Moderate Signal
56%

Waterford vs Athlone — Prediction & Betting Tips

WWaterford vs AthloneA
7:45 pm · ·Regional Sports Centre (Waterford)
Home
WWDWD
6W 3D 1L
▼ Declining
Away
WLDLW
3W 3D 4L
▼ Declining
100SureTips SelectionFriday, 14th August 2026
1
Backing Waterford to win
Waterford
50%
Draw
30%
Athlone
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
70.4%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-14.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
6
Waterford
2
Draws
2
Athlone
10
Meetings
3.8
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Waterford won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
03Stats Duel
Waterford
Metric
Athlone
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.1
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-3-1
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
60%
30%
2.9
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
W0
0-0 4.9%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
W1
1-0 9.0%
1-1 10.6%
1-2 6.2%
1-3 2.5%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
W2
2-0 8.3%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
W3
3-0 5.1%
3-1 6.0%
3-2 3.5%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
W4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
W5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2–1 9.8% model probability
1–0 9.0% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
2–0 8.3% model probability
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
05Market Odds Intelligence
Waterford Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Athlone Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
06Team Ratings
Waterford
Overall
6.9
Scoring
7.0
Defence
6.0
Athlone
Overall
3.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
6.3
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes28%
Home Win & BTTS No23%
Draw & BTTS Yes14%
Draw & BTTS No11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes14%
Away Win & BTTS No11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.528%
Home Win & Under 2.523%
Draw & Over 2.514%
Draw & Under 2.511%
Away Win & Over 2.514%
Away Win & Under 2.511%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
16.08.24
FAI
Waterford2
Athlone3
28.10.23
DIV
Waterford3
Athlone1
24.10.23
DIV
Athlone1
Waterford1
01.09.23
DIV
Waterford1
Athlone2
28.07.23
DIV
Athlone1
Waterford1
21.04.23
DIV
Waterford4
Athlone3
10.03.23
DIV
Athlone0
Waterford1
21.10.22
DIV
Waterford4
Athlone2
27.06.22
DIV
Athlone2
Waterford5
02.05.22
DIV
Waterford1
Athlone0
Recent Form
Waterford
09.08.26
PD
Waterford3
Bohemians1
W
02.08.26
PD
Waterford1
Shelbourne0
W
25.07.26
PD
Galway0
Waterford0
D
17.07.26
FAI
Waterford2
Cobh Ramblers1
W
10.07.26
PD
Waterford1
St. Patricks1
D
03.07.26
PD
Derry City2
Waterford4
W
26.06.26
PD
Dundalk2
Waterford3
W
19.06.26
PD
Waterford0
Shamrock Rovers2
L
12.06.26
PD
Waterford4
Sligo Rovers0
W
29.05.26
PD
Drogheda3
Waterford3
D
Athlone
07.08.26
DIV
Athlone2
Longford1
W
03.08.26
DIV
Cork City3
Athlone2
L
31.07.26
DIV
Athlone0
UC Dublin0
D
24.07.26
DIV
Treaty United2
Athlone1
L
17.07.26
FAI
Athlone3
Midleton0
W
10.07.26
DIV
Athlone2
Cobh Ramblers0
W
03.07.26
DIV
Bray1
Athlone0
L
26.06.26
DIV
Athlone1
Finn Harps1
D
19.06.26
DIV
Athlone2
Wexford2
D
12.06.26
DIV
Kerry1
Athlone0
L
Waterford (Home)
09.08.26
PD
Waterford3
Bohemians1
W
02.08.26
PD
Waterford1
Shelbourne0
W
17.07.26
FAI
Waterford2
Cobh Ramblers1
W
10.07.26
PD
Waterford1
St. Patricks1
D
19.06.26
PD
Waterford0
Shamrock Rovers2
L
12.06.26
PD
Waterford4
Sligo Rovers0
W
18.05.26
PD
Waterford2
Drogheda1
W
15.05.26
PD
Waterford2
Derry City2
D
04.05.26
PD
Waterford3
Dundalk3
D
24.04.26
PD
Waterford1
Galway1
D
Athlone (Away)
03.08.26
DIV
Cork City3
Athlone2
L
24.07.26
DIV
Treaty United2
Athlone1
L
03.07.26
DIV
Bray1
Athlone0
L
12.06.26
DIV
Kerry1
Athlone0
L
29.05.26
DIV
UC Dublin1
Athlone0
L
15.05.26
DIV
Cobh Ramblers1
Athlone0
L
04.05.26
DIV
Longford1
Athlone1
D
24.04.26
DIV
Finn Harps1
Athlone2
W
10.04.26
DIV
Wexford1
Athlone0
L
27.03.26
DIV
Cork City4
Athlone1
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Ireland FAI Cup fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Regional Sports Centre (Waterford), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.42, a call we are confident in at roughly 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 7:45 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "1" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Ireland FAI Cup predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 14 Aug 2026, 8:11am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Waterford vs Athlone?
Our selection is 1 — Waterford to win, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Waterford's current form?
Waterford have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Athlone been performing recently?
Athlone have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Waterford lead with 6 wins versus Athlone's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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