Moderate Signal
64%

Zenit vs Baltika — Prediction & Betting Tips

ZZenit vs BaltikaB
6:45 pm · ·Gazprom Arena (Saint Petersburg)
Home
WWWDW
7W 2D 0L
▲ Improving
Away
WLDWW
5W 1D 4L
▼ Declining
100SureTips SelectionWednesday, 5th August 2026
1
Backing Zenit to win
Zenit
50%
Draw
30%
Baltika
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
71.9%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-7.9%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 — Zenit to win
1.39
Zenit Clean Sheet56%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Zenit vs Baltika Competition: Russian Cup Date: Wednesday, 5th August 2026 KO: 6:45 pm Pick: 1 (Zenit to win) Odds: 1.39 Confidence: 64% Model Correct Score: 1-0 Also: Zenit Clean Sheet (56%)
02Head to Head
7
Zenit
1
Draws
2
Baltika
10
Meetings
1.8
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Zenit won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
03Stats Duel
Zenit
Metric
Baltika
2.7
Goals For / Game
2
0.4
Goals Against / Game
0.8
56%
Clean Sheets
40%
7-2-0
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
78%
50%
2.9
Avg Goals
79%
Over 1.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
Z0
0-0 8.8%
0-1 8.3%
0-2 3.9%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
Z1
1-0 13.1%
1-1 12.3%
1-2 5.8%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
Z2
2-0 9.8%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 4.3%
2-3 1.4%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
Z3
3-0 4.9%
3-1 4.6%
3-2 2.1%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
Z4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
Z5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1–0 13.1% model probability · seen ×3 in H2H
2–1 9.2% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
2–0 9.8% model probability
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
05Market Odds Intelligence
Zenit Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Baltika Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
06Team Ratings
Zenit
Overall
8.4
Scoring
8.9
Defence
8.5
Baltika
Overall
5.3
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.3
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes23%
Home Win & BTTS No31%
Draw & BTTS Yes5%
Draw & BTTS No6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes15%
Away Win & BTTS No20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.531%
Home Win & Under 2.523%
Draw & Over 2.56%
Draw & Under 2.55%
Away Win & Over 2.520%
Away Win & Under 2.515%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
03.03.26
CUP
Baltika0
Zenit1
27.02.26
PL
Zenit1
Baltika0
14.09.25
PL
Baltika0
Zenit0
06.07.25
CF
Zenit1
Baltika2
02.06.24
CUP
Baltika1
Zenit2
07.04.24
PL
Zenit1
Baltika0
04.11.23
PL
Baltika0
Zenit2
03.10.23
CUP
Zenit2
Baltika1
30.08.23
CUP
Baltika1
Zenit0
25.09.12
CUP
Baltika1
Zenit2
Recent Form
Zenit
02.08.26
PL
Orenburg0
Zenit3
W
25.07.26
PL
Akron Togliatti0
Zenit5
W
13.07.26
CF
Zenit1
Dynamo Makhachkala1
D
12.07.26
CF
Zenit3
Crvena zvezda1
W
08.07.26
CF
Zenit4
Neftchi Fargona1
W
05.07.26
CF
Zenit1
Gimnasia L.P.1
D
01.07.26
CF
Zenit2
Dynamo Makhachkala0
W
27.06.26
CF
Zenit4
Leningradets0
W
17.05.26
PL
FK Rostov0
Zenit1
W
Baltika
01.08.26
PL
Baltika2
Dynamo Moscow1
W
24.07.26
PL
CSKA Moscow2
Baltika1
L
19.07.26
CF
Krasnodar1
Baltika1
D
11.07.26
CF
Tikves0
Baltika6
W
07.07.26
CF
Tikves0
Baltika5
W
26.06.26
CF
Akron Togliatti0
Baltika1
W
26.06.26
CF
Baltika3
Ulyanovsk0
W
17.05.26
PL
Baltika1
Dynamo Moscow2
L
10.05.26
PL
Lokomotiv Moscow1
Baltika0
L
02.05.26
PL
Baltika0
Rubin Kazan1
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Russian Cup fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Gazprom Arena (Saint Petersburg), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.39, a call we are confident in at roughly 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 6:45 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "1" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Russian Cup predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 5 Aug 2026, 8:09am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Zenit vs Baltika?
Our selection is 1 — Zenit to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Zenit's current form?
Zenit have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 9 matches.
How has Baltika been performing recently?
Baltika have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Zenit lead with 7 wins versus Baltika's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
⚠️
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