WON Tip WON Valmiera 2-1 RFS 2

Valmiera vs RFS 2 — Prediction & Betting Tips

VValmiera 2-1 RFS 2R
12:00 pm ·N/A
Home
WWLWW
7W 1D 2L
▼ Declining
Away
WLDLW
3W 2D 5L
▼ Declining
100SureTips SelectionThursday, 8th January 2026
1
Backing Valmiera to win
Valmiera
50%
Draw
30%
RFS 2
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
86.2%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-20.2%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 — Valmiera to win
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals70%Over 1.5 Goals90%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Valmiera vs RFS 2 Competition: Latvia Nakotnes Liga Date: Thursday, 8th January 2026 KO: 12:00 pm Pick: 1 (Valmiera to win) Odds: 1.16 Confidence: 66% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
02Head to Head
1
Valmiera
0
Draws
0
RFS 2
1
Meetings
6
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Valmiera won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
03Stats Duel
Valmiera
Metric
RFS 2
2.5
Goals For / Game
1.6
1
Goals Against / Game
1.8
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-1-2
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
70%
30%
3.5
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
V0
0-0 2.2%
0-1 2.8%
0-2 1.8%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
V1
1-0 5.6%
1-1 7.1%
1-2 4.5%
1-3 1.9%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.2%
V2
2-0 7.1%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 5.8%
2-3 2.4%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
V3
3-0 6.1%
3-1 7.7%
3-2 4.9%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
V4
4-0 3.8%
4-1 4.9%
4-2 3.1%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
V5
5-0 2.0%
5-1 2.5%
5-2 1.6%
5-3 0.7%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2–1 9.1% model probability
3–1 7.7% model probability
2–0 7.1% model probability
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
05Market Odds Intelligence
Valmiera Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
RFS 2 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
06Team Ratings
Valmiera
Overall
7.3
Scoring
8.3
Defence
6.7
RFS 2
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
4.0
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes34%
Home Win & BTTS No27%
Draw & BTTS Yes7%
Draw & BTTS No6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes14%
Away Win & BTTS No12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.543%
Home Win & Under 2.518%
Draw & Over 2.59%
Draw & Under 2.54%
Away Win & Over 2.518%
Away Win & Under 2.58%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
29.03.26
NL
RFS 21
Valmiera5
Recent Form
Valmiera
27.07.26
NL
Valmiera3
Riga FC 20
W
18.07.26
NL
Skanste0
Valmiera3
W
12.07.26
LC
Valmiera2
Ogre United - L (AET)4
05.07.26
NL
Valmiera4
Leevon PPK1
W
28.06.26
NL
JFK Ventspils0
Valmiera2
W
22.06.26
LC
FK Smiltene1
Valmiera4
W
14.06.26
NL
Tukums 2000 21
Valmiera4
W
30.05.26
LC
Valmiera2
Skanste0
W
26.05.26
NL
Super Nova 20
Valmiera0
D
16.05.26
NL
Riga Mariners3
Valmiera1
L
RFS 2
25.07.26
NL
FK Smiltene3
RFS 25
W
20.07.26
NL
Tukums 2000 22
RFS 20
L
05.07.26
NL
RFS 21
Super Nova 21
D
27.06.26
NL
RFS 21
Riga FC 23
L
14.06.26
NL
RFS 23
Rezekne0
W
23.05.26
NL
Marupe1
RFS 24
W
16.05.26
NL
RFS 21
Leevon PPK2
L
10.05.26
NL
Skanste4
RFS 20
L
02.05.26
NL
JFK Ventspils0
RFS 20
D
25.04.26
NL
RFS 21
Riga Mariners2
L
Valmiera (Home)
27.07.26
NL
Valmiera3
Riga FC 20
W
12.07.26
LC
Valmiera2
Ogre United - L (AET)4
05.07.26
NL
Valmiera4
Leevon PPK1
W
30.05.26
LC
Valmiera2
Skanste0
W
09.05.26
NL
Valmiera1
Alberts JDFS1
D
26.04.26
NL
Valmiera3
Rezekne1
W
12.04.26
NL
Valmiera4
FK Smiltene0
W
31.05.25
LC
Valmiera4
Ogre United3
W
16.05.25
LC
Valmiera6
FK Cesis0
W
02.05.25
LC
Valmiera8
FK Limbazi0
W
RFS 2 (Away)
25.07.26
NL
FK Smiltene3
RFS 25
W
20.07.26
NL
Tukums 2000 22
RFS 20
L
23.05.26
NL
Marupe1
RFS 24
W
10.05.26
NL
Skanste4
RFS 20
L
02.05.26
NL
JFK Ventspils0
RFS 20
D
19.04.26
NL
Alberts JDFS2
RFS 20
L
08.11.25
NL
FK Smiltene1
RFS 21
D
01.11.25
NL
Riga Mariners4
RFS 23
L
20.10.25
NL
Tukums 2000 22
RFS 22
D
04.10.25
NL
Ogre United0
RFS 20
D
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Latvia Nakotnes Liga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at N/A, that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.16, a call we are confident in at roughly 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 12:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "1" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Latvia Nakotnes Liga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 3 Aug 2026, 11:06am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Valmiera vs RFS 2?
Our selection is 1 — Valmiera to win, priced at approximately 1.16. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Valmiera's current form?
Valmiera have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has RFS 2 been performing recently?
RFS 2 have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Valmiera lead with 1 wins versus RFS 2's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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