LOST Tip LOST Aarau 1-1 Lausanne Ouchy

Aarau vs Lausanne Ouchy — Prediction & Betting Tips

AAarau 1-1 Lausanne OuchyL
5:00 pm ·Stadion Brügglifeld (Aarau)
Home
LWLLL
4W 2D 4L
▲ Improving
Away
WWWLL
6W 1D 3L
▲ Improving
100SureTips SelectionThursday, 8th January 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob
70.9%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+9.1%
Value detected
Kelly %
31.2%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.41
Over 2.5 Goals80%Over 1.5 Goals90%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Aarau vs Lausanne Ouchy Competition: Swiss Challenge League Date: Thursday, 8th January 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.41 Confidence: 80% Model Correct Score: 1-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
02Head to Head
6
Aarau
2
Draws
2
Lausanne Ouchy
10
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 80% of H2H.
03Stats Duel
Aarau
Metric
Lausanne Ouchy
1.6
Goals For / Game
2.1
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.4
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-2-4
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate
40%
60%
3.3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
A0
0-0 2.7%
0-1 4.6%
0-2 3.9%
0-3 2.2%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
A1
1-0 5.1%
1-1 8.8%
1-2 7.5%
1-3 4.3%
1-4 1.8%
1-5 0.6%
A2
2-0 4.9%
2-1 8.4%
2-2 7.1%
2-3 4.1%
2-4 1.7%
2-5 0.6%
A3
3-0 3.1%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 4.5%
3-3 2.6%
3-4 1.1%
3-5 0.4%
A4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 2.2%
4-3 1.2%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
A5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1–1 8.8% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
2–1 8.4% model probability
1–2 7.5% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Aarau
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
5.0
Lausanne Ouchy
Overall
6.3
Scoring
7.0
Defence
5.3
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes23%
Home Win & BTTS No12%
Draw & BTTS Yes8%
Draw & BTTS No5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes34%
Away Win & BTTS No18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.528%
Home Win & Under 2.57%
Draw & Over 2.510%
Draw & Under 2.53%
Away Win & Over 2.542%
Away Win & Under 2.510%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
22.04.26
CL
Aarau3
Lausanne Ouchy0
13.02.26
CL
Lausanne Ouchy4
Aarau2
17.10.25
CL
Lausanne Ouchy1
Aarau2
25.08.25
CL
Aarau3
Lausanne Ouchy0
04.04.25
CL
Aarau2
Lausanne Ouchy2
07.02.25
CL
Lausanne Ouchy2
Aarau4
08.12.24
CL
Aarau1
Lausanne Ouchy0
09.08.24
CL
Lausanne Ouchy1
Aarau1
08.04.23
CL
Lausanne Ouchy3
Aarau4
11.03.23
CL
Aarau2
Lausanne Ouchy3
Recent Form
Aarau
24.07.26
CL
Etoile-Carouge3
Aarau0
L
18.07.26
CF
Aarau2
Union Berlin1
W
10.07.26
CF
A. Lustenau1
Aarau0
L
30.06.26
CF
Aarau1
St. Gallen II3
L
21.05.26
SL
Grasshoppers2
Aarau - L (AET)1
18.05.26
SL
Aarau0
Grasshoppers0
D
15.05.26
CL
Aarau2
Yverdon2
D
11.05.26
CL
Vaduz1
Aarau2
W
08.05.26
CL
Aarau5
Stade Nyonnais1
W
01.05.26
CL
Xamax1
Aarau3
W
Lausanne Ouchy
24.07.26
CL
Lausanne Ouchy2
Stade Nyonnais0
W
17.07.26
CF
Lausanne Ouchy3
Servette U211
W
11.07.26
CF
Zurich1
Lausanne Ouchy2
W
08.07.26
CF
Servette2
Lausanne Ouchy0
L
27.06.26
CF
Luzern3
Lausanne Ouchy2
L
24.05.26
CUP
Lausanne Ouchy0
St. Gallen3
L
15.05.26
CL
Lausanne Ouchy2
Xamax1
W
11.05.26
CL
Stade Nyonnais1
Lausanne Ouchy3
W
08.05.26
CL
Lausanne Ouchy5
Bellinzona0
W
02.05.26
CL
Vaduz2
Lausanne Ouchy2
D
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Swiss Challenge League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Stadion Brügglifeld (Aarau), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 2.5 at @1.41, a call we are confident in at roughly 80%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "Over 2.5" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Swiss Challenge League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 3 Aug 2026, 11:07am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Aarau vs Lausanne Ouchy?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 80%.
What is Aarau's current form?
Aarau have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Lausanne Ouchy been performing recently?
Lausanne Ouchy have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Aarau lead with 6 wins versus Lausanne Ouchy's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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