Strong Signal
68%

Sturm Graz vs Altach — Prediction & Betting Tips

SSturm Graz vs AltachA
6:30 pm · ·Merkur-Arena (Graz)
Home
WLWLD
7W 1D 2L
▲ Improving
Away
WLDWL
4W 3D 3L
→ Steady
100SureTips SelectionSaturday, 22nd August 2026
1
Backing Sturm Graz to win
Sturm Graz
50%
Draw
30%
Altach
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
76.3%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-8.3%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 — Sturm Graz to win
1.31
Under 2.5 Goals85%BTTS — No90%Sturm Graz Clean Sheet60%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Sturm Graz vs Altach Competition: Austria Bundesliga Date: Saturday, 22nd August 2026 KO: 6:30 pm Pick: 1 (Sturm Graz to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 68% Model Correct Score: 1-0 Also: Under 2.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS — No (90%) Also: Sturm Graz Clean Sheet (60%)
02Head to Head
10
Sturm Graz
0
Draws
0
Altach
10
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Sturm Graz won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
03Stats Duel
Sturm Graz
Metric
Altach
1.9
Goals For / Game
0
0.5
Goals Against / Game
0
60%
Clean Sheets
0%
7-1-2
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
70%
40%
1.2
Avg Goals
35%
Over 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
10%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
S0
0-0 25.7%
0-1 5.3%
0-2 0.5%
0-3 0.0%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 29.7%
1-1 6.1%
1-2 0.6%
1-3 0.0%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
S2
2-0 17.1%
2-1 3.5%
2-2 0.4%
2-3 0.0%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 6.6%
3-1 1.4%
3-2 0.1%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1–0 29.7% model probability
2–0 17.1% model probability · seen ×2 in H2H
3–0 6.6% model probability
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
05Market Odds Intelligence
Sturm Graz Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Altach Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
06Team Ratings
Sturm Graz
Overall
7.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
8.3
Altach
Overall
4.9
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes5%
Home Win & BTTS No49%
Draw & BTTS Yes2%
Draw & BTTS No14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes3%
Away Win & BTTS No28%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.58%
Home Win & Under 2.546%
Draw & Over 2.52%
Draw & Under 2.513%
Away Win & Over 2.55%
Away Win & Under 2.526%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
25.11.23
BUN
Sturm Graz2
A. Lustenau0
19.08.23
BUN
A. Lustenau0
Sturm Graz1
04.03.23
BUN
A. Lustenau0
Sturm Graz2
18.09.22
BUN
Sturm Graz2
A. Lustenau0
30.10.13
CUP
A. Lustenau0
Sturm Graz4
19.05.00
BUN
Sturm Graz7
A. Lustenau0
19.03.00
BUN
A. Lustenau0
Sturm Graz1
29.10.99
BUN
Sturm Graz5
A. Lustenau1
13.08.99
BUN
A. Lustenau1
Sturm Graz2
12.04.99
BUN
A. Lustenau1
Sturm Graz2
Recent Form
Sturm Graz
15.08.26
BUN
Sturm Graz1
Altach0
W
11.08.26
CL
Sturm Graz0
Fenerbahce1
L
08.08.26
BUN
Hartberg0
Sturm Graz2
W
05.08.26
CL
Fenerbahce2
Sturm Graz0
L
01.08.26
BUN
Tirol1
Sturm Graz1
D
28.07.26
CL
Hearts0
Sturm Graz2
W
24.07.26
CUP
Seekirchen0
Sturm Graz3
W
21.07.26
CL
Sturm Graz4
Hearts0
W
15.07.26
CF
Sturm Graz1
Pogon Szczecin0
W
11.07.26
CF
Sturm Graz5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1
W
Altach
15.08.26
BUN
A. Lustenau2
Wolfsberger AC1
W
08.08.26
BUN
Grazer AK2
A. Lustenau1
L
02.08.26
BUN
A. Lustenau1
Ried1
D
25.07.26
CUP
Kremser0
A. Lustenau1
W
16.07.26
CF
Nurnberg II1
A. Lustenau0
L
15.07.26
CF
Bregenz1
A. Lustenau1
D
10.07.26
CF
A. Lustenau1
Aarau0
W
04.07.26
CF
Vaduz1
A. Lustenau0
L
01.07.26
CF
A. Lustenau0
Young Boys0
D
26.06.26
CF
A. Lustenau2
Wil0
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Austria Bundesliga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Merkur-Arena (Graz), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.31, a call we are confident in at roughly 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 6:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "1" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Austria Bundesliga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 22 Aug 2026, 6:52am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Sturm Graz vs Altach?
Our selection is 1 — Sturm Graz to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Sturm Graz's current form?
Sturm Graz have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Altach been performing recently?
Altach have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Sturm Graz lead with 10 wins versus Altach's 0, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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