Strong Signal
70%

Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan — Prediction & Betting Tips

SShanghai Shenhua vs Beijing GuoanB
12:35 pm · ·Shanghai Stadium (Shanghai)
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100SureTips SelectionTuesday, 18th August 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob
74.6%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-4.6%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals65%Over 1.5 Goals90%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan Competition: China Super League Date: Tuesday, 18th August 2026 KO: 12:35 pm Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 70% Model Correct Score: 1-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
02Head to Head
3
Shanghai Shenhua
4
Draws
3
Beijing Guoan
10
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
90%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 60% of H2H.
03Stats Duel
Shanghai Shenhua
Metric
Beijing Guoan
2.1
Goals For / Game
2.3
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-1-3
W — D — L
8-2-0
Win Rate
60%
80%
3.4
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
S0
0-0 3.5%
0-1 5.9%
0-2 4.9%
0-3 2.7%
0-4 1.1%
0-5 0.4%
S1
1-0 5.9%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 8.2%
1-3 4.6%
1-4 1.9%
1-5 0.6%
S2
2-0 5.0%
2-1 8.3%
2-2 6.9%
2-3 3.8%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.5%
S3
3-0 2.8%
3-1 4.6%
3-2 3.8%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
S4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1–1 9.9% model probability · seen ×3 in H2H
2–1 8.3% model probability · seen ×3 in H2H
1–2 8.2% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Shanghai Shenhua
Overall
6.3
Scoring
7.0
Defence
5.3
Beijing Guoan
Overall
8.6
Scoring
7.7
Defence
6.7
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes25%
Home Win & BTTS No14%
Draw & BTTS Yes7%
Draw & BTTS No4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes33%
Away Win & BTTS No18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.525%
Home Win & Under 2.514%
Draw & Over 2.57%
Draw & Under 2.54%
Away Win & Over 2.533%
Away Win & Under 2.518%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
21.03.26
SL
Beijing Guoan1
Shanghai Shenhua1
19.07.25
SL
Beijing Guoan1
Shanghai Shenhua3
01.03.25
SL
Shanghai Shenhua2
Beijing Guoan2
22.08.24
FAC
Shanghai Shenhua2
Beijing Guoan1
04.08.24
SL
Beijing Guoan2
Shanghai Shenhua1
13.04.24
SL
Shanghai Shenhua1
Beijing Guoan1
19.08.23
SL
Beijing Guoan2
Shanghai Shenhua1
19.05.23
SL
Shanghai Shenhua1
Beijing Guoan1
25.11.22
SL
Shanghai Shenhua1
Beijing Guoan2
26.08.22
SL
Beijing Guoan0
Shanghai Shenhua2
Recent Form
Shanghai Shenhua
15.08.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua4
Henan Songshan Longmen1
W
08.08.26
SL
Qingdao Hainiu0
Shanghai Shenhua1
W
02.08.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren3
Shanghai Shenhua1
L
25.07.26
SL
Shanghai Port2
Shanghai Shenhua0
L
21.07.26
FAC
Shanghai Shenhua4
Qingdao Hainiu1
W
18.07.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger2
L
05.07.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua3
Zhejiang Professional2
W
28.06.26
SL
Dalian Yingbo1
Shanghai Shenhua4
W
20.06.26
FAC
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Shanghai Shenhua2
W
30.05.26
SL
Qingdao West Coast2
Shanghai Shenhua2
D
Beijing Guoan
15.08.26
SL
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger2
Beijing Guoan4
W
07.08.26
SL
Beijing Guoan4
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng0
W
01.08.26
SL
Beijing Guoan2
Zhejiang Professional1
W
26.07.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng2
Beijing Guoan2
D
21.07.26
FAC
Dalian Kewei1
Beijing Guoan2
W
17.07.26
SL
Beijing Guoan1
Liaoning Tieren1
D
04.07.26
SL
Beijing Guoan2
Shandong Taishan0
W
27.06.26
SL
Beijing Guoan1
Wuhan Three Towns0
W
19.06.26
FAC
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Beijing Guoan2
W
30.05.26
SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong2
Beijing Guoan3
W
Shanghai Shenhua (Home)
15.08.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua4
Henan Songshan Longmen1
W
21.07.26
FAC
Shanghai Shenhua4
Qingdao Hainiu1
W
18.07.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger2
L
05.07.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua3
Zhejiang Professional2
W
24.05.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng2
L
20.05.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua2
Wuhan Three Towns2
D
09.05.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua2
Chongqing Tonglianglong2
D
01.05.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua2
Chengdu Rongcheng3
L
22.04.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua2
Qingdao Hainiu0
W
18.04.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua3
Liaoning Tieren1
W
Beijing Guoan (Away)
15.08.26
SL
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger2
Beijing Guoan4
W
26.07.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng2
Beijing Guoan2
D
21.07.26
FAC
Dalian Kewei1
Beijing Guoan2
W
19.06.26
FAC
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Beijing Guoan2
W
30.05.26
SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong2
Beijing Guoan3
W
19.05.26
SL
Qingdao West Coast1
Beijing Guoan1
D
02.05.26
SL
Yunnan Yukun3
Beijing Guoan3
D
21.04.26
SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng0
Beijing Guoan1
W
17.04.26
SL
Zhejiang Professional0
Beijing Guoan0
D
04.04.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren2
Beijing Guoan1
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this China Super League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Shanghai Stadium (Shanghai), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 2.5 at @1.34, a call we are confident in at roughly 80%. The fixture starts at 12:35 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "Over 2.5" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are China Super League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 18 Aug 2026, 7:07am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 70%.
What is Shanghai Shenhua's current form?
Shanghai Shenhua have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Beijing Guoan been performing recently?
Beijing Guoan have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Shanghai Shenhua lead with 3 wins versus Beijing Guoan's 3, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 90%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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