26.07.26
NBI
Debrecen0
Puskas Academy2
W
16.07.26
CF
Puskas Academy0
Basaksehir2
L
11.07.26
CF
Puskas Academy1
BW Linz1
D
04.07.26
CF
Puskas Academy1
Slovan Bratislava0
W
15.05.26
NBI
Puskas Academy2
MTK Budapest2
D
01.05.26
NBI
Zalaegerszegi1
Puskas Academy3
W
25.04.26
NBI
Puskas Academy2
Ujpest0
W
19.04.26
NBI
Paks1
Puskas Academy0
L
Paks
09.08.26
NBI
Paks2
Honved2
D
03.08.26
NBI
Zalaegerszegi5
Paks2
L
30.07.26
UECL
Panathinaikos2
Paks2
D
26.07.26
NBI
Paks4
Ferencvaros2
W
23.07.26
UECL
Paks1
Panathinaikos2
L
17.07.26
CF
Austria Vienna4
Paks1
L
16.07.26
CF
Paks5
Slaven Belupo3
W
14.07.26
CF
Hap. Ramat Gan0
Paks4
W
11.07.26
CF
Paks0
Kozarmisleny SE3
L
08.07.26
CF
Maccabi Haifa3
Paks3
D
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Hungary NB 1 fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Pancho Arena (Felcsút), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 2.5 at @1.42, a call we are confident in at roughly 80%. The fixture starts at 4:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "Over 2.5" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Hungary NB 1 predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 16 Aug 2026, 6:41am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Puskas Academy vs Paks?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 73%.
What is Puskas Academy's current form?
Puskas Academy have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Paks been performing recently?
Paks have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Puskas Academy lead with 3 wins versus Paks's 6, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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