Moderate Signal
56%

Roma vs Cagliari - Prediction & Betting Tips

RRoma vs CagliariC
8:45 pm .- .Stadio Olimpico (Rome)
Home
DWWLD
5W 4D 1L
^ Improving
Away
LLDWW
5W 1D 4L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionTuesday, 27th October 2026
1
Backing Roma to win
Implied Prob
73.5%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-17.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
7
Roma
1
Draws
2
Cagliari
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Roma won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
03Stats Duel
Roma
Metric
Cagliari
2.3
Goals For / Game
0.8
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.1
50%
Clean Sheets
40%
5-4-1
W - D - L
5-1-4
Win Rate
50%
50%
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
R0
0-0 6.9%
0-1 6.1%
0-2 2.7%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
R1
1-0 12.4%
1-1 10.9%
1-2 4.8%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
R2
2-0 11.1%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 4.3%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
R3
3-0 6.6%
3-1 5.8%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
R4
4-0 3.0%
4-1 2.6%
4-2 1.2%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
R5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-0 12.4% model probability . seen x3 in H2H
2-0 11.1% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-1 9.8% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Roma
Overall
6.2^
Scoring
7.7^
Defence
6.3^
Cagliari
Overall
5.3^
Scoring
2.7^
Defence
6.3^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes16%
Home Win & BTTS No24%
Draw & BTTS Yes8%
Draw & BTTS No12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes16%
Away Win & BTTS No24%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.518%
Home Win & Under 2.522%
Draw & Over 2.59%
Draw & Under 2.511%
Away Win & Over 2.518%
Away Win & Under 2.522%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
09.02.26
SA
AS Roma2
Cagliari0
07.12.25
SA
Cagliari1
AS Roma0
16.03.25
SA
AS Roma1
Cagliari0
18.08.24
SA
Cagliari0
AS Roma0
05.02.24
SA
AS Roma4
Cagliari0
08.10.23
SA
Cagliari1
AS Roma4
16.01.22
SA
AS Roma1
Cagliari0
27.10.21
SA
Cagliari1
AS Roma2
25.04.21
SA
Cagliari3
AS Roma2
23.12.20
SA
AS Roma3
Cagliari2
Recent Form
Roma
24.10.26
SA
Napoli3
AS Roma3
D
20.10.26
CL
AS Roma4
Slovan Bratislava0
W
17.10.26
SA
AS Roma2
Genoa0
W
14.10.26
CL
AS Roma3
Real Madrid4
L
11.10.26
SA
Como0
AS Roma0
D
19.09.26
SA
AS Roma2
Inter2
D
14.09.26
SA
Torino0
AS Roma2
W
10.09.26
CL
Fenerbahce1
AS Roma1
D
05.09.26
SA
AS Roma2
Atalanta1
W
31.08.26
SA
Lecce0
AS Roma4
W
Cagliari
24.10.26
SA
Cagliari0
Bologna2
L
19.10.26
SA
Monza4
Cagliari0
L
11.10.26
SA
Cagliari1
Juventus1
D
19.09.26
SA
Udinese0
Cagliari1
W
12.09.26
SA
Atalanta1
Cagliari2
W
07.09.26
SA
Cagliari1
Lecce0
W
03.09.26
COP
Cagliari1
Verona2
L
30.08.26
SA
Cagliari0
Inter1
L
22.08.26
SA
Parma0
Cagliari1
W
14.08.26
COP
Cagliari1
Arezzo0
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Italian Serie A fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Stadio Olimpico (Rome), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.36, a call we are confident in at roughly 51%. The fixture starts at 8:45 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Italian Serie A predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 27 Oct 2026, 6:30am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Roma vs Cagliari?
Our selection is 1 - Roma to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Roma's current form?
Roma have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Cagliari been performing recently?
Cagliari have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Roma lead with 7 wins versus Cagliari's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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