Moderate Signal
54%

Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu — Prediction & Betting Tips

SShandong Taishan vs Qingdao HainiuQ
12:35 pm · ·Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium (Jinan)
Home
WWLWL
5W 0D 4L
▲ Improving
Away
LLLLL
1W 1D 7L
▲ Improving
100SureTips SelectionFriday, 14th August 2026
1
Backing Shandong Taishan to win
Shandong Taishan
50%
Draw
30%
Qingdao Hainiu
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
72.5%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-18.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 — Shandong Taishan to win
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals83%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu Competition: China Super League Date: Friday, 14th August 2026 KO: 12:35 pm Pick: 1 (Shandong Taishan to win) Odds: 1.38 Confidence: 54% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (83%)
02Head to Head
6
Shandong Taishan
3
Draws
1
Qingdao Hainiu
10
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Shandong Taishan won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
03Stats Duel
Shandong Taishan
Metric
Qingdao Hainiu
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.4
Goals Against / Game
2.6
22%
Clean Sheets
0%
5-0-4
W — D — L
1-1-7
Win Rate
56%
11%
3.7
Avg Goals
83%
Over 1.5
61%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

Q0
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q5
S0
0-0 2.7%
0-1 3.5%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 6.1%
1-1 8.1%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 2.4%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
S2
2-0 7.0%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.8%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.3%
S3
3-0 5.3%
3-1 7.1%
3-2 4.8%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
S4
4-0 3.1%
4-1 4.1%
4-2 2.7%
4-3 1.2%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 1.9%
5-2 1.3%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2–1 9.3% model probability
3–1 7.1% model probability
2–0 7.0% model probability
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
05Market Odds Intelligence
Shandong Taishan Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Qingdao Hainiu Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
06Team Ratings
Shandong Taishan
Overall
5.6
Scoring
7.0
Defence
5.2
Qingdao Hainiu
Overall
1.4
Scoring
4.1
Defence
1.5
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes47%
Home Win & BTTS No30%
Draw & BTTS Yes5%
Draw & BTTS No3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes9%
Away Win & BTTS No6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.547%
Home Win & Under 2.530%
Draw & Over 2.55%
Draw & Under 2.53%
Away Win & Over 2.59%
Away Win & Under 2.56%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
26.04.26
SL
Qingdao Hainiu4
Shandong Taishan1
20.09.25
SL
Qingdao Hainiu2
Shandong Taishan2
01.05.25
SL
Shandong Taishan1
Qingdao Hainiu1
13.07.24
SL
Shandong Taishan1
Qingdao Hainiu1
05.04.24
SL
Qingdao Hainiu0
Shandong Taishan1
15.09.23
SL
Shandong Taishan4
Qingdao Hainiu2
28.05.23
SL
Qingdao Hainiu0
Shandong Taishan1
17.11.22
FAC
Qingdao Hainiu0
Shandong Taishan2
14.09.13
SL
Qingdao Hainiu1
Shandong Taishan2
14.05.13
SL
Shandong Taishan3
Qingdao Hainiu0
Recent Form
Shandong Taishan
09.08.26
SL
Shandong Taishan2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
W
01.08.26
SL
Shanghai Port0
Shandong Taishan1
W
26.07.26
SL
Shandong Taishan1
Henan Songshan Longmen2
L
18.07.26
SL
Dalian Yingbo3
Shandong Taishan1
L
10.07.26
SL
Shandong Taishan4
Yunnan Yukun3
W
04.07.26
SL
Beijing Guoan2
Shandong Taishan0
L
27.06.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren1
Shandong Taishan5
W
20.06.26
FAC
Guangxi Hengchen0
Shandong Taishan5
W
30.05.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng1
Shandong Taishan0
L
Qingdao Hainiu
08.08.26
SL
Qingdao Hainiu0
Shanghai Shenhua1
L
02.08.26
SL
Qingdao West Coast2
Qingdao Hainiu0
L
25.07.26
SL
Qingdao Hainiu0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger2
L
21.07.26
FAC
Shanghai Shenhua4
Qingdao Hainiu1
L
17.07.26
SL
Henan Songshan Longmen5
Qingdao Hainiu1
L
14.07.26
SL
Zhejiang Professional3
Qingdao Hainiu2
L
05.07.26
SL
Qingdao Hainiu1
Chengdu Rongcheng1
D
26.06.26
SL
Qingdao Hainiu4
Yunnan Yukun2
W
30.05.26
SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng3
Qingdao Hainiu2
L
Shandong Taishan (Home)
09.08.26
SL
Shandong Taishan2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
W
26.07.26
SL
Shandong Taishan1
Henan Songshan Longmen2
L
10.07.26
SL
Shandong Taishan4
Yunnan Yukun3
W
24.05.26
SL
Shandong Taishan3
Wuhan Three Towns3
D
16.05.26
SL
Shandong Taishan3
Chongqing Tonglianglong1
W
05.05.26
SL
Shandong Taishan4
Shanghai Shenhua1
W
01.05.26
SL
Shandong Taishan1
Qingdao West Coast1
D
17.04.26
SL
Shandong Taishan1
Shanghai Port1
D
04.04.26
SL
Shandong Taishan1
Dalian Yingbo2
L
14.03.26
SL
Shandong Taishan2
Beijing Guoan1
W
Qingdao Hainiu (Away)
02.08.26
SL
Qingdao West Coast2
Qingdao Hainiu0
L
21.07.26
FAC
Shanghai Shenhua4
Qingdao Hainiu1
L
17.07.26
SL
Henan Songshan Longmen5
Qingdao Hainiu1
L
14.07.26
SL
Zhejiang Professional3
Qingdao Hainiu2
L
30.05.26
SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng3
Qingdao Hainiu2
L
20.05.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren2
Qingdao Hainiu1
L
15.05.26
SL
Beijing Guoan4
Qingdao Hainiu2
L
06.05.26
SL
Wuhan Three Towns1
Qingdao Hainiu3
W
22.04.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua2
Qingdao Hainiu0
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this China Super League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium (Jinan), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 5 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.38, a call we are confident in at roughly 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 12:35 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "1" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are China Super League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 14 Aug 2026, 8:11am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu?
Our selection is 1 — Shandong Taishan to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Shandong Taishan's current form?
Shandong Taishan have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 9 matches.
How has Qingdao Hainiu been performing recently?
Qingdao Hainiu have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Shandong Taishan lead with 6 wins versus Qingdao Hainiu's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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