LOST Tip LOST Wolves 1-3 Bolton

Wolves vs Bolton - Prediction & Betting Tips

WWolves 1-3 BoltonB
7:45 pm .Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton)
Home
LWLWD
5W 2D 3L
^ Improving
Away
LWWLL
3W 1D 6L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionTuesday, 13th October 2026
1
Backing Wolves to win
Implied Prob
72.5%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-28.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
3
Wolves
4
Draws
3
Bolton
10
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Wolves won 3 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
03Stats Duel
Wolves
Metric
Bolton
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.8
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-2-3
W - D - L
3-1-6
Win Rate
50%
30%
3
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
W0
0-0 4.8%
0-1 6.1%
0-2 3.9%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
W1
1-0 8.4%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 6.9%
1-3 2.9%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
W2
2-0 7.5%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 6.1%
2-3 2.6%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
W3
3-0 4.4%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
W4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
W5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.5% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
1-0 8.4% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-0 7.5% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Wolves
Overall
5.6^
Scoring
5.7^
Defence
6.0^
Bolton
Overall
3.3v
Scoring
4.0v
Defence
4.0v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes27%
Home Win & BTTS No27%
Draw & BTTS Yes8%
Draw & BTTS No8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes16%
Away Win & BTTS No16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.529%
Home Win & Under 2.524%
Draw & Over 2.59%
Draw & Under 2.57%
Away Win & Over 2.517%
Away Win & Under 2.514%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
21.04.18
CHA
Bolton0
Wolves4
25.11.17
CHA
Wolves5
Bolton1
02.02.16
CHA
Wolves2
Bolton2
12.09.15
CHA
Bolton2
Wolves1
31.01.15
CHA
Bolton2
Wolves2
20.09.14
CHA
Wolves1
Bolton0
06.04.13
CHA
Bolton2
Wolves0
23.10.12
CHA
Wolves2
Bolton2
31.03.12
PL
Wolves2
Bolton3
31.12.11
PL
Bolton1
Wolves1
Recent Form
Wolves
10.10.26
CHA
Middlesbrough1
Wolves0
L
20.09.26
CHA
Wolves1
West Brom0
W
16.09.26
EFL
Everton1
Wolves0
L
13.09.26
CHA
Sheffield Utd0
Wolves1
W
06.09.26
CHA
Birmingham2
Wolves2
D
01.09.26
CHA
West Ham4
Wolves2
L
29.08.26
CHA
Wolves4
Stoke1
W
25.08.26
EFL
Sheffield Wed0
Wolves2
W
22.08.26
CHA
Preston1
Wolves3
W
14.08.26
CHA
Wolves2
Blackburn2
D
Bolton
10.10.26
CHA
Bolton1
Stoke2
L
20.09.26
CHA
Norwich3
Bolton4
W
12.09.26
CHA
Bolton1
Cardiff0
W
08.09.26
CHA
Bolton2
West Ham3
L
05.09.26
CHA
Millwall4
Bolton0
L
01.09.26
CHA
Sheffield Utd3
Bolton2
L
29.08.26
CHA
Bolton0
Lincoln1
L
22.08.26
CHA
QPR0
Bolton0
D
15.08.26
CHA
Bolton2
Preston1
W
08.08.26
EFL
Sheffield Wed1
Bolton0
L
Wolves (Home)
20.09.26
CHA
Wolves1
West Brom0
W
29.08.26
CHA
Wolves4
Stoke1
W
14.08.26
CHA
Wolves2
Blackburn2
D
07.08.26
EFL
Wolves3
Port Vale0
W
01.08.26
CF
Wolves3
Racing Santander0
W
25.07.26
CF
Wolves1
Real Sociedad2
L
17.05.26
PL
Wolves1
Fulham1
D
02.05.26
PL
Wolves1
Sunderland1
D
25.04.26
PL
Wolves0
Tottenham1
L
06.03.26
FAC
Wolves1
Liverpool3
L
Bolton (Away)
20.09.26
CHA
Norwich3
Bolton4
W
05.09.26
CHA
Millwall4
Bolton0
L
01.09.26
CHA
Sheffield Utd3
Bolton2
L
22.08.26
CHA
QPR0
Bolton0
D
08.08.26
EFL
Sheffield Wed1
Bolton0
L
28.07.26
CF
Fleetwood1
Bolton1
D
21.07.26
CF
Oldham1
Bolton3
W
17.07.26
CF
Dun. Streda2
Bolton1
L
14.05.26
LO
Bradford City0
Bolton1
W
25.04.26
LO
Bradford City1
Bolton1
D
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this England Championship fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.38, a call we are confident in at roughly roughly 48. The fixture starts at 7:45 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are England Championship predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 14 Oct 2026, 1:22pm
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Wolves vs Bolton?
Our selection is 1 - Wolves to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 44%.
What is Wolves's current form?
Wolves have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Bolton been performing recently?
Bolton have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Wolves lead with 3 wins versus Bolton's 3, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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