Strong Signal
94%

Rakow vs Hammarby — Prediction & Betting Tips

RRakow vs HammarbyH
6:00 pm · ·Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow (Częstochowa)
Home
LWLWD
4W 1D 5L
▲ Improving
Away
LDDWW
4W 2D 4L
▼ Declining
100SureTips SelectionThursday, 6th August 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob
78.7%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+15.3%
Value detected
Kelly %
71.8%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.27
Over 2.5 Goals65%Over 1.5 Goals100%BTTS — Yes70%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Rakow vs Hammarby Competition: Conference League Qualifier Date: Thursday, 6th August 2026 KO: 6:00 pm Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.27 Confidence: 94% Model Correct Score: 1-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (100%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
02Head to Head
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
03Stats Duel
Rakow
Metric
Hammarby
2
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.4
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-1-5
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
40%
40%
3.4
Avg Goals
100%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
R0
0-0 3.5%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 4.8%
0-3 2.6%
0-4 1.1%
0-5 0.4%
R1
1-0 6.0%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 8.1%
1-3 4.5%
1-4 1.8%
1-5 0.6%
R2
2-0 5.1%
2-1 8.4%
2-2 6.9%
2-3 3.8%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.5%
R3
3-0 2.9%
3-1 4.7%
3-2 3.9%
3-3 2.2%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
R4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
R5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1–1 9.8% model probability
2–1 8.4% model probability
1–2 8.1% model probability
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Rakow
Overall
4.3
Scoring
6.7
Defence
5.0
Hammarby
Overall
4.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.3
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes29%
Home Win & BTTS No13%
Draw & BTTS Yes11%
Draw & BTTS No5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes29%
Away Win & BTTS No13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.527%
Home Win & Under 2.515%
Draw & Over 2.510%
Draw & Under 2.56%
Away Win & Over 2.527%
Away Win & Under 2.515%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Rakow
02.08.26
EKS
Slask Wroclaw2
Rakow1
L
30.07.26
UECL
Valletta0
Rakow4
W
26.07.26
EKS
Rakow1
Wisla Plock2
L
23.07.26
UECL
Rakow3
Valletta1
W
16.07.26
CF
GKS Katowice1
Rakow1
D
11.07.26
CF
PSV3
Rakow2
L
08.07.26
CF
Olympiacos Piraeus2
Rakow1
L
08.07.26
CF
Waregem4
Rakow3
L
04.07.26
CF
Rakow2
Puszcza0
W
27.06.26
CF
Rakow2
Piast Gliwice0
W
Hammarby
30.07.26
EL
Anderlecht3
Hammarby1
L
26.07.26
ALL
Brommapojkarna1
Hammarby1
D
23.07.26
EL
Hammarby1
Anderlecht1
D
19.07.26
ALL
Hammarby4
Degerfors0
W
12.07.26
ALL
Hammarby2
Kalmar0
W
05.07.26
ALL
Elfsborg1
Hammarby2
W
24.06.26
CF
Hacken1
Hammarby4
W
31.05.26
ALL
Hacken3
Hammarby2
L
24.05.26
ALL
Hammarby1
AIK2
L
20.05.26
ALL
GAIS2
Hammarby0
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Conference League Qualifier fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow (Częstochowa), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 1.5 at @1.27, a call we are confident in at roughly 90%. The fixture starts at 6:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "Over 1.5" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Conference League Qualifier predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 6 Aug 2026, 7:42am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Rakow vs Hammarby?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 94%.
What is Rakow's current form?
Rakow have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hammarby been performing recently?
Hammarby have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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