LOST Tip LOST Sparta Prague 1-1 Lillestrom

Sparta Prague vs Lillestrom - Prediction & Betting Tips

SSparta Prague 1-1 LillestromL
5:45 pm .epet ARENA (Prague)
Home
WWWWW
9W 0D 1L
^ Improving
Away
DWLLW
5W 2D 3L
v Declining
100SureTips SelectionThursday, 15th October 2026
1
Backing Sparta Prague to win
Implied Prob
79.4%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-14.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Sparta Prague to win
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals80%Over 1.5 Goals95%Sparta Prague Clean Sheet60%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Sparta Prague vs Lillestrom Competition: Europa League Date: Thursday, 15th October 2026 KO: 5:45 pm Pick: 1 (Sparta Prague to win) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 65% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: Sparta Prague Clean Sheet (60%)
02Head to Head
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
03Stats Duel
Sparta Prague
Metric
Lillestrom
3.3
Goals For / Game
1.8
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.4
60%
Clean Sheets
30%
9-0-1
W - D - L
5-2-3
Win Rate
90%
50%
3.6
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
S0
0-0 2.7%
0-1 3.4%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 6.4%
1-1 8.0%
1-2 5.0%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
S2
2-0 7.5%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 5.9%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
S3
3-0 5.9%
3-1 7.4%
3-2 4.6%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
S4
4-0 3.5%
4-1 4.3%
4-2 2.7%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 1.6%
5-1 2.0%
5-2 1.3%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.4% model probability
2-0 7.5% model probability
3-1 7.4% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Sparta Prague
Overall
9.0v
Scoring
10.0v
Defence
7.7v
Lillestrom
Overall
5.6^
Scoring
6.0^
Defence
5.3^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes30%
Home Win & BTTS No30%
Draw & BTTS Yes4%
Draw & BTTS No4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes17%
Away Win & BTTS No17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.548%
Home Win & Under 2.512%
Draw & Over 2.56%
Draw & Under 2.51%
Away Win & Over 2.526%
Away Win & Under 2.57%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Sparta Prague
11.10.26
1L
Sparta Prague2
FK Pardubice0
W
02.10.26
CF
Sparta Prague5
Jihlava3
W
20.09.26
1L
Sigma Olomouc0
Sparta Prague3
W
16.09.26
EL
Ararat-Armenia1
Sparta Prague4
W
12.09.26
1L
Sparta Prague2
Jablonec0
W
09.09.26
CUP
Zizkov0
Sparta Prague5
W
06.09.26
1L
Hradec Kralove2
Sparta Prague1
L
30.08.26
1L
Sparta Prague0
Slavia Prague3
L
22.08.26
1L
Artis Brno0
Sparta Prague4
W
15.08.26
1L
Sparta Prague4
Teplice1
W
Lillestrom
11.10.26
ELI
Lillestrom2
Molde2
D
01.10.26
NMC
Baerum Sportsklubb1
Lillestrom5
W
20.09.26
ELI
Viking3
Lillestrom0
L
17.09.26
EL
Lillestrom1
Torreense2
L
12.09.26
ELI
Lillestrom2
Valerenga0
W
05.09.26
ELI
Brann1
Lillestrom2
W
02.09.26
NMC
Aurskog/Finstadbru0
Lillestrom3
W
30.08.26
ELI
Lillestrom1
Fredrikstad4
L
27.08.26
EL
Lillestrom2
Egnatia1
W
20.08.26
EL
Egnatia0
Lillestrom0
D
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Europa League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 5 wins from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at epet ARENA (Prague), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.26, a call we are confident in at roughly 48%. The fixture starts at 5:45 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Europa League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 16 Oct 2026, 7:00am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Sparta Prague vs Lillestrom?
Our selection is 1 - Sparta Prague to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 65%.
What is Sparta Prague's current form?
Sparta Prague have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Lillestrom been performing recently?
Lillestrom have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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