WON Tip WON Sunderland 0-2 Arsenal

Sunderland vs Arsenal - Prediction & Betting Tips

SSunderland 0-2 ArsenalA
8:00 pm .Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
Home
WDWLW
5W 1D 4L
v Declining
Away
WWWWW
6W 2D 2L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionSaturday, 12th September 2026
2
Backing Arsenal to win
Implied Prob
61%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+10%
Value detected
Kelly %
25.7%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
0
Sunderland
3
Draws
7
Arsenal
10
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Arsenal won 7 of 10 meetings.
03Stats Duel
Sunderland
Metric
Arsenal
1.2
Goals For / Game
1.9
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
5-1-4
W - D - L
6-2-2
Win Rate
50%
60%
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
S0
0-0 5.9%
0-1 11.5%
0-2 11.3%
0-3 7.4%
0-4 3.6%
0-5 1.4%
S1
1-0 5.1%
1-1 10.1%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 6.5%
1-4 3.2%
1-5 1.3%
S2
2-0 2.2%
2-1 4.4%
2-2 4.3%
2-3 2.8%
2-4 1.4%
2-5 0.5%
S3
3-0 0.7%
3-1 1.3%
3-2 1.3%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.2%
S4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.3%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
0-2 11.3% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
0-1 11.5% model probability
1-2 9.9% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Sunderland
Overall
5.3v
Scoring
4.0v
Defence
5.7v
Arsenal
Overall
6.6v
Scoring
6.3v
Defence
6.7v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes22%
Home Win & BTTS No18%
Draw & BTTS Yes7%
Draw & BTTS No5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes26%
Away Win & BTTS No22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.520%
Home Win & Under 2.520%
Draw & Over 2.56%
Draw & Under 2.56%
Away Win & Over 2.524%
Away Win & Under 2.524%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
07.02.26
PL
Arsenal3
Sunderland0
08.11.25
PL
Sunderland2
Arsenal2
21.12.21
EFL
Arsenal5
Sunderland1
16.05.17
PL
Arsenal2
Sunderland0
29.10.16
PL
Sunderland1
Arsenal4
24.04.16
PL
Sunderland0
Arsenal0
09.01.16
FAC
Arsenal3
Sunderland1
05.12.15
PL
Arsenal3
Sunderland1
20.05.15
PL
Arsenal0
Sunderland0
25.10.14
PL
Sunderland0
Arsenal2
Recent Form
Sunderland
08.09.26
EFL
Sunderland1
Hull0
W
05.09.26
PL
Brentford1
Sunderland1
D
30.08.26
PL
Sunderland1
Fulham0
W
22.08.26
PL
Ipswich2
Sunderland1
L
15.08.26
CF
Sunderland2
Rennes1
W
08.08.26
CF
Lens0
Sunderland2
W
08.08.26
CF
Lens4
Sunderland1
L
02.08.26
PLS
Wrexham0
Sunderland1
W
31.07.26
PLS
Sunderland0
Leeds1
L
25.07.26
PLS
Liverpool4
Sunderland2
L
Arsenal
09.09.26
CL
Napoli0
Arsenal1
W
06.09.26
PL
Arsenal2
Chelsea1
W
31.08.26
PL
Aston Villa0
Arsenal1
W
21.08.26
PL
Arsenal3
Coventry0
W
16.08.26
CS
Arsenal3
Manchester City0
W
12.08.26
CF
Arsenal1
Como (4-3)1
09.08.26
EMI
Arsenal2
Dortmund3
L
05.08.26
CF
Arsenal1
Betis3
L
01.08.26
CF
Girona1
Arsenal4
W
30.05.26
CL
PSG1
Arsenal (4-3)1
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this English Premier League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Stadium of Light (Sunderland), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 5 wins from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 2 at @1.64, a call we are confident in at roughly 20%. The fixture starts at 8:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are English Premier League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 15 Sep 2026, 11:01am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Sunderland vs Arsenal?
Our selection is 2 - Arsenal to win, priced at approximately 1.64. Tip confidence rating: 71%.
What is Sunderland's current form?
Sunderland have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Arsenal been performing recently?
Arsenal have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Sunderland lead with 0 wins versus Arsenal's 7, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 0-2 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
Bet Responsibly. 100SureTips provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org. 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.
BeGambleAwareGamCareGamStopGamblingTherapyDisclaimer